CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Prediction

CSKA Sofia
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Derry City
Vasil Levski National Sports Academy, Sofia· Visar Kastrati, Kosovo 09/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.45
SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+7.4%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.45
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+14.4%
CSKA Sofia Rest
6 days
Derry City Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.22
X
18%5.55
2
24%11.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.02
X2
42%3.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.25
No
53%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.19 = 2.53
Over 1.5
71%1.19
Over 2.5
47%1.65
Over 3.5
24%2.57
Under 1.5
29%4.25
Under 2.5
53%2.17
Under 3.5
76%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'I. Pittas
31'L. BoyceAssist: M. Duffy
41'B. JordaoAssist: S. Sensi
53'I. PittasAssist: Pastor
64'C. Dummigan INN. Twisk out
71'C. Grogan INJ. Stott out
72'L. Godoy INJ. Zwarts out
72'I. Solet INM. Brahimi out
75'B. CotterTripping
83'R. Slevin INJ. McClean out
85'S. Sensi INA. Piedrahita out
89'J. OlayinkaAssist: P. McClean

Lineups

CSKA Sofia
4-3-1-2Coach: Hristo Yanev
Derry City
4-4-2Coach: Tiernan Lynch
Fedor Lapoukhov21F. LapoukhovFedor Lapoukhov
Pastor2PastorPastor
Facundo Rodríguez32F. RodríguezFacundo Rodríguez
Teodor Ivanov14T. IvanovTeodor Ivanov
Ángelo Martino17Á. MartinoÁngelo Martino
Petko Panayotov30P. PanayotovPetko Panayotov
Bruno Jordão6B. JordãoBruno Jordão
Stefano Sensi8S. SensiStefano Sensi
Isaac Solet94I. SoletIsaac Solet
Leandro Godoy9L. GodoyLeandro Godoy
Ioannis Pittas28I. PittasIoannis Pittas
Brian Maher1B. MaherBrian Maher
Conor Barr22C. BarrConor Barr
Christy Grogan25C. GroganChristy Grogan
Patrick McClean3P. McCleanPatrick McClean
Robert Slevin6R. SlevinRobert Slevin
Barry Cotter2B. CotterBarry Cotter
James Olayinka28J. OlayinkaJames Olayinka
Cameron Dummigan23C. DummiganCameron Dummigan
Michael Duffy7M. DuffyMichael Duffy
Ellis Chapman14E. ChapmanEllis Chapman
Liam Boyce27L. BoyceLiam Boyce

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

25Dimitar EvtimovG
91Aleks TunchevD
3Tamimou OuorouD
5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
19Andrey YordanovD
34Vasil KaymakanovM
77Alejandro PiedrahitaM
11Mohamed Amine BrahimiM
38Léo PereiraM
99James Eto'oM
80Georgi Brankov ChorbadzhiyskiM
10Joël ZwartsF

Derry City Substitutes

26Shea CallisterG
13Tom NorcottG
4Jamie StottD
16James McCleanM
17Nick TwiskM
21Kévin SantosM
35Liam KellyM
20Carl WinchesterM
32Terence DohertyF

Match Stats

CSKA SofiaDerry City
0Yellow Cards1

Team Comparison

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
Derry CityDerry City
1679Elo Rating 1591
2.69Attack 2.47
1.63Defense 0.87
66%Hit Rate 42%
21.2Shots per Game 14.3
8.6Shots on Target 4.9
6.5Corners per Game 4.2
1.8Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Derry CityDerry City
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
2W0D3L
03/07/2026
CSKA SofiaMarek
30
W
24/06/2026
CSKA SofiaPolessya
04
L
25/05/2026
LudogoretsCSKA Sofia
10
L
20/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCSKA Sofia
3141
W
16/05/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia
20
L

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Europa League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

ScorePredicts covers UEFA Europa League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Derry City have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. CSKA Sofia and Derry City have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.