Deportivo Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 4
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco· Julio Cesar Quiroz, Peru 09/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.03SignalHIGHModel58%RiskMediumGap+7.5%
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
6 days
UCV Moquegua Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.52
X25%3.90
215%6.00
Double Chance
1X85%1.11
X240%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.03
No47%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 0.91 = 2.46
Over 1.571%1.30
Over 2.548%1.96
Over 3.526%3.35
Under 1.529%3.25
Under 2.552%1.79
Under 3.574%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.88
Over 9.545%2.42
Over 10.529%3.26
Under 8.543%1.81
Under 9.555%1.48
Under 10.571%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
26'B. Da SilvaAssist: F. Arancibia
29'Y. ZapataUnsportsmanlike conduct
60'A. Davila INA. Lecaros out
62'C. Olivares INF. Castelli out
64'J. Collazos INM. Negron out
65'C. Enciso INC. Ramirez out
70'K. Sandoval INA. Ascues out
72'C. RamirezFoul
79'E. Lastre INBryan Angulo out
79'E. Montenegro INE. M. Santillan Vargas out
83'F. ArancibiaAssist: A. Gonzalez
87'B. Da Silva INS. Ramirez out
87'F. Arancibia INJ. A. Rosell Delgado out
88'C. MejiaFoul
Lineups
Deportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
4-2-3-1Coach: Jaime Serna
1P. ZubczukPatrick Zubczuk
55E. CanalesErick Canales
2A. SalazarAldair Salazar
19A. GomezAgustin Gomez
23X. MorenoXavi Moreno
18C. RamosCarlos Ramos
8A. GonzálezAgustín González
11F. ArancibiaFrancisco Arancibia
10K. SandovalKevin Sandoval
30B. Da SilvaBeto Da Silva
24C. OlivaresChristopher Olivares
1C. GradosCarlos Grados
22E. MontenegroEros Montenegro
13J. Diego LojasJuan Diego Lojas
3C. EncisoCristian Enciso
4A. PerlecheAldair Perleche
8C. MejiaCristian Mejia
25R. ChipaoRicardo Chipao
7E. LastreEdgar Lastre
16A. DavilaAllonso Davila
17Y. ZapataYorman Zapata
90J. CollazosJeferson CollazosDeportivo Garcilaso Substitutes
9Facundo CastelliF
27Adrián AscuesM
31Juniors BarbieriG
22Jefferson PortalesD
33Samir VillacortaD
20Anthony RosellD
35Joao MendozaM
17Sharif RamírezF
6Cesar FloresM
UCV Moquegua Substitutes
24Alexander LecarosF
14Claudio RamírezM
9Marcello NegrónF
29Renzo FigueroaG
6Jimmy JiménezD
30Jose GrandaD
11Bryan AnguloF
35Edgar SantillánM
28Leandro RojasF
Match Stats
Deportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua 46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
2Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots1
15Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
338Total Passes392
272Passes Accurate339
80%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
Deportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua1679Elo Rating 1488
1.77Attack 0.75
2.11Defense 0.89
59%Hit Rate 14%
15.1Shots per Game 12.5
6.4Shots on Target 3.5
5.6Corners per Game 4.9
2.7Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+191 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportivo Garcilaso- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UCV Moquegua- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
Deportivo Garcilaso 0%Draw 54%46% UCV Moquegua
0.46Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Deportivo Garcilaso3W0D2L
02/08/2026
ADTDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
ADTDeportivo Garcilaso01
W27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
W17/07/2026Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso10
L12/07/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
L29/06/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Binacional
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Binacional41
WUCV Moquegua1W4D0L
02/08/2026UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UTC CajamarcaUCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
Comerciantes UnidosFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar00
D26/07/2026UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua00
D18/07/2026UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos22
D12/07/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
29/06/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
WFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
DReferee Profile
Julio Cesar Quiroz, Peru · 28 matches analysed
5.0Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
25.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 87% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 | DDWLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 38:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDWLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Deportivo Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Deportivo Garcilaso have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Deportivo Garcilaso and UCV Moquegua have met 2 times recently, averaging 0.46 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.