Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction

American Legion Memorial Stadium 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.48
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseHighGap+13.4%
Charlotte Independence Rest
6 days
Chattanooga Red Wolves Rest
3 days

Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves: the result in context

Chattanooga Red Wolves beat Charlotte Independence 4-2 in the USL League One on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.83
X
28%3.60
2
27%3.55
Double Chance
1X
73%1.23
X2
55%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.51
No
56%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.16
Over 2.5
39%1.56
Over 3.5
19%2.35
Under 1.5
37%4.21
Under 2.5
61%2.17
Under 3.5
81%1.48
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'S. MarouAssist: J. Skinner
37'P. Saydee
51'A. LombardiAssist: P. Hernandez
62'A. LombardiAssist: O. Hernandez
65'V. Ortiz INM. Guffroy out
66'J. SkinnerAssist: M. Guffroy
68'E. Kinzner
72'O. Hernandez ING. Mercer out
73'M. Bentley INO. Tapia out
79'P. Saydee INF. Ngah out
79'M. Lyons INT. Nare out
85'R. Manin
89'P. HernandezAssist: O. Tapia
90'J. Amaya INK. Riascos out
90+3'J. Ramos INC. Engmann out
90+5'J. Ayimbila

Team Comparison

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves
1592Elo Rating 1493
3.08Attack 0.92
1.53Defense 1.81
77%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3Wins · 30%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

USL League One31/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
23
USL League One18/10/2025
Charlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red Wolves
12
USL League One07/09/2025
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
10
USL League One29/03/2025
Charlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red Wolves
00
USL League One17/07/2024
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
02
USL League One15/06/2024
Charlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red Wolves
42
USL League One10/09/2023
Charlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red Wolves
30
USL League One25/06/2023
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
22
USL League One28/05/2023
Charlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red Wolves
30
USL League One02/10/2022
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
31

Recent Form

Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
9W1D0L
12/07/2026
Charleston BatteryCharlotte Independence
2242
W
06/07/2026
AltaCharlotte Independence
11
D
01/07/2026
Charlotte IndependenceCorpus Christi
21
W
25/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph
10
W
14/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceNaples
43
W
11/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceUnion Omaha
20
W
04/06/2026
NaplesCharlotte Independence
15
W
31/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
23
W
24/05/2026
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
31
W
16/05/2026
Charlotte IndependencePittsburgh Riverhounds
4121
W
Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves
5W0D5L
16/07/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesAlta
10
W
12/07/2026
San AntonioChattanooga Red Wolves
20
L
05/07/2026
Corpus ChristiChattanooga Red Wolves
21
L
02/07/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesWestchester SC
20
W
21/06/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesNaples
10
W
14/06/2026
Portland Hearts of PineChattanooga Red Wolves
12
W
11/06/2026
One KnoxvilleChattanooga Red Wolves
5141
L
31/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
23
L
28/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesRichmond Kickers
50
W
24/05/2026
Union OmahaChattanooga Red Wolves
20
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Charlotte Independence and Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Charlotte Independence are 1st and Chattanooga Red Wolves 7th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Charlotte Independence 74-46, Chattanooga Red Wolves 51-45. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Charlotte Independence have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.