DC United vs Toronto FC Prediction

DC United
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
Audi Field, Washington· S. Boiko 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalSOLIDModel47%RiskMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.50
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+14.3%
DC United Rest
2 days
Toronto FC Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.13
X
27%3.51
2
27%3.25
Double Chance
1X
73%1.32
X2
54%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
75%1.67
No
25%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.94 + 1.17 = 3.11
Over 1.5
80%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.83
Over 3.5
36%3.10
Under 1.5
20%3.75
Under 2.5
41%1.98
Under 3.5
64%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.39
Over 9.5
47%1.68
Over 10.5
36%2.06
Under 8.5
40%2.83
Under 9.5
53%2.12
Under 10.5
64%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.3 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%1.34
Over 4.5
54%1.82
Under 3.5
29%2.90
Under 4.5
46%1.86

Match Events

41'K. RowlesAssist: K. Kurokawa
46'Z. Monlouis INA. Coello out
53'L. Munteanu
54'D. Etienne IND. Mihailovic out
54'E. Aristizabal IND. Kerr out
65'Peglow INJ. Stroud out
65'J. Hopkins INM. Peltola out
76'T. Corbeanu
80'B. Servania INH. Kijima out
80'K. Rowles INS. Nealis out
85'L. Munteanu INN. Ordaz out
88'J. Osorio
90+2'T. Corbeanu INM. Henry out
90+10'T. Baribo(Penalty)

Lineups

DC United
4-4-2Coach: Rene Weiler
Toronto FC
3-4-2-1Coach: Robin Fraser
Sean Johnson1S. JohnsonSean Johnson
Silvan Hefti5S. HeftiSilvan Hefti
Lucas Bartlett3L. BartlettLucas Bartlett
Kye Rowles15K. RowlesKye Rowles
Keisuke Kurokawa6K. KurokawaKeisuke Kurokawa
Jackson Hopkins25J. HopkinsJackson Hopkins
Brandon Servania23B. ServaniaBrandon Servania
Andre Dozzell21A. DozzellAndre Dozzell
João Peglow7J. PeglowJoão Peglow
Louis Munteanu11L. MunteanuLouis Munteanu
Tai Baribo9T. BariboTai Baribo
Luka Gavran1L. GavranLuka Gavran
Zane Monlouis12Z. MonlouisZane Monlouis
Walker Zimmerman25W. ZimmermanWalker Zimmerman
Jackson Gilman38J. GilmanJackson Gilman
Kobe Franklin19K. FranklinKobe Franklin
Richie Laryea22R. LaryeaRichie Laryea
Jonathan Osorio21J. OsorioJonathan Osorio
Dániel Sallói20D. SallóiDániel Sallói
Theo Corbeanu7T. CorbeanuTheo Corbeanu
Derrick Etienne11D. EtienneDerrick Etienne
Emilio Aristizábal17E. AristizábalEmilio Aristizábal

DC United Substitutes

26Alex BonoG
13Sean NealisD
27Nikola MarkovicD
4Matti PeltolaD
8Jared StroudM
77Hosei KijimaM
22Nathan OrdazF
32Oscar AvilezF

Toronto FC Substitutes

23William YarbroughG
77Adisa De RosarioG
44Raheem EdwardsD
14Alonso CoelloM
10Đorđe MihailovićM
78Malik HenryM
99Jules-Anthony VilsaintF
29Deandre KerrF

Match Stats

DC UnitedToronto FC
45%Ball Possession55%
8Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
13Fouls7
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves6
313Total Passes399
247Passes Accurate334
79%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

DC UnitedDC United
Toronto FCToronto FC
1510Elo Rating 1546
0.62Attack 1.68
1.85Defense 0.88
23%Hit Rate 37%
11.0Shots per Game 14.9
3.2Shots on Target 5.7
4.8Corners per Game 4.1
2.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend73% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DC UnitedDC United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Toronto FCToronto FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

DC United 19%Draw 39%41% Toronto FC
3.32Avg Goals
73%BTTS Rate
73%Over 2.5

Recent Form

DC UnitedDC United
0W4D1L
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
24/05/2026
DC UnitedCF Montreal
44
D
17/05/2026
DC UnitedSt. Louis City
11
D
14/05/2026
DC UnitedChicago Fire
13
L
10/05/2026
Nashville SCDC United
22
D
Toronto FCToronto FC
0W2D3L
23/07/2026
New England RevolutionToronto FC
00
D
17/07/2026
CF MontrealToronto FC
00
D
24/05/2026
Chicago FireToronto FC
21
L
17/05/2026
CharlotteToronto FC
31
L
09/05/2026
Toronto FCInter Miami
24
L

Referee Profile

S. Boiko · 46 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
21.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 33% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami25129461:46+1545DDDWL
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2561:4645
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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DC United vs Toronto FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

DC United and Toronto FC have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.32 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.