Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Prediction

Selhurst Park, London· Andy Madley, England 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel53%RiskMediumGap+8.3%
Crystal Palace Rest
6 days
Manchester City Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%4.98
X
23%4.08
2
52%1.67
Double Chance
1X
48%2.19
X2
76%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.67
No
42%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.62 = 2.90
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
57%1.69
Over 3.5
35%2.66
Under 1.5
21%4.29
Under 2.5
43%2.20
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.6 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.48
Over 9.5
46%1.81
Over 10.5
34%2.28
Under 8.5
42%2.48
Under 9.5
54%1.93
Under 10.5
66%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.98
Over 4.5
30%2.96
Under 3.5
50%1.78
Under 4.5
70%1.34

Match Events

17'E. HaalandAssist: A. Semenyo
33'R. CherkiHolding
54'R. CherkiAssist: P. Foden
55'E. AndersonTripping
56'G. DonnarummaOG
59'R. CherkiAssist: J. Gvardiol
63'J. Larsen INE. Guessand out
68'A. KhalailiRoughing
68'E. Nketiah IND. McNeil out
68'Y. Pino INZ. Gozo out
74'T. Tomiyasu INA. Disasi out
75'J. Gvardiol INM. Kovacic out
77'A. Khalaili INO. Mingueza out
82'R. Cherki INR. McAidoo out
82'E. Anderson INA. Bouaddi out
84'E. HaalandAssist: P. Foden
89'N. O'Reilly INK. Braithwaite out
89'A. Khusanov INVitor Reis out

Lineups

Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Coach: Pierre Sage
Manchester City
4-2-3-1Coach: Enzo Maresca
Dean Henderson1D. HendersonDean Henderson
Jaydee Canvot6J. CanvotJaydee Canvot
Chris Richards26C. RichardsChris Richards
Takehiro Tomiyasu17T. TomiyasuTakehiro Tomiyasu
Anan Khalaili25A. KhalailiAnan Khalaili
Adam Wharton20A. WhartonAdam Wharton
Daichi Kamada18D. KamadaDaichi Kamada
Tyrick Mitchell3T. MitchellTyrick Mitchell
Yéremy Pino10Y. PinoYéremy Pino
Eddie Nketiah9E. NketiahEddie Nketiah
Jørgen Strand Larsen22J. Strand LarsenJørgen Strand Larsen
Gianluigi Donnarumma1G. DonnarummaGianluigi Donnarumma
Abdukodir Khusanov45A. KhusanovAbdukodir Khusanov
Rúben Dias3R. DiasRúben Dias
Marc Guéhi6M. GuéhiMarc Guéhi
Joško Gvardiol24J. GvardiolJoško Gvardiol
Nico O'Reilly33N. O'ReillyNico O'Reilly
Elliot Anderson5E. AndersonElliot Anderson
Phil Foden47P. FodenPhil Foden
Rayan Cherki10R. CherkiRayan Cherki
Antoine Semenyo42A. SemenyoAntoine Semenyo
Erling Haaland9E. HaalandErling Haaland

Crystal Palace Substitutes

29Evann GuessandF
11Dwight McNeilF
12Zavier GozoF
44Walter BenítezG
5Axel DisasiD
2Daniel MuñozD
30Óscar MinguezaD
19Will HughesM
8Jefferson LermaM

Manchester City Substitutes

28Gerónimo RulliG
21Rayan Aït-NouriD
22Vitor ReisD
82Rico LewisD
61Kaden BraithwaiteD
8Mateo KovačićM
30Claudio EcheverriM
32Ayyoub BouaddiM
56Ryan McAidooF

Match Stats

Crystal PalaceManchester City
27%Ball Possession73%
2Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots18
1Shots on Goal9
7Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots2
8Fouls10
3Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
272Total Passes766
225Passes Accurate711
83%Pass Accuracy93%

Team Comparison

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Manchester CityManchester City
1756Elo Rating 2021
1.98Attack 1.87
0.86Defense 2.69
42%Hit Rate 100%
9.8Shots per Game 13.9
3.9Shots on Target 5.9
2.4Corners per Game 5.9
1.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend31% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Manchester CityManchester City
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Crystal Palace 19%Draw 14%66% Manchester City
3.41Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
2W0D3L
22/08/2026
EvertonCrystal Palace
20
L
15/08/2026
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace
20
L
07/08/2026
FulhamCrystal Palace
12
W
31/07/2026
Crystal PalaceAl Ula
31
W
25/07/2026
BromleyCrystal Palace
30
L
Manchester CityManchester City
3W0D2L
23/08/2026
Manchester CityBournemouth
21
W
16/08/2026
ArsenalManchester City
30
L
09/08/2026
Manchester CityAtletico Madrid
31
W
05/08/2026
K-League StarsManchester City
13
W
01/08/2026
Manchester CityInter
1131
L

Referee Profile

Andy Madley, England · 22 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
23.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 16% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
4Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
5BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
6ChelseaChelsea421110:9+17DLWW
7BrentfordBrentford41307:4+36DDDW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3LeedsLeeds47:38
4Hull CityHull City45:28
5BrightonBrighton413:57
6ChelseaChelsea410:97
7BrentfordBrentford47:46
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
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Crystal Palace vs Manchester City Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

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Key Factors for This Match

Crystal Palace and Manchester City have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.41 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.