Germany vs Curaçao Prediction

Germany
7-1
Finished
HT 3-1
Curaçao
NRG Stadium, Houston·Jalal Jayed, Morocco 14/06/2026
GermanyGermany
7-1
Finished
CuraçaoCuraçao

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.73
SignalGOODModel90%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Germany Rest
7 days
Curaçao Rest
7 days

Germany vs Curaçao: the result in context

Germany beat Curaçao 7-1 in the World Cup on 14 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Germany had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Curaçao.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.04
X
21%20.50
2
6%43.50
Double Chance
1X
94%1.01
X2
27%14.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%3.25
No
47%1.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.75 + 0.9 = 3.65
Over 1.5
75%1.05
Over 2.5
52%1.17
Over 3.5
34%1.48
Under 1.5
25%11.00
Under 2.5
48%4.65
Under 3.5
66%2.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 2.7 = 9.3
Over 8.5
52%1.39
Over 9.5
47%1.67
Over 10.5
34%2.02
Under 8.5
48%2.85
Under 9.5
53%2.13
Under 10.5
66%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.1 = 3.6
Over 3.5
58%2.80
Over 4.5
35%4.60
Under 3.5
42%1.38
Under 4.5
65%1.17

Match Events

6'F. NmechaAssist: F. Wirtz
21'L. Comenencia
38'N. SchlotterbeckAssist: N. Brown
45+5'K. Havertz(Penalty)
46'S. Hansen INJ. Antonisse out
47'J. MusialaAssist: J. Kimmich
64'J. Musiala IND. Undav out
65'J. Locadia INJ. Margaritha out
68'N. BrownAssist: D. Undav
73'J. Tah INA. Rudiger out
73'F. Nmecha INL. Goretzka out
73'N. Brown IND. Raum out
78'D. UndavAssist: J. Kimmich
83'T. Chong ING. Kastaneer out
83'J. Kimmich INW. Anton out
88'K. HavertzAssist: D. Undav

Lineups

Germany
4-2-3-1Coach: Julian Nagelsmann
Curaçao
4-3-1-2Coach: Dick Advocaat
Avg rating7.45
Avg rating6.04
Manuel Neuer6.31M. Neuer
Joshua KimmichC8.26J. Kimmich
Jonathan Tah6.94J. Tah
Nico Schlotterbeck8.215N. Schlotterbeck
Nathaniel Brown8.018N. Brown
Felix Nmecha8.623F. Nmecha
Aleksandar Pavlović6.65A. Pavlović
Leroy Sané6.519L. Sané
Jamal Musiala8.210J. Musiala
Florian Wirtz7.617F. Wirtz
Kai Havertz8.37K. Havertz
Eloy Room4.61E. Room
Sherel Constancio Floranus5.35S. Constancio Floranus
Riechedly Bazoer5.023R. Bazoer
Armando Obispo5.918A. Obispo
Deveron Fonville5.024D. Fonville
Livano Comenencia7.38L. Comenencia
Leandro BacunaC6.310L. Bacuna
Juninho Bacuna6.67J. Bacuna
Tahith Chong6.321T. Chong
Jürgen Locadia6.79J. Locadia
Sontje Hansen6.712S. Hansen

Germany Substitutes

26Deniz Undav64'for J. Musiala78'8.9
21Alexander Nübel
12Oliver Baumann
22David Raum73'for N. Brown6.3
3Waldemar Anton83'for J. Kimmich
2Antonio Rüdiger73'for J. Tah6.3
24Malick Thiaw
9Jamie Leweling
8Leon Goretzka73'for F. Nmecha6.9
25Assan Ouédraogo
20Nadiem Amiri
16Angelo Stiller
13Pascal Groß
11Nick Woltemade
14Maximilian Beier

Curaçao Substitutes

11Jeremy Antonisse46'for S. Hansen6.3
16Jearl Margaritha65'for J. Locadia6.5
26Trevor Iriving Doornbusch
25Tyrick Bodak
3Jurien Gaari
20Joshua Brenet
2Shurandy Sambo
4Roshon van Eijma
15Ar'Jany Martha
14Kenji Gorré
22Kevin Felida
13Tyrese Noslin
6Godfried Roemeratoe
19Gervane Kastaneer83'for T. Chong
17Brandley Kuwas

Match Stats

GermanyCuraçao
65%Ball Possession35%
8Corner Kicks1
26Total Shots8
12Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
21Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots0
18Fouls11
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
637Total Passes343
554Passes Accurate282
87%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

GermanyGermany
CuraçaoCuraçao
1760Elo Rating 1526
0.76Attack 2.33
2.50Defense 1.76
23%Hit Rate 59%
19.7Shots per Game 19.6
4.8Shots on Target 7.5
6.7Corners per Game 6.7
1.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+234 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.65 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GermanyGermany
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CuraçaoCuraçao
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

GermanyGermany
7W0D3L
06/06/2026
USAGermany
12
W
31/05/2026
GermanyFinland
40
W
17/11/2025
GermanySlovakia
60
W
14/11/2025
LuxembourgGermany
02
W
13/10/2025
Northern IrelandGermany
01
W
10/10/2025
GermanyLuxembourg
40
W
07/09/2025
GermanyNorthern Ireland
31
W
04/09/2025
SlovakiaGermany
20
L
08/06/2025
GermanyFrance
02
L
04/06/2025
GermanyPortugal
12
L
CuraçaoCuraçao
4W4D2L
07/06/2026
CuraçaoAruba
40
W
30/05/2026
ScotlandCuraçao
41
L
19/11/2025
JamaicaCuraçao
00
D
14/11/2025
BermudaCuraçao
07
W
15/10/2025
CuraçaoTrinidad and Tobago
11
D
11/10/2025
CuraçaoJamaica
20
W
10/09/2025
CuraçaoBermuda
32
W
06/09/2025
Trinidad and TobagoCuraçao
00
D
25/06/2025
HondurasCuraçao
21
L
22/06/2025
CuraçaoCanada
11
D

Referee Profile

Jalal Jayed112 matches

3.43Cards per match
3.36Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
30.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jalal Jayed3.43
Other referees3.76

3.43 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.76).

Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GermanyGermany320110:4+66LWW
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast32014:2+26WLW
3EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
4CuraçaoCuraçao30121:9-81LDL
#TeamMPGPts
1GermanyGermany310:46
2Ivory CoastIvory Coast34:26
3EcuadorEcuador32:24
4CuraçaoCuraçao31:91

About the Germany vs Curaçao forecast

This is a World Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Germany and Curaçao in the World Cup table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Germany are 1st in the World Cup, 5 points ahead of Curaçao in 4th. League goal record so far: Germany 10-4, Curaçao 1-9. The full standings are on the World Cup Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Germany and Curaçao have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.