Juventud vs Danubio Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Juventud Rest
6 days
Danubio Rest
7 days
Juventud vs Danubio: the result in context
Juventud and Danubio drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. Juventud had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Danubio.
Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Juventud tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.5 for Danubio.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%2.00
X25%3.10
223%3.56
Double Chance
1X77%1.25
X248%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.93
No50%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 0.97 = 2.61
Over 1.572%1.40
Over 2.546%2.22
Over 3.527%4.20
Under 1.528%2.77
Under 2.554%1.61
Under 3.573%1.20
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
20'S. FernandezAssist: L. Sosa
30'S. Fernandez(Penalty missed)
46'R. Rabino INK. Rolon out
46'E. Mas INF. Risso out
59'A. Alaniz INF. Mimbacas out
67'S. Fernandez INE. Cabrera out
67'M. Brasil INE. Velazquez out
67'G. Pereiro INM. Diaz out
75'B. Tomatis INI. Costantino out
75'M. Peralta INJ. Trasante out
79'A. Cruz INB. Arady out
81'S. Sosa
82'E. Velazquez
82'L. Sosa INC. Tizon out
86'F. MimbacasAssist: E. Cecchini
Lineups
JuventudDanubio
3-5-1-1Coach: Gustavo Matosas
1S. Sosa
24F. Barrandeguy
2P. Pernicone
23E. Más
16R. Rabino
14L. Roldán
19E. Cecchini
15A. Cruz
26G. Pereiro
10B. Larregui
7A. Alaniz
1M. Goicoechea
4M. Rinaldi
19M. Brasil
31T. Cavanagh
18F. Balatti
8S. Rodríguez
5J. Millán
10M. Peralta
6L. Sosa
30S. Fernández
77B. TomatisJuventud Substitutes
28Franco Risso46'for E. Mas
80Fernando Mimbacas59'for A. Alaniz86'
12Fabrizio Correa
5Angel Morosini
8Kevin Rolón46'for R. Rabino
22Rodrigo Chagas
27Juan Boselli
31Mirko Díaz67'for G. Pereiro
30Gonzalo Gomez
20Bruno Arady79'for A. Cruz
Danubio Substitutes
32Kevin Martínez
2Emiliano Velázquez67'for M. Brasil82'
80Cristhian Tizón82'for L. Sosa
38Joaquín Trasante75'for M. Peralta
16Iván Rossi
28Luis Femia
17Ezeguiel Velázquez
20Maicol Ferreira
27Ivo Costantino75'for B. Tomatis
7Enzo Cabrera67'for S. Fernandez
Team Comparison
JuventudDanubio1576Elo Rating 1518
0.74Attack 2.16
2.13Defense 2.07
37%Hit Rate 54%
6.1Shots per Game 7.2
1.9Shots on Target 2.5
7.0Corners per Game 3.5
3.8Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Juventud- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
Danubio- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Juventud2Wins · 34%Draws233%
Danubio2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%2.8Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6
Previous meetings
05/07/2026DanubioJuventud11
16/03/2026DanubioJuventud41
21/06/2025JuventudDanubio31
09/02/2025JuventudDanubio22
13/10/2021DanubioJuventud01
01/07/2021JuventudDanubio01
Recent Form
Juventud4W3D3L
06/09/2026
Club NacionalJuventud
Cerro LargoJuventud
Deportivo MaldonadoJuventud
Albion FCJuventudJuventud
Atletico Torque
Club NacionalJuventud22
D02/09/2026
Central EspanolJuventud
Central EspanolJuventud30
L29/08/2026JuventudDeportivo Maldonado
JuventudDeportivo Maldonado20
W26/08/2026Juventud
Oriental
JuventudOriental10
W22/08/2026Central EspanolJuventud
Central EspanolJuventud01
W15/08/2026JuventudAtletico Torque
08/08/2026JuventudAtletico Torque01
LCerro LargoJuventud11
D01/08/2026Deportivo MaldonadoJuventud00
D17/07/2026Albion FCJuventud01
W11/07/2026JuventudAtletico Torque13
LDanubio1W4D5L
05/09/2026Danubio
Penarol
DanubioPenarol04
L02/09/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio
Atletico TorqueDanubio20
L29/08/2026
ProgresoDanubio
ProgresoDanubio10
L26/08/2026Danubio
Atenas
23/08/2026DanubioAtenas32
WDanubio
Racing Montevideo00
D15/08/2026
Boston RiverDanubio
Boston RiverDanubio00
D09/08/2026Danubio
Cerro
01/08/2026DanubioCerro01
LAlbion FCDanubio22
D25/07/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio10
L11/07/2026DanubioClub Nacional
DanubioClub Nacional00
DLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 52:28 | +24 | 65 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 63 | LDWWL |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 59:41 | +18 | 63 | WDLDL |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 53:42 | +11 | 61 | LWLLW |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 45:31 | +14 | 60 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 47:31 | +16 | 59 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Wanderers | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 42:44 | -2 | 51 | WLLLW |
| 8 | Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 9 | Juventud | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 41 | DDWLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 11 |  Defensor Sporting | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 35:43 | -8 | 39 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 33:41 | -8 | 37 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 34:47 | -13 | 37 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 29:53 | -24 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Progreso | 35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 31:49 | -18 | 35 | LWLLD |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 29:45 | -16 | 32 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 52:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 35 | 59:41 | 63 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 35 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 35 | 45:31 | 60 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 47:31 | 59 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | 42:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 35 | 47:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Juventud | 35 | 37:43 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 35:43 | 39 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 35 | 33:41 | 37 |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | 34:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | 29:53 | 37 |
| 15 | Progreso | 35 | 31:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 29:45 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 43 | 15 | 14 | 118:62 | +56 | 144 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 43 | 14 | 15 | 129:75 | +54 | 140 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 63 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 98:68 | +30 | 124 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 72 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 84:69 | +15 | 113 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 72 | 32 | 16 | 24 | 113:92 | +21 | 112 | WDLDL |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 82:82 | 0 | 102 | DDWLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 27 | 19 | 26 | 77:81 | -4 | 100 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 10 | Boston River | 72 | 24 | 20 | 28 | 84:86 | -2 | 92 | LWLWW |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 72 | 21 | 23 | 28 | 74:82 | -8 | 86 | LLDDW |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 22 | 18 | 32 | 62:95 | -33 | 83 | LDDWL |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 67:91 | -24 | 82 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 16 | 27 | 29 | 70:86 | -16 | 75 | WDDDL |
| 16 | Progreso | 72 | 20 | 14 | 38 | 69:109 | -40 | 74 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 118:62 | 144 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 129:75 | 140 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 98:68 | 124 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 72 | 84:69 | 113 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 72 | 113:92 | 112 |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 82:82 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 77:81 | 100 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 35 | 47:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Boston River | 72 | 84:86 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 72 | 74:82 | 86 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 62:95 | 83 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 67:91 | 82 |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 70:86 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 72 | 69:109 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | WDLDL |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | WWWDD |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | LWLLD |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 5:9 | 4 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | LDWWL |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | WDLDL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | DLWLD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | WDDDL |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DDWLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | LWLLD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | LDDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 30 | DLWLD |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | 28 | WDLDL |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 26 | LWLLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 22 | LDWWL |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 19 | LWLLD |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 18 | DDWLL |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | WWWDD |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 12 | WDWLD |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 | WDDDL |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 | LLDDW |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 | WLDWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 13 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 8:22 | 8 |
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About the Juventud vs Danubio forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Juventud and Danubio in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Juventud are 9th and Danubio 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventud 37-43, Danubio 29-45. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Danubio have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.