Everton vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Everton
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool· Paul Tierney, England 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.65
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+11.4%
Everton Rest
7 days
Crystal Palace Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.17
X
29%3.40
2
26%3.38
Double Chance
1X
74%1.30
X2
55%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.70
No
43%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.31 = 2.86
Over 1.5
76%1.28
Over 2.5
56%1.92
Over 3.5
32%3.20
Under 1.5
24%3.50
Under 2.5
44%1.90
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.45
Over 9.5
62%1.75
Over 10.5
45%2.21
Under 8.5
34%2.57
Under 9.5
38%1.96
Under 10.5
55%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
58%1.81
Over 4.5
39%2.60
Under 3.5
42%1.91
Under 4.5
61%1.43

Match Events

30'D. KamadaFoul
42'K. Dewsbury-HallAssist: H. Armstrong
53'T. BarryAssist: I. Ndiaye
55'E. Nketiah INY. Pino out
55'D. Munoz INA. Khalaili out
63'J. Mateta INJ. Larsen out
63'D. McNeil INE. Guessand out
72'C. Riad INT. Tomiyasu out
79'T. Barry INBeto out
79'H. Hackney INJ. Garner out
84'T. George INB. Johnson out
90+4'K. Dewsbury-Hall INC. Alcaraz out

Lineups

Everton
4-2-3-1Coach: Leighton Baines
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Coach: Pierre Sage
Jordan Pickford1J. PickfordJordan Pickford
Merlin Röhl34M. RöhlMerlin Röhl
James Tarkowski6J. TarkowskiJames Tarkowski
Jarrad Branthwaite4J. BranthwaiteJarrad Branthwaite
Vitaliy Mykolenko16V. MykolenkoVitaliy Mykolenko
Harrison Armstrong45H. ArmstrongHarrison Armstrong
Hayden Hackney30H. HackneyHayden Hackney
Iliman Ndiaye10I. NdiayeIliman Ndiaye
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall8K. Dewsbury-HallKiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Tyrique George19T. GeorgeTyrique George
Thierno Barry11T. BarryThierno Barry
Dean Henderson1D. HendersonDean Henderson
Jaydee Canvot6J. CanvotJaydee Canvot
Chris Richards26C. RichardsChris Richards
Chadi Riad4C. RiadChadi Riad
Daniel Muñoz2D. MuñozDaniel Muñoz
Adam Wharton20A. WhartonAdam Wharton
Daichi Kamada18D. KamadaDaichi Kamada
Tyrick Mitchell3T. MitchellTyrick Mitchell
Dwight McNeil11D. McNeilDwight McNeil
Eddie Nketiah9E. NketiahEddie Nketiah
Jean-Philippe Mateta14J. MatetaJean-Philippe Mateta

Everton Substitutes

37James GarnerM
9BetoF
22Brennan JohnsonF
24Carlos AlcarazM
12Mark TraversG
2Nathan PattersonD
5Michael KeaneD
15Jake O'BrienD
20Tyler DiblingF

Crystal Palace Substitutes

25Anan KhalailiF
10Yéremy PinoM
22Jørgen Strand LarsenF
29Evann GuessandF
17Takehiro TomiyasuD
44Walter BenítezG
24Borna SosaD
30Óscar MinguezaD
19Will HughesM

Match Stats

EvertonCrystal Palace
42%Ball Possession58%
4Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots3
5Fouls15
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
413Total Passes570
338Passes Accurate494
82%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

EvertonEverton
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
1811Elo Rating 1756
1.60Attack 1.98
2.35Defense 0.86
31%Hit Rate 42%
17.2Shots per Game 9.8
5.9Shots on Target 3.9
5.3Corners per Game 2.4
1.9Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

EvertonEverton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Everton 59%Draw 41%0% Crystal Palace
3.13Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
86%Over 2.5

Recent Form

EvertonEverton
2W1D2L
15/08/2026
EvertonLille
11
D
12/08/2026
NewcastleEverton
13
W
08/08/2026
VfB StuttgartEverton
31
L
01/08/2026
Hamburger SVEverton
12
W
28/07/2026
Stoke CityEverton
10
L
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
3W0D2L
15/08/2026
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace
20
L
07/08/2026
FulhamCrystal Palace
12
W
31/07/2026
Crystal PalaceAl Ula
31
W
25/07/2026
BromleyCrystal Palace
30
L
18/07/2026
Crystal PalaceSwindon Town
51
W

Referee Profile

Paul Tierney, England · 14 matches analysed

3.5Avg Yellows
3.7Avg Cards
22.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 9% of referees analysed

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArsenalArsenal44008:1+712WWWW
2Manchester CityManchester City44008:2+612WWWW
3BrentfordBrentford523010:4+69WDDDW
4LeedsLeeds42207:3+48WDDW
5Hull CityHull City42205:2+38DDWW
6BrightonBrighton421113:5+87WDLW
7ChelseaChelsea521210:12-27LDLWW
8LiverpoolLiverpool41306:4+26DWDD
9EvertonEverton41305:3+26DDDW
10IpswichIpswich42027:10-36WLLW
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest41214:405WDDL
12NewcastleNewcastle41217:8-15LDWD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United41127:704LDWL
14SunderlandSunderland41123:5-24LDWL
15BournemouthBournemouth40316:7-13DDDL
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41036:11-53LWLL
17TottenhamTottenham40220:5-52DDLL
18FulhamFulham40134:7-31DLLL
19Aston VillaAston Villa40131:7-61LDLL
20CoventryCoventry40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArsenalArsenal48:112
2Manchester CityManchester City48:212
3BrentfordBrentford510:49
4LeedsLeeds47:38
5Hull CityHull City45:28
6BrightonBrighton413:57
7ChelseaChelsea510:127
8LiverpoolLiverpool46:46
9EvertonEverton45:36
10IpswichIpswich47:106
11Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest44:45
12NewcastleNewcastle47:85
13Manchester UnitedManchester United47:74
14SunderlandSunderland43:54
15BournemouthBournemouth46:73
16Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace46:113
17TottenhamTottenham40:52
18FulhamFulham44:71
19Aston VillaAston Villa41:71
20CoventryCoventry40:100
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Everton vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premier League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premier League

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Everton and Crystal Palace have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.13 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.