UCV Moquegua vs FBC Melgar Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 3
Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua· Sebastian Lozano, Peru 02/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
2.11SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+9.0%
UCV Moquegua Rest
7 days
FBC Melgar Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
123%3.80
X28%3.29
249%1.95
Double Chance
1X51%1.79
X277%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.89
No47%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.3 = 2.42
Over 1.571%1.33
Over 2.548%2.10
Over 3.526%3.75
Under 1.529%3.00
Under 2.552%1.67
Under 3.574%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.5 = 8.8
Over 8.553%2.11
Over 9.538%2.70
Over 10.529%3.85
Under 8.547%1.65
Under 9.562%1.40
Under 10.571%1.20
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 3.3 = 6.1
Over 3.581%-
Over 4.574%1.71
Under 3.519%-
Under 4.526%1.99
Match Events
32'Y. ZapataFoul
46'N. Chavez INC. Ramirez out
61'C. Enciso INK. Ruiz out
67'J. Collazos INBryan Angulo out
69'N. Quagliata INL. Guzman out
69'C. Bordacahar INJ. Caceres out
71'K. Ruiz INA. Davila out
71'Y. Zapata INA. Lecaros out
76'C. RamirezFoul
86'N. Cabanillas INM. Zegarra out
86'W. Tandazo INM. Portillo out
Lineups
UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar
4-2-3-1Coach: Miguel Rondelli
1C. GradosCarlos Grados
22E. MontenegroEros Montenegro
13J. Diego LojasJuan Diego Lojas
3C. EncisoCristian Enciso
4A. PerlecheAldair Perleche
10N. ChavezNicolas Chavez
25R. ChipaoRicardo Chipao
7E. LastreEdgar Lastre
8C. MejiaCristian Mejia
17Y. ZapataYorman Zapata
90J. CollazosJeferson Collazos
21J. CabezudoJorge Cabezudo
33M. LazoMatías Lazo
23J. EscobarJuan Escobar
3L. GonzálezLeonel González
27N. CabanillasNelson Cabanillas
24W. TandazoWalter Tandazo
25K. MindaKevin Minda
7C. BordacaharCristian Bordacahar
10N. QuagliataNicolás Quagliata
11J. VidalesJhonny Vidales
9B. CuestaBernardo CuestaUCV Moquegua Substitutes
29Renzo FigueroaG
6Jimmy JiménezD
30Jose GrandaD
16Allonso DavilaF
77Kevin RuizM
14Claudio RamírezM
20Diego RamírezM
24Alexander LecarosF
11Bryan AnguloF
FBC Melgar Substitutes
12Carlos CácedaG
5Alec DeneumostierD
90Jesus AlcantarD
16Jefferson CaceresM
8Lautaro GuzmánF
26Marcos PortilloM
77Franco ZanelattoF
80Jhamir D'ArrigoM
45Matías ZegarraD
Match Stats
UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar 29%Ball Possession71%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
8Total Shots9
0Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
3Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots4
10Fouls10
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves0
250Total Passes629
162Passes Accurate545
65%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar1488Elo Rating 1673
0.75Attack 1.55
0.89Defense 2.64
14%Hit Rate 64%
12.5Shots per Game 15.6
3.5Shots on Target 6.2
4.9Corners per Game 4.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
UCV Moquegua- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
FBC Melgar- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
UCV Moquegua 0%Draw 54%46% FBC Melgar
1.84Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5
Recent Form
UCV Moquegua2W3D0L
26/07/2026
UTC CajamarcaUCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
Comerciantes UnidosFBC MelgarUCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
Bentín Tacna Heroica
UTC CajamarcaUCV Moquegua00
D18/07/2026UCV MoqueguaComerciantes Unidos22
D12/07/2026UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
29/06/2026UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso4020
WFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D21/06/2026UCV MoqueguaBentín Tacna Heroica32
WFBC Melgar2W2D1L
26/07/2026FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoFBC MelgarFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
W18/07/2026CiencianoFBC Melgar13
W29/06/2026FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar00
D12/06/2026
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar32
LReferee Profile
Sebastian Lozano, Peru · 20 matches analysed
4.5Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 62% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | +5 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 | DDDWL |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 |  ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 40:35 | 40 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LDDWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDDWL |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 19 | LDDWL |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 7 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
UCV Moquegua vs FBC Melgar Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
UCV Moquegua and FBC Melgar have met 2 times recently, averaging 1.84 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.