Cruz Azul vs New York City FC Prediction

Cruz Azul
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
New York City FC
Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison· Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico 10/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+13.0%
Cruz Azul Rest
2 days
New York City FC Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%2.30
X
20%3.42
2
22%2.85
Double Chance
1X
77%1.40
X2
42%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.58
No
56%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.74
Over 3.5
19%2.80
Under 1.5
36%4.00
Under 2.5
61%2.06
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'A. PalavecinoAssist: E. Lira
36'M. Freese
37'N. Cavallo
45+1'M. MurrayAssist: N. Mercau
50'T. Gray
53'G. Piovi
59'A. Ojeda INM. Jones out
59'N. Cavallo INK. O'Toole out
59'T. Gray INM. Ilenic out
76'G. Fernandez INN. Ibanez out
76'J. Shore INB. Traore out
76'Talles Magno INLuighi out
78'J. ParadelaAssist: C. Rodriguez
82'A. Palavecino INL. Romero out
82'N. Mercau
90'C. Rodriguez INC. Jimenez out
90+5'M. Jones

Lineups

Cruz Azul
5-3-2Coach: Joel Huiqui
New York City FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Pascal Jansen
Kevin Mier23K. MierKevin Mier
Jeremy Márquez16J. MárquezJeremy Márquez
Willer Ditta4W. DittaWiller Ditta
Gonzalo Piovi33G. PioviGonzalo Piovi
Jesús Orozco5J. OrozcoJesús Orozco
Omar Campos3O. CamposOmar Campos
Agustín Palavecino8A. PalavecinoAgustín Palavecino
Erik Lira6E. LiraErik Lira
Carlos Rodríguez19C. RodríguezCarlos Rodríguez
José Paradela20J. ParadelaJosé Paradela
Gabriel Fernández21G. FernándezGabriel Fernández
Matthew Freese49M. FreeseMatthew Freese
Tayvon Gray24T. GrayTayvon Gray
Max Murray23M. MurrayMax Murray
James Sands6J. SandsJames Sands
Nico Cavallo2N. CavalloNico Cavallo
Jonathan Shore32J. ShoreJonathan Shore
Andrés Perea8A. PereaAndrés Perea
Agustin Ojeda26A. OjedaAgustin Ojeda
Nicolás Fernández7N. FernándezNicolás Fernández
Hannes Wolf17H. WolfHannes Wolf
Talles Magno11T. MagnoTalles Magno

Cruz Azul Substitutes

7Nicolás IbáñezF
18Luka RomeroF
32Cristian JiménezM
30Emmanuel OchoaG
1Andrés GudiñoG
49Josué DíazD
12Alan MontesD
66Javier SuárezD
67Karol VelázquezM
55Rogelio GonzálezM
14Juan CaleroF

New York City FC Substitutes

22Kevin O'TooleD
35Mitja IleničD
88Malachi JonesF
9Bénie TraoréF
20Luighi HanriF
18Gregory RanjitsinghG
30Tomás RomeroG
44João LoiolaD
29Máximo CarrizoM
15Kevin PierreM
55Keaton ParksM
99Seymour Garfield-ReidF

Match Stats

Cruz AzulNew York City FC
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards5
20Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box2
12Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots2
12Fouls8
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
534Total Passes380
459Passes Accurate325
86%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
New York City FCNew York City FC
1764Elo Rating 1592
1.61Attack 0.79
1.33Defense 2.20
59%Hit Rate 23%
14.6Shots per Game 10.8
5.4Shots on Target 3.4
7.8Corners per Game 5.0
2.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+172 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New York City FCNew York City FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

New York City FCNew York City FC
3W1D1L
07/08/2026
New York City FCSantos Laguna
20
W
01/08/2026
New York City FCToronto FC
11
D
26/07/2026
New York City FCChicago Fire
31
W
23/07/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
12
W
24/05/2026
Nashville SCNew York City FC
21
L

Cruz Azul vs New York City FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Leagues Cup fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Leagues Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

Cruz Azul and New York City FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.