Everton vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Everton
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool·Paul Tierney, England 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.65
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+11.4%
Everton Rest
7 days
Crystal Palace Rest
7 days

Everton vs Crystal Palace: result, form and history

Everton beat Crystal Palace 2-0 in the Premier League on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Everton have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.17
X
29%3.40
2
26%3.38
Double Chance
1X
74%1.30
X2
55%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.70
No
43%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.31 = 2.86
Over 1.5
76%1.28
Over 2.5
56%1.92
Over 3.5
32%3.20
Under 1.5
24%3.50
Under 2.5
44%1.90
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.45
Over 9.5
62%1.75
Over 10.5
45%2.21
Under 8.5
34%2.57
Under 9.5
38%1.96
Under 10.5
55%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
58%1.81
Over 4.5
39%2.60
Under 3.5
42%1.91
Under 4.5
61%1.43

Match Events

30'D. KamadaFoul
42'K. Dewsbury-HallAssist: H. Armstrong
53'T. BarryAssist: I. Ndiaye
55'E. Nketiah INY. Pino out
55'D. Munoz INA. Khalaili out
63'J. Mateta INJ. Larsen out
63'D. McNeil INE. Guessand out
72'C. Riad INT. Tomiyasu out
79'T. Barry INBeto out
79'H. Hackney INJ. Garner out
84'T. George INB. Johnson out
90+4'K. Dewsbury-Hall INC. Alcaraz out

Lineups

Everton
4-2-3-1Coach: Leighton Baines
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Coach: Pierre Sage
Avg rating7.33
Avg rating6.63
Jordan Pickford8.31J. Pickford
Merlin Röhl7.534M. Röhl
James TarkowskiC7.06J. Tarkowski
Jarrad Branthwaite7.74J. Branthwaite
Vitaliy Mykolenko7.316V. Mykolenko
Harrison Armstrong6.945H. Armstrong
Hayden Hackney7.230H. Hackney
Iliman Ndiaye7.910I. Ndiaye
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall8.78K. Dewsbury-Hall
Tyrique George7.719T. George
Thierno Barry6.911T. Barry
Dean HendersonC6.91D. Henderson
Jaydee Canvot6.96J. Canvot
Chris Richards6.926C. Richards
Chadi Riad6.54C. Riad
Daniel Muñoz5.92D. Muñoz
Adam Wharton6.920A. Wharton
Daichi Kamada7.218D. Kamada
Tyrick Mitchell6.53T. Mitchell
Dwight McNeil6.311D. McNeil
Eddie Nketiah7.09E. Nketiah
Jean-Philippe Mateta5.914J. Mateta

Everton Substitutes

37James Garner79'for H. Hackney6.9
9Beto79'for T. Barry6.3
22Brennan Johnson84'for T. George6.3
24Carlos Alcaraz90+4'for K. Dewsbury-Hall
12Mark Travers
2Nathan Patterson
5Michael Keane
15Jake O'Brien
20Tyler Dibling

Crystal Palace Substitutes

25Anan Khalaili55'for D. Munoz7.3
10Yéremy Pino55'for E. Nketiah6.7
22Jørgen Strand Larsen63'for J. Mateta6.2
29Evann Guessand63'for D. McNeil6.2
17Takehiro Tomiyasu72'for C. Riad6.7
44Walter Benítez
24Borna Sosa
30Óscar Mingueza
19Will Hughes

Match Stats

EvertonCrystal Palace
42%Ball Possession58%
4Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots3
5Fouls15
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
417Total Passes581
343Passes Accurate505
82%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

EvertonEverton
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1844Elo Rating 1765
1.62Attack 0.75
1.92Defense 1.66
69%Hit Rate 19%
12.3Shots per Game 8.7
5.2Shots on Target 3.2
3.7Corners per Game 2.9
2.6Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EvertonEverton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

EvertonEverton6Wins · 60%
Draws440%
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace0Wins · 0%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League10/05/2026
Crystal PalaceEverton
22
Premier League05/10/2025
EvertonCrystal Palace
21
Premier League15/02/2025
Crystal PalaceEverton
12
Premier League28/09/2024
EvertonCrystal Palace
21
Premier League19/02/2024
EvertonCrystal Palace
11
FA Cup17/01/2024
EvertonCrystal Palace
10
FA Cup04/01/2024
Crystal PalaceEverton
00
Premier League11/11/2023
Crystal PalaceEverton
23
Premier League22/04/2023
Crystal PalaceEverton
00
Premier League22/10/2022
EvertonCrystal Palace
30

Recent Form

EvertonEverton
3W3D4L
15/08/2026
EvertonLille
11
D
12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
W
08/08/2026
VfB StuttgartEverton
31
L
01/08/2026
Hamburger SVEverton
12
W
28/07/2026
Stoke CityEverton
10
L
25/07/2026
BoltonEverton
00
D
18/07/2026
DundeeEverton
04
W
24/05/2026
TottenhamEverton
10
L
17/05/2026
EvertonSunderland
13
L
10/05/2026
Crystal PalaceEverton
22
D
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
4W2D4L
15/08/2026
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace
20
L
07/08/2026
FulhamCrystal Palace
12
W
31/07/2026
Crystal PalaceAl Ula
31
W
25/07/2026
BromleyCrystal Palace
30
L
18/07/2026
Crystal PalaceSwindon Town
51
W
27/05/2026
Crystal PalaceRayo Vallecano
10
W
24/05/2026
Crystal PalaceArsenal
12
L
17/05/2026
BrentfordCrystal Palace
22
D
13/05/2026
Manchester CityCrystal Palace
30
L
10/05/2026
Crystal PalaceEverton
22
D

Referee Profile

Paul Tierney158 matches

3.80Cards per match
3.69Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paul Tierney3.80
Other referees3.73

3.80 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.73).

Cards come from 158 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal1090115:5+1027WWWWW
2BrightonBrighton1071226:7+1922WWLWW
3Manchester CityManchester City1070321:13+821LLLWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool1053214:10+418WLWWL
5ChelseaChelsea1051419:16+316LWLWW
6EvertonEverton1044212:10+216WWLLD
7BournemouthBournemouth1043316:14+215WWWWL
8BrentfordBrentford1035216:11+514LWDLD
9LeedsLeeds1035210:8+214WLDDL
10Aston VillaAston Villa1034314:17-313DDWWD
11TottenhamTottenham1033410:11-112LWWWD
12NewcastleNewcastle1033413:16-312DLWLL
13Hull CityHull City1025311:11011LDDLD
14IpswichIpswich1032515:20-511LDDLW
15FulhamFulham1024410:12-210DDWWL
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest102359:13-49WLDLL
17CoventryCoventry1030710:19-99LWLLW
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1015414:19-58DLLDD
19SunderlandSunderland102268:17-98WLDLL
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1021710:24-147LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal1015:527
2BrightonBrighton1026:722
3Manchester CityManchester City1021:1321
4LiverpoolLiverpool1014:1018
5ChelseaChelsea1019:1616
6EvertonEverton1012:1016
7BournemouthBournemouth1016:1415
8BrentfordBrentford1016:1114
9LeedsLeeds1010:814
10Aston VillaAston Villa1014:1713
11TottenhamTottenham1010:1112
12NewcastleNewcastle1013:1612
13Hull CityHull City1011:1111
14IpswichIpswich1015:2011
15FulhamFulham1010:1210
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest109:139
17CoventryCoventry1010:199
18Manchester UnitedManchester United1014:198
19SunderlandSunderland108:178
20Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1010:247
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Everton vs Crystal Palace forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Everton and Crystal Palace in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Everton are 6th and Crystal Palace 20th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Everton 12-10, Crystal Palace 10-24. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.