Chattanooga vs New York City II Prediction

Finley Stadium 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Chattanooga Rest
28 days
New York City II Rest
28 days

Chattanooga vs New York City II: the result in context

Chattanooga beat New York City II 3-1 in the MLS Next Pro on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.67
X
22%4.08
2
23%3.97
Double Chance
1X
77%1.20
X2
45%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.40
No
37%2.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 1.25 = 2.94
Over 1.5
80%1.07
Over 2.5
65%1.36
Over 3.5
44%1.93
Under 1.5
20%6.33
Under 2.5
35%2.81
Under 3.5
56%1.76
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'J. Loiola
31'A. KrehlAssist: D. Mangarov
53'J. Arroyave
76'S. Louis INA. Sorenson out
76'A. Arrua INA. Garcia out
79'C. Flax IND. Kerr out
86'
90+7'

Team Comparison

ChattanoogaChattanooga
New York City IINew York City II
1580Elo Rating 1486
2.85Attack 1.64
2.09Defense 1.07
100%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ChattanoogaChattanooga
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New York City IINew York City II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

ChattanoogaChattanooga1Wins · 33%
Draws267%
New York City IINew York City II0Wins · 0%
1.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

MLS Next Pro22/06/2026
New York City IIChattanooga
4151
MLS Next Pro29/09/2025
New York City IIChattanooga
01
MLS Next Pro28/03/2024
New York City IIChattanooga
4121

Recent Form

ChattanoogaChattanooga
7W0D3L
20/09/2026
Chicago Fire IIChattanooga
01
W
13/09/2026
ChattanoogaAtlanta United II
41
W
10/09/2026
Huntsville CityChattanooga
12
W
30/08/2026
ChattanoogaCarolina Core
52
W
24/08/2026
Crown LegacyChattanooga
31
L
15/08/2026
Toronto IIChattanooga
5242
L
09/08/2026
ChattanoogaAtlanta United II
10
W
01/08/2026
Inter Miami IIChattanooga
01
W
26/07/2026
ChattanoogaPhiladelphia Union II
40
W
19/07/2026
ChattanoogaOrlando City II
3141
L
New York City IINew York City II
7W0D3L
20/09/2026
Philadelphia Union IINew York City II
1121
W
13/09/2026
New York City IIConnecticut FC
10
W
08/09/2026
New York City IINew York RB II
42
W
02/09/2026
Inter Miami IINew York City II
42
L
29/08/2026
Toronto IINew York City II
20
L
22/08/2026
New York City IINew England II
21
W
19/08/2026
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
50
W
16/08/2026
Columbus Crew IINew York City II
42
L
11/08/2026
New York City IIOrlando City II
30
W
02/08/2026
New York City IIPhiladelphia Union II
8171
W

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Final
Chattanooga-
Connecticut FC-
25/10/2026
Crown Legacy-
Columbus Crew II-
26/10/2026
Austin II-
Los Angeles FC II-
26/10/2026
Portland Timbers II-
Ventura County-
26/10/2026
New York RB II3
Huntsville City1
The Town33
Tacoma Defiance31
On penalties

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Northeast Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II281701149:43+648DDLWL
2New England IINew England II281601247:42+548WDDLL
3New York City IINew York City II281601250:44+647DWWLL
4Connecticut FCConnecticut FC281601259:52+746WLLLW
5New York RB IINew York RB II281501358:48+1046LDLWW
6Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II281401437:40-343DWWWL
7Toronto IIToronto II281301548:56-839LLWWL
8FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II28702132:62-3020LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II2849:4348
2New England IINew England II2847:4248
3New York City IINew York City II2850:4447
4Connecticut FCConnecticut FC2859:5246
5New York RB IINew York RB II2858:4846
6Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II2837:4043
7Toronto IIToronto II2848:5639
8FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II2832:6220

Central Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Crown LegacyCrown Legacy28200867:39+2858WDWLW
2ChattanoogaChattanooga28190956:39+1756WWWWL
3Atlanta United IIAtlanta United II281501362:46+1648WLWDW
4Huntsville CityHuntsville City281401449:47+244WWLWW
5Orlando City IIOrlando City II281501355:56-144LWWWL
6Chicago Fire IIChicago Fire II281301550:48+239LLLLW
7Carolina CoreCarolina Core281001840:53-1331DDDLL
8Inter Miami IIInter Miami II28402430:74-4415LLLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Crown LegacyCrown Legacy2867:3958
2ChattanoogaChattanooga2856:3956
3Atlanta United IIAtlanta United II2862:4648
4Huntsville CityHuntsville City2849:4744
5Orlando City IIOrlando City II2855:5644
6Chicago Fire IIChicago Fire II2850:4839
7Carolina CoreCarolina Core2840:5331
8Inter Miami IIInter Miami II2830:7415

Eastern Conference — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Crown LegacyCrown Legacy28200867:39+2858WDWLW
2ChattanoogaChattanooga28190956:39+1756WWWWL
3Atlanta United IIAtlanta United II281501362:46+1648WLWDW
4Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II281701149:43+648DDLWL
5New England IINew England II281601247:42+548WDDLL
6New York City IINew York City II281601250:44+647DWWLL
7Connecticut FCConnecticut FC281601259:52+746WLLLW
8New York RB IINew York RB II281501358:48+1046LDLWW
9Huntsville CityHuntsville City281401449:47+244WWLWW
10Orlando City IIOrlando City II281501355:56-144LWWWL
11Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II281401437:40-343DWWWL
12Toronto IIToronto II281301548:56-839LLWWL
13Chicago Fire IIChicago Fire II281301550:48+239LLLLW
14Carolina CoreCarolina Core281001840:53-1331DDDLL
15FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II28702132:62-3020LDLLW
16Inter Miami IIInter Miami II28402430:74-4415LLLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Crown LegacyCrown Legacy2867:3958
2ChattanoogaChattanooga2856:3956
3Atlanta United IIAtlanta United II2862:4648
4Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II2849:4348
5New England IINew England II2847:4248
6New York City IINew York City II2850:4447
7Connecticut FCConnecticut FC2859:5246
8New York RB IINew York RB II2858:4846
9Huntsville CityHuntsville City2849:4744
10Orlando City IIOrlando City II2855:5644
11Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II2837:4043
12Toronto IIToronto II2848:5639
13Chicago Fire IIChicago Fire II2850:4839
14Carolina CoreCarolina Core2840:5331
15FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II2832:6220
16Inter Miami IIInter Miami II2830:7415
Promotion

About the Chattanooga vs New York City II forecast

As a knockout tie in the MLS Next Pro, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chattanooga and New York City II in the MLS Next Pro table

In the MLS Next Pro table, Chattanooga are 2nd and New York City II 6th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Chattanooga 56-39, New York City II 50-44. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chattanooga have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.