Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction

Estadio Roque F. Batelhana, Asuncion·Carlos P. Benitez 05/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-11.0%
Deportivo Recoleta Rest
6 days
Libertad Asuncion Rest
6 days

Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion: the result in context

Libertad Asuncion beat Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 5 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Libertad Asuncion had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Deportivo Recoleta.

Libertad Asuncion have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game. Referee Carlos P. Benitez averages 5.60 cards a game, 1.04 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%4.33
X
24%3.80
2
52%1.70
Double Chance
1X
48%2.05
X2
76%1.20
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Elvio de Jesús Vera BrítezAssist: Federico Carrizo
12'Wilfrido BaezFoul
18'Aldo Walmor González RománAssist: lucas monzon
45'Wilfrido Baez INManuel Shupp Astigarraga out
45'Marcelo Fernández INRodrigo Villalba out
45'Nicolás Freire INThiago Ismael Fernández Martínez out
45+1'Robert RojasFoul
53'Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez(Penalty)
64'Ivan Franco INJoaquín Andrés Bogarín Gómez out
67'Ronal Iván Domínguez ColmánFoul
71'Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán INJosé Espínola out
72'Gustavo AguilarFoul
82'Red card cancelledGustavo Aguilar
82'Juan Franco INClaudio Garay out
82'Pedro David Ríos Galeano INPaul Charpentier out
82'Facundo Ariel Echeguren Zarza INC. Figueredo out
83'Gilberto Flores INHugo Fernandez out
89'Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez INChristian Iván Martínez Giménez out

Lineups

Deportivo Recoleta
4-4-2Coach: J. González
Libertad Asuncion
4-4-2Coach: Nelson Valdez
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating6.49
O. Toledo6.813O. Toledo
F. A. Echeguren Zarza5.32F. A. Echeguren Zarza
M. Pereira6.64M. Pereira
L. Monzón7.832L. Monzón
P. Rios6.518P. Rios
B. Ferreira6.636B. Ferreira
R. Domínguez5.97R. Domínguez
J. Franco6.538J. Franco
W. Báez5.717W. Báez
2525R. José Martino Campuzano
A. González7.733A. González
R. Morínigo6.312R. Morínigo
G. Flores5.85G. Flores
R. Rojas6.43R. Rojas
N. Freire6.723N. Freire
N. Giménez6.44N. Giménez
F. Carrizo7.78F. Carrizo
M. Fernández6.028M. Fernández
L. Sanabria6.121L. Sanabria
I. Franco6.519I. Franco
G. Aguilar6.89G. Aguilar
E. Vera8.211E. Vera

Deportivo Recoleta Substitutes

10A. Silva
31M. Shupp45'for Wilfrido Baez5.8
24T. Vidal
34Mathías Nicolás Masi Puschkarevich
3L. Cardozo
30P. Charpentier82'for Pedro David Ríos Galeano6.4
6J. Espínola71'for Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán6.2
12N. Ferreira
14C. Figueredo82'for Facundo Ariel Echeguren Zarza6.2
21C. Garay82'for Juan Franco6.0
5N. Marotta
28L. Mendoza

Libertad Asuncion Substitutes

30O. Acuña
13J. Bogarín64'for Ivan Franco6.2
35E. Diaz
20H. Fernández83'for Gilberto Flores6.3
31T. Fernández45'for Nicolás Freire6.6
33C. Martínez89'for Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez6.2
32L. Nequecaur
26I. Ramirez
29V. Rojas
15T. Vera
24R. Villalba45'for Marcelo Fernández5.9
22P. Villalba

Match Stats

Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
59%Ball Possession41%
11Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box6
1Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots5
18Fouls8
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
479Total Passes370
383Passes Accurate277
8Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
1453Elo Rating 1559
0.89Attack 0.99
2.24Defense 2.07
41%Hit Rate 44%
12.4Shots per Game 13.1
2.3Shots on Target 4.2
6.3Corners per Game 3.3
2.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion3Wins · 60%
3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Clausura30/07/2026
Libertad AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
41
Division Profesional - Apertura31/03/2026
Libertad AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
10
Division Profesional - Apertura02/02/2026
Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
21
Division Profesional - Apertura14/04/2025
Deportivo RecoletaLibertad Asuncion
11
Division Profesional - Apertura03/02/2025
Libertad AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
52

Recent Form

Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta
2W1D7L
28/09/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
00
D
24/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaGuairena FC
31
W
20/09/2026
Sportivo LuquenoDeportivo Recoleta
10
L
12/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaSportivo Trinidense
13
L
07/09/2026
Club GuaraniDeportivo Recoleta
20
L
03/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteno
13
L
29/08/2026
Deportivo RecoletaOlimpia
12
L
26/08/2026
Deportivo SantaniDeportivo Recoleta
02
W
22/08/2026
Sportivo AmelianoDeportivo Recoleta
31
L
19/08/2026
Deportivo RecoletaBoca Juniors
04
L
Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
6W2D2L
29/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionOlimpia
01
L
23/09/2026
Fernando De La MoraLibertad Asuncion
2131
W
19/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
D
11/09/2026
2 de MayoLibertad Asuncion
02
W
06/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionRubio NU
42
W
02/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
30
L
30/08/2026
Cerro PortenoLibertad Asuncion
11
D
24/08/2026
Libertad AsuncionClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
W
20/08/2026
TacuaryLibertad Asuncion
3040
W
16/08/2026
Sportivo LuquenoLibertad Asuncion
12
W

Referee Profile

Carlos P. Benitez15 matches

5.60Cards per match
5.20Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos P. Benitez5.60
Other referees4.56

5.60 cards a match, 1.04 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1673623:17+624WDWLL
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1604128:29-214LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1623:1724
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo168:294
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About the Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion forecast

The forecasts for this Division Profesional - Clausura match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Recoleta and Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

The table shows a wide gap: Libertad Asuncion are 3rd in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while Deportivo Recoleta sit 11th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Deportivo Recoleta 16-28, Libertad Asuncion 24-17. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.