Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte· S. Boiko 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalSOLIDModel52%RiskMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
1X2
Home Win
2.02
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+7.3%
Charlotte Rest
60 days
Atlanta United FC Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.02
X
26%3.56
2
23%3.55
Double Chance
1X
77%1.27
X2
49%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.58
No
37%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.13 = 2.85
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
61%1.70
Over 3.5
35%2.75
Under 1.5
16%4.28
Under 2.5
39%2.13
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.5
61%1.53
Over 9.5
50%1.85
Over 10.5
36%2.44
Under 8.5
39%2.36
Under 9.5
50%1.85
Under 10.5
64%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
64%1.52
Over 4.5
42%1.91
Under 3.5
36%2.46
Under 4.5
58%1.80

Match Events

16'K. A. Calderon Vargas
22'W. Reilly
45'L. AbadaAssist: P. Biel
48'A. Miranchuk
57'E. BaezAssist: T. Jacob
63'A. Goodwin INI. Toklomati out
63'L. Abada INR. Aloko out
63'L. de la Torre IND. Diani out
64'W. Cleary INN. Byrne out
76'M. Almiron
79'N. Byrne
82'F. Picault INL. Brennan out
85'K. A. Calderon Vargas INT. Smalls out
89'C. Sanchez INI. Suarez out
90+3'J. Alonso INS. Gregersen out
90+10'T. Jacob

Lineups

Charlotte
4-4-2Coach: Dean Smith
Atlanta United FC
4-1-4-1Coach: Gerardo Martino
Kristijan Kahlina1K. KahlinaKristijan Kahlina
Will Cleary35W. ClearyWill Cleary
Morrison Agyemang44M. AgyemangMorrison Agyemang
Tim Ream3T. ReamTim Ream
Harry Toffolo15H. ToffoloHarry Toffolo
Kerwin Calderón Vargas18K. Calderón VargasKerwin Calderón Vargas
Ashley Westwood8A. WestwoodAshley Westwood
Luca De La Torre17L. De La TorreLuca De La Torre
Liel Abada11L. AbadaLiel Abada
Pep Biel16P. BielPep Biel
Archie Goodwin7A. GoodwinArchie Goodwin
Lucas Hoyos1L. HoyosLucas Hoyos
Tomás Jacob55T. JacobTomás Jacob
Enea Mihaj4E. MihajEnea Mihaj
Junior Alonso6J. AlonsoJunior Alonso
Elías Báez3E. BáezElías Báez
William Reilly28W. ReillyWilliam Reilly
Aleksey Miranchuk59A. MiranchukAleksey Miranchuk
Cooper Sanchez48C. SanchezCooper Sanchez
Tristan Muyumba8T. MuyumbaTristan Muyumba
Miguel Almirón10M. AlmirónMiguel Almirón
Fafà Picault22F. PicaultFafà Picault

Charlotte Substitutes

28Djibril DianiM
9Idan ToklomatiF
37Rodolfo AlokoF
14Nathan ByrneD
25Tyger SmallsF
21Tyler MillerG
22Henry KesslerD
4Andrew PrivettD
13Brandt BronicoM

Atlanta United FC Substitutes

20Luke BrennanM
56Ignacio Suarez-CouriM
5Stian GregersenD
42Jayden HibbertG
2Ronald HernándezD
41Toto MajubD
16Adrian GillM
30Cayman TogashiF
39Arif KovacF

Match Stats

CharlotteAtlanta United FC
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
23Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal6
17Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots0
3Fouls9
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves7
492Total Passes476
443Passes Accurate424
90%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

CharlotteCharlotte
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
1673Elo Rating 1500
2.02Attack 1.13
1.82Defense 1.45
54%Hit Rate 14%
10.6Shots per Game 15.6
4.1Shots on Target 3.2
4.8Corners per Game 7.0
1.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+172 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend37% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CharlotteCharlotte
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Charlotte 56%Draw 0%44% Atlanta United FC
2.94Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CharlotteCharlotte
2W1D2L
24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
10
W
17/05/2026
CharlotteToronto FC
31
W
14/05/2026
CharlotteNew York City FC
01
L
10/05/2026
CharlotteFC Cincinnati
22
D
03/05/2026
New England RevolutionCharlotte
10
L
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
0W1D4L
18/07/2026
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
10
L
24/05/2026
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
20
L
20/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
41
L
17/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
11
D
10/05/2026
Atlanta United FCLos Angeles Galaxy
12
L

Referee Profile

S. Boiko · 46 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
21.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 33% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Charlotte and Atlanta United FC have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.94 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.