Houston Dynamo vs DC United Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 18
Shell Energy Stadium, Houston· V. Rivas 23/07/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20SignalSOLIDModel59%RiskMediumGap-2.1%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.67SignalHIGHModel56%RiskMediumGap+12.6%
Houston Dynamo Rest
7 days
DC United Rest
60 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.76
X26%3.80
219%4.37
Double Chance
1X81%1.20
X245%2.01
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.67
No40%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.09 = 2.84
Over 1.584%1.22
Over 2.560%1.75
Over 3.535%2.87
Under 1.516%4.00
Under 2.540%2.08
Under 3.565%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 10
Over 8.561%1.45
Over 9.550%1.73
Over 10.536%2.15
Under 8.539%2.55
Under 9.550%2.00
Under 10.564%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.8 = 5
Over 3.572%1.30
Over 4.555%1.74
Under 3.528%3.23
Under 4.545%2.02
Match Events
40'H. Herrera
53'J. Hopkins INM. Peltola out
59'D. McGuire INE. Ponce out
61'Lucas Halter INE. Sviatchenko out
67'S. Hefti
68'B. Servania INJ. Stroud out
68'L. Munteanu INN. Ordaz out
68'Peglow INH. Kijima out
70'Artur
71'T. Baribo
72'A. Dozzell
77'L. Ennali INF. Negri out
78'H. Herrera IND. Samassekou out
78'T. BariboAssist: N. Ordaz
88'M. Bogusz INO. Lingr out
88'Felipe Andrade IND. Holmes out
88'A. Dozzell INN. Markovic out
90+5'J. Stroud
90+7'E. Sviatchenko
Lineups
Houston DynamoDC United
4-4-2Coach: Rene Weiler
31J. BondJonathan Bond
36F. AndradeFelipe Andrade
5L. HalterLucas Halter
34A. ReschAgustin Resch
11L. EnnaliLawrence Ennali
6ArturArtur
19M. BoguszMateusz Bogusz
8J. McGlynnJack McGlynn
16H. HerreraHéctor Herrera
20GuilhermeGuilherme
23D. McGuireDuncan McGuire
1S. JohnsonSean Johnson
5S. HeftiSilvan Hefti
3L. BartlettLucas Bartlett
13S. NealisSean Nealis
6K. KurokawaKeisuke Kurokawa
25J. HopkinsJackson Hopkins
21A. DozzellAndre Dozzell
23B. ServaniaBrandon Servania
7J. PeglowJoão Peglow
9T. BariboTai Baribo
11L. MunteanuLouis MunteanuHouston Dynamo Substitutes
10Ezequiel PonceF
28Erik SviatchenkoD
21Franco NegriD
18Diadié SamassékouM
14Duane HolmesM
9Ondrej LingrM
26Blake GillinghamG
30Agustín BouzatM
24Ibrahim AliyuF
DC United Substitutes
4Matti PeltolaD
77Hosei KijimaM
8Jared StroudM
22Nathan OrdazF
27Nikola MarkovicD
26Alex BonoG
20Grant LeveilleG
32Oscar AvilezF
17Jacob MurrellF
Match Stats
Houston DynamoDC United 64%Ball Possession36%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots3
8Fouls15
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
537Total Passes306
486Passes Accurate259
91%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
Houston DynamoDC United1653Elo Rating 1510
0.60Attack 0.62
2.22Defense 1.85
23%Hit Rate 23%
13.0Shots per Game 11.0
4.3Shots on Target 3.2
4.1Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+143 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Houston Dynamo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
DC United- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
Houston Dynamo 54%Draw 0%46% DC United
3.62Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Houston Dynamo3W1D1L
16/07/2026Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali21
W12/07/2026Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia30
W24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo11
D20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo4222
L17/05/2026Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps10
WDC United1W3D1L
24/05/2026DC United
CF Montreal
DC UnitedCF Montreal44
D17/05/2026DC UnitedSt. Louis City
DC UnitedSt. Louis City11
D14/05/2026DC United
Chicago Fire
DC UnitedChicago Fire13
L10/05/2026
Nashville SCDC United
Nashville SCDC United22
D03/05/2026
New York City FCDC United
New York City FCDC United02
WReferee Profile
V. Rivas · 104 matches analysed
4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed
League Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | +33 | 49 | WLWLW |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | +4 | 44 | DLWDD |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | +9 | 44 | WWDWD |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | +7 | 44 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | +8 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | +14 | 41 | DLWDD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | +1 | 36 | DWDLW |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 10 |  San Diego | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 31 | DLLLW |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 | DWDDW |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 | DDDDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego | 26 | 44:44 | 31 |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 29:63 | 18 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | +32 | 57 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | +12 | 46 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | +15 | 46 | DDDDW |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | +10 | 43 | WDWDW |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | +7 | 39 | LLDDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 36 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 | WWLDL |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | +5 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 | LLWDD |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | WDLDL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 26 | 63:48 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion
Houston Dynamo vs DC United Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
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Key Factors for This Match
Houston Dynamo and DC United have met 2 times recently, averaging 3.62 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.