Curaçao vs Nicaragua Prediction

CONCACAF Nations LeagueWorld World · League A - 1
Cup
Curaçao
6-1
Finished
HT 5-0
Nicaragua
Ergilio Hato Stadium, Willemstad 28/09/2026
CuraçaoCuraçao
6-1
Finished
NicaraguaNicaragua

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-9.6%
Curaçao Rest
2 days
Nicaragua Rest
3 days

Curaçao vs Nicaragua: the result in context

Curaçao beat Nicaragua 6-1 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 28 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Curaçao tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.2 for Nicaragua.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.36
X
21%4.55
2
15%7.50
Double Chance
1X
85%1.07
X2
36%2.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.90
No
52%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 0.92 = 2.92
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
24%4.21
Under 2.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Livano Comenencia
11'Kenji GorreAssist: Juninho Bacuna
19'Leandro BacunaAssist: Jeremy Antonisse
27'Juninho Bacuna
28'Juninho Bacuna
29'Justing CanoFoul
32'Jordi Paulina
39'Kenji GorreAssist: Livano Comenencia
45'Leandro Bacuna INNicky Souren out
45'Juninho Bacuna INTahith Chong out
45'Justing Cano INChristian Reyes out
45'Jacob Christian Montes INOsmin Salinas out
45'Efraín Mejía INJaime Moreno out
45'Shurandy Sambo INTyrese Noslin out
49'Jaime MorenoDissent
57'Jordi Paulina INJürgen Locadia out
61'Kadeem Cole INAmadeus Zamora out
62'Jaime MorenoAssist: Raheem Cole
68'Raheem Cole INJonathan Moncada out
78'Kenji Gorre INKyano Penso out
88'Jürgen LocadiaAssist: Kyano Penso

Lineups

Curaçao
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Advocaat
Nicaragua
5-4-1Coach: J. Real
Avg rating7.40
Avg rating6.00
E. Room6.71E. Room
S. Sambo6.92S. Sambo
J. Gaari7.03J. Gaari
J. Carolina6.84J. Carolina
S. Floranus6.75S. Floranus
L. Comenencia9.08L. Comenencia
L. Bacuna8.210L. Bacuna
J. Bacuna8.07J. Bacuna
J. Antonisse7.711J. Antonisse
K. Gorré9.614K. Gorré
J. Paulina6.519J. Paulina
J. Vega12J. Vega
E. Gomez5.06E. Gomez
J. Cano5.55J. Cano
Ó. Acevedo5.73Ó. Acevedo
J. Pérez5.919J. Pérez
1515m. hernandez
R. Cole6.716R. Cole
K. Cole6.014K. Cole
J. Montes5.88J. Montes
1111E. Mejía
B. Bonilla6.210B. Bonilla

Curaçao Substitutes

23K. Zeggen
22T. Bodak
20J. Brenet
21T. Chong45'for Juninho Bacuna7.2
9J. Locadia57'for Jordi Paulina88'8.0
16J. Margaritha
15A. Martha
17T. Noslin45'for Shurandy Sambo6.6
18A. Obispo
12Kyano Penso78'replaced by Kenji Gorre
6N. Souren45'for Leandro Bacuna6.8

Nicaragua Substitutes

1B. Mayorga
20J. Moncada68'for Raheem Cole5.6
9J. Moreno45'replaced by Efraín Mejía49'62'7.0
21C. Reyes45'for Justing Cano5.7
17O. Salinas45'for Jacob Christian Montes6.1
13W. Talavera
18Amadeus Zamora61'replaced by Kadeem Cole
2Joab Gutierrez
4M. Fletes
7R. Estrada

Match Stats

CuraçaoNicaragua
57%Ball Possession43%
4Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots5
13Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots1
20Fouls13
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves7
507Total Passes369
457Passes Accurate300
13Free Kicks19

Team Comparison

CuraçaoCuraçao
NicaraguaNicaragua
1526Elo Rating 1385
2.33Attack 0.80
1.76Defense 0.00
59%Hit Rate 0%
19.6Shots per Game 8.0
7.5Shots on Target 1.3
6.7Corners per Game 4.2
1.8Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+141 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CuraçaoCuraçao
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NicaraguaNicaragua
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Recent Form

CuraçaoCuraçao
4W3D3L
25/09/2026
Costa RicaCuraçao
34
W
25/06/2026
CuraçaoIvory Coast
02
L
21/06/2026
EcuadorCuraçao
00
D14/06/2026
GermanyCuraçao
71
L
07/06/2026
CuraçaoAruba
40
W
30/05/2026
ScotlandCuraçao
41
L
19/11/2025
JamaicaCuraçao
00
D
14/11/2025
BermudaCuraçao
07
W
15/10/2025
CuraçaoTrinidad and Tobago
11
D
11/10/2025
CuraçaoJamaica
20
W
NicaraguaNicaragua
1W2D7L
25/09/2026
Dominican RepublicNicaragua
32
L
06/06/2026
ParaguayNicaragua
40
L
29/05/2026
South AfricaNicaragua
00
D
19/11/2025
HaitiNicaragua
20
L
14/11/2025
NicaraguaHonduras
20
W
14/10/2025
Costa RicaNicaragua
41
L
10/10/2025
NicaraguaHaiti
03
L
10/09/2025
HondurasNicaragua
20
L
06/09/2025
NicaraguaCosta Rica
11
D
11/06/2025
PanamaNicaragua
30
L

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About the Curaçao vs Nicaragua forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Curaçao and Nicaragua have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.