Primera División Predictions

UruguayUruguayLeague2026

Primera División Season Statistics

227Played
2.36Avg Goals
66%Over 1.5
44%Over 2.5
50%BTTS
41%Home Win
26%Draw
33%Away Win

Prediction Track Record

Best Pick

62%Success
34Best Picks Graded
1.32Avg

Value Analysis

56%Success
18Value Analysis Graded
1.42Avg
Albion FCAlbion FC
Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
Boston RiverBoston River
Central EspanolCentral Espanol
CerroCerro
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
Club NacionalClub Nacional
DanubioDanubio
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
10 of 16
Primera División
Clausura - 7
FinishedFT
Boston RiverBoston River
ProgresoProgreso
12
11.90
x3.23
23.84
Pick1x
Market1.22
Trust76%
SignalSOLID
Clausura - 6
FinishedFT
PenarolPenarol
Albion FCAlbion FC
31
11.44
x3.98
26.60
Pick1
Market1.44
Trust66%
SignalGOOD
FinishedFT
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
10
12.70
x3.08
22.45
Pickx2
Market1.38
Trust66%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
JuventudJuventud
DanubioDanubio
11
12.00
x3.10
23.56
Pick1x
Market1.25
Trust75%
SignalSOLID
Clausura - 5
FinishedFT
Albion FCAlbion FC
ProgresoProgreso
01
12.02
x3.25
23.38
Pick1x
Market1.25
Trust75%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
Boston RiverBoston River
10
11.78
x3.35
24.30
Pick1x
Market1.18
Trust77%
SignalSOLID
Clausura - 4
FinishedFT
PenarolPenarol
Club NacionalClub Nacional
01
12.30
x3.04
23.00
Pick1x
Market1.33
Trust72%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
13
13.20
x3.10
22.15
Pickx2
Market1.30
Trust76%
SignalGOOD
Clausura - 3
FinishedFT
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
11
12.89
x2.94
22.45
Pick1x
Market1.47
Trust69%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
Albion FCAlbion FC
Boston RiverBoston River
23
12.25
x3.00
23.13
Pick1x
Market1.30
Trust71%
SignalSOLID
Clausura - 1
FinishedFT
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo
22
12.63
x2.90
22.70
Pick1x
Market1.40
Trust73%
SignalNEUTRAL
FinishedFT
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
WanderersWanderers
01
12.16
x3.13
23.25
PickG U3.5
Market1.25
Trust78%
SignalNEUTRAL
FinishedFT
Central EspanolCentral Espanol
ProgresoProgreso
10
12.38
x2.98
22.99
Pick1x
Market1.34
Trust77%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
JuventudJuventud
11
12.79
x3.00
22.52
Pick1x
Market1.45
Trust70%
SignalNEUTRAL
Torneo Intermedio - 7
FinishedFT
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
JuventudJuventud
00
11.81
x3.45
23.98
Pick1x
Market1.20
Trust80%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
Albion FCAlbion FC
DanubioDanubio
22
12.10
x3.10
23.50
Pick1x
Market1.26
Trust77%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
WanderersWanderers
02
11.78
x3.40
24.26
Pick1x
Market1.19
Trust80%
SignalSOLID
Torneo Intermedio - 6
FinishedFT
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
12
12.52
x3.00
22.72
Pick1x
Market1.40
Trust78%
SignalGOOD
FinishedFT
Central EspanolCentral Espanol
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
01
12.45
x2.95
22.90
Pick1x
Market1.36
Trust79%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
DanubioDanubio
10
11.75
x3.50
24.40
PickG O1.5
Market1.33
Trust81%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
PenarolPenarol
Boston RiverBoston River
30
11.53
x3.85
25.75
Pick1
Market1.53
Trust63%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
ProgresoProgreso
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
10
13.95
x3.30
21.88
PickG O1.5
Market1.33
Trust82%
SignalHIGH
FinishedFT
Albion FCAlbion FC
JuventudJuventud
01
12.15
x3.15
23.30
Pick1x
Market1.30
Trust75%
SignalSOLID
Torneo Intermedio - 5
FinishedFT
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
11
12.85
x3.00
22.50
Pick1x
Market1.44
Trust74%
SignalGOOD
FinishedFT
Boston RiverBoston River
Central EspanolCentral Espanol
00
12.21
x3.10
23.15
PickG U3.5
Market1.21
Trust77%
SignalNEUTRAL
FinishedFT
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
CerroCerro
12
11.65
x3.48
25.28
Pick1
Market1.65
Trust60%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
WanderersWanderers
ProgresoProgreso
20
12.00
x3.23
23.65
Pick1x
Market1.25
Trust78%
SignalSOLID
FinishedFT
JuventudJuventud
Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
13
12.73
x3.15
22.50
PickG O1.5
Market1.33
Trust79%
SignalNEUTRAL
FinishedFT
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
Albion FCAlbion FC
11
12.05
x3.27
23.50
Pick1x
Market1.26
Trust75%
SignalSOLID
Torneo Intermedio - 2
FinishedFT
DanubioDanubio
JuventudJuventud
11
12.55
x3.10
22.70
PickG O1.5
Market1.40
Trust81%
SignalGOOD

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

About Primera División Predictions

Our model analyzes Primera División fixtures in Uruguay using Elo ratings, recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and live market movement. Predictions are updated as new data becomes available and ahead of every scheduled kickoff.

As a knockout competition, Primera División also includes two-legged ties, extra-time and penalty scenarios. Our bracket view tracks each tie's aggregate score and the predicted path through to the final.

How to Read the Forecasts

Every Primera División pick comes with a confidence signal ranging from Neutral up through Solid, Good, High and Strong. A Strong signal means the model sees a large, well-supported probability gap behind that pick; a Neutral signal means the match is closer to a coin flip and the forecast should be treated with more caution. We show this openly so you can weigh each forecast against your own read of the match, rather than trusting a single number in the dark.

Primera División Season Statistics

So far this season, Primera División matches have averaged 2.36 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 50% of matches and 44% going over 2.5 total goals.

Home teams have won 41% of Primera División matches this season, compared to 26% draws and 33% away wins.

Since we started covering Primera División, our Best Pick model has correctly forecast 62% of 34 graded predictions.