Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Alvarado Prediction

Salomon Boeseldin, Ramallo 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-6.2%
Defensores de Belgrano VR Rest
7 days
Alvarado Rest
7 days

Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Alvarado: the result in context

Defensores de Belgrano VR and Alvarado drew 2-2 in the Torneo Federal A on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.55
X
34%2.75
2
30%2.80
Double Chance
1X
70%1.35
X2
64%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%2.37
No
64%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 0.73 = 1.78
Over 1.5
55%1.62
Over 2.5
28%3.00
Over 3.5
5%6.00
Under 1.5
45%2.15
Under 2.5
72%1.36
Under 3.5
95%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'Eloy roige
19'Germán Cervera
35'santiago gutierrez
68'
74'Matias Perez INCarlos Nahuel Speck out
74'Germán Cervera INGerman Sosa out
77'bruno latof
83'
84'Eloy roige INadrian rodriguez out
84'juan cartechini INlautaro gaitan out
90+3'samuel franco velazquez

Lineups

Defensores de Belgrano VR
Alvarado
Coach: Pablo Martel

Defensores de Belgrano VR Starting XI

1S. Velázquez90+3'
9E. Roige11'84'replaced by adrian rodriguez
5Mateo Ramos
4A. Ponce
3Franco Pezzani
7E. Luna
6Federico Gay
8J. Cartechini84'replaced by lautaro gaitan
11Jeremias Bertacin
10T. Bacas
2J. Avalos

Alvarado Starting XI

1E. Bilbao
3M. Perez74'replaced by Carlos Nahuel Speck
8M. Mansilla
11R. Makarte
10S. Gutiérrez35'
6C. Gorgerino
2T. Fernández
5T. Federico
7L. Chiozza
9G. Cervera19'74'replaced by German Sosa
4T. Berra

Defensores de Belgrano VR Substitutes

12Kevin Vizgarra
18M. Tuset
19Adrian Rodriguez84'for Eloy roige
17Milton Olego
16G. Medina
20B. Latof77'
14Valentín Benítez
15L. Gaitan84'for juan cartechini

Alvarado Substitutes

12A. Zapata
16N. Speck74'for Matias Perez
20G. Sosa74'for Germán Cervera
19F. Pinoni
14Lautaro Nunez
17M. Miori
15P. Hofstetter
18A. Castellano

Match Stats

Defensores de Belgrano VRAlvarado
59%Ball Possession41%
2Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR
AlvaradoAlvarado
1515Elo Rating 1585
0.84Attack 0.86
1.78Defense 2.30
14%Hit Rate 19%
12.0Shots per Game 10.5
5.2Shots on Target 2.5
3.8Corners per Game 3.4
1.3Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
AlvaradoAlvarado
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR
5W2D3L
20/09/2026
Sarmiento de La BandaDefensores de Belgrano VR
02
W
06/09/2026
Defensores de Belgrano VRSan Martin Formosa
10
W
30/08/2026
9 de Julio RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano VR
10
L
23/08/2026
Defensores de Belgrano VRGimnasia Chivilcoy
01
L
17/08/2026
Sportivo BelgranoDefensores de Belgrano VR
02
W
12/08/2026
Defensores de Belgrano VRDouglas Haig
00
D
09/08/2026
Sol de AméricaDefensores de Belgrano VR
10
L
02/08/2026
Defensores de Belgrano VRBartolomé Mitre
10
W
25/07/2026
Defensores de Belgrano VRGimnasia Chivilcoy
22
D
13/07/2026
9 de Julio RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano VR
12
W

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Seeded
Cipolletti
Seeded
San Martin Formosa
Seeded
Alvarado
Seeded
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Defensores de Belgrano VR
Seeded
Cipolletti
Seeded
San Martin Formosa
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded
Circulo Deportivo
Seeded
Sol de Mayo
Seeded

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the Defensores de Belgrano VR vs Alvarado forecast

As a knockout tie in the Torneo Federal A, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Defensores de Belgrano VR and Alvarado in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, Defensores de Belgrano VR (7th) and Alvarado (5th) are level on 27 points. League goal record so far: Defensores de Belgrano VR 24-20, Alvarado 19-7. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Defensores de Belgrano VR and Alvarado have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.