Danubio vs Wanderers Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-10.9%
Danubio Rest
7 days
Wanderers Rest
7 days
Danubio vs Wanderers: the result in context
Danubio and Wanderers drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.15
X29%3.10
232%3.20
Double Chance
1X68%1.30
X261%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.93
No51%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.34 = 2.51
Over 1.568%1.40
Over 2.544%2.25
Over 3.524%4.10
Under 1.532%2.75
Under 2.556%1.61
Under 3.576%1.20
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
39'M. Brasil
40'N. Cabral
46'M. Peralta INM. Ferreira out
54'L. Cosentino
58'L. Sosa INE. Cabrera out
60'E. Cabrera
61'John Kleber INI. Costantino out
65'S. Fernandez INC. Tizon out
65'J. Millan INI. Rossi out
71'J. Zeballos ING. Freitas out
71'F. Labandeira INJ. Luna out
73'L. Cosentino INR. Sanchez out
78'F. Formiliano INM. Acosta out
78'L. Zazpe IND. J. Mencia Hernandez out
83'M. Ferreira
Lineups
DanubioWanderers
3-5-2Coach: Mathias Corujo
1M. Goicoechea
4M. Rinaldi
19M. Brasil
6L. Sosa
18F. Balatti
10M. Peralta
5J. Millán
8S. Rodríguez
31T. Cavanagh
11J. Kleber
30S. Fernández
33A. Buffa
21S. Benítez
13F. Formiliano
2N. Cabral
31N. Furtado
16J. Alberti
5N. Queiroz
10L. Cosentino
6L. Zazpe
30F. Labandeira
24J. ZeballosDanubio Substitutes
20Maicol Ferreira46'for M. Peralta83'
7Enzo Cabrera58'for L. Sosa60'
80Cristhian Tizón65'for S. Fernandez
16Iván Rossi65'for J. Millan
32Kevin Martínez
29Martín Jourdan
28Luis Femia
38Joaquín Trasante
27Ivo Costantino61'replaced by John Kleber
77Bautista Tomatis
Wanderers Substitutes
25Gonzalo Freitas71'for J. Zeballos
11Jonás Luna71'for F. Labandeira
12José Rio
15Darlin Mencía78'for L. Zazpe
14Mateo Acosta78'for F. Formiliano
17Alan Garcia
26Renzo Sánchez73'for L. Cosentino
28Tomas Hernandez
7Rodrigo Rivero
9Santiago Ormeño
Team Comparison
DanubioWanderers1508Elo Rating 1495
1.98Attack 1.23
2.50Defense 0.97
66%Hit Rate 31%
8.5Shots per Game 4.9
3.1Shots on Target 2.5
4.1Corners per Game 5.9
3.1Cards per Game 2.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Danubio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
Wanderers- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Danubio1Wins · 13%Draws450%
Wanderers3Wins · 37%
3Wins · 37%1.8Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
06/06/2026WanderersDanubio00
21/03/2026WanderersDanubio21
16/03/2025DanubioWanderers22
24/03/2024DanubioWanderers02
07/03/2024WanderersDanubio01
03/06/2023WanderersDanubio11
29/04/2023DanubioWanderers02
02/04/2022DanubioWanderers00
Recent Form
Danubio1W4D5L
13/09/2026
JuventudDanubioDanubio
Racing Montevideo
Albion FCDanubio
Atletico TorqueDanubio
JuventudDanubio11
D05/09/2026Danubio
Penarol
DanubioPenarol04
L02/09/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio
Atletico TorqueDanubio20
L29/08/2026
ProgresoDanubio
ProgresoDanubio10
L26/08/2026Danubio
Atenas
23/08/2026DanubioAtenas32
WDanubioRacing Montevideo00
D15/08/2026
Boston RiverDanubio
Boston RiverDanubio00
D09/08/2026Danubio
Cerro
01/08/2026DanubioCerro01
LAlbion FCDanubio22
D25/07/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio10
LWanderers3W3D4L
12/09/2026Wanderers
Club Nacional
WanderersClub Nacional11
D10/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers41
L05/09/2026Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers20
L01/09/2026WanderersCerro
WanderersCerro11
D29/08/2026Wanderers
Central Espanol
23/08/2026WanderersCentral Espanol30
WAtletico TorqueWanderers51
L16/08/2026Wanderers
Cerro Largo
09/08/2026WanderersCerro Largo11
D
Defensor SportingWanderers01
W06/08/2026PenarolWanderers
01/08/2026PenarolWanderers51
LAtletico TorqueWanderers02
WReferee Profile
5.42Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).
Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 64 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 51:40 | +11 | 58 | LLWWL |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:39 | +15 | 57 | LDLLW |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:30 | +12 | 57 | DWWWD |
| 6 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 44:31 | +13 | 53 | WLDDL |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 50 | LLLWL |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 41 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Boston River | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 37 | LWWLW |
| 12 | Cerro | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 37 | DWLWL |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 14 | Progreso | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 | WLLDD |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 | DDWLW |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 32 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 51:27 | 64 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 33 | 51:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 33 | 54:39 | 57 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 42:30 | 57 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 33 | 44:31 | 53 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 41:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 37:41 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 11 | Boston River | 33 | 33:43 | 37 |
| 12 | Cerro | 33 | 27:48 | 37 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 14 | Progreso | 34 | 31:47 | 35 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 33 | 30:38 | 34 |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 28:43 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | 117:61 | +56 | 143 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 42 | 14 | 14 | 127:73 | +54 | 137 | LLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 32 | 22 | 16 | 95:68 | +27 | 118 | WLDDL |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | 81:68 | +13 | 110 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 70 | 30 | 16 | 24 | 108:90 | +18 | 106 | LDLLW |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | 82:80 | +2 | 102 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 75:81 | -6 | 97 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Boston River | 70 | 24 | 20 | 26 | 83:82 | +1 | 92 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 70 | 20 | 23 | 27 | 71:79 | -8 | 83 | DDWLW |
| 12 | Cerro | 70 | 22 | 18 | 30 | 60:90 | -30 | 83 | DWLWL |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 20 | 21 | 30 | 66:90 | -24 | 81 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 69:84 | -15 | 75 | DDDLD |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 20 | 14 | 37 | 69:107 | -38 | 74 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 117:61 | 143 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 127:73 | 137 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 95:68 | 118 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 81:68 | 110 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 70 | 108:90 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 82:80 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 75:81 | 97 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Boston River | 70 | 83:82 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 70 | 71:79 | 83 |
| 12 | Cerro | 70 | 60:90 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 66:90 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 69:84 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 69:107 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | LLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | LDLLW |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | WWDDW |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 5:9 | 4 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | DWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | LDLLW |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | LLLWL |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | DDDLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | DDWLW |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | LWWLW |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DWLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | +11 | 24 | WLDDL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | +6 | 23 | LLWWL |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | +9 | 22 | LDLLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 18 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 18 | DWLWL |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 16 | DWWWD |
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | WWDDW |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 | DDWLW |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 5 | LDWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 11 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 11 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 11 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 18:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro | 11 | 13:14 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 6:21 | 5 |
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This match
About the Danubio vs Wanderers forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Danubio and Wanderers in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Wanderers are 7th and Danubio 16th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Danubio 28-43, Wanderers 41-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Danubio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.