Deren vs Ulaanbaatar Prediction

Deren
4-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Ulaanbaatar
10/11/2026
DerenDeren
4-1
Finished
UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalHIGHModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
Deren Rest
4 days
Ulaanbaatar Rest
4 days

Deren vs Ulaanbaatar: the result in context

Deren beat Ulaanbaatar 4-1 in the Premier League on 10 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Ulaanbaatar had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Deren.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%4.20
X
13%5.20
2
61%1.45
Double Chance
1X
39%2.40
X2
74%1.20
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'B. Batmunkh(Penalty)
36'
50'
82'
90+4'

Team Comparison

DerenDeren
UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
1651Elo Rating 1776
1.99Attack 3.51
1.58Defense 2.23
31%Hit Rate 100%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

DerenDeren
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DerenDeren2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar5Wins · 50%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League29/10/2026
UlaanbaatarDeren
10
Premier League17/09/2026
DerenUlaanbaatar
00
Premier League06/07/2026
UlaanbaatarDeren
23
Premier League27/06/2026
DerenUlaanbaatar
02
Premier League23/05/2026
UlaanbaatarDeren
20
Premier League26/10/2025
DerenUlaanbaatar
11
Premier League20/07/2025
DerenUlaanbaatar
01
Premier League11/06/2025
UlaanbaatarDeren
41
Premier League09/03/2025
DerenUlaanbaatar
20
Premier League22/06/2024
DerenUlaanbaatar
11

Recent Form

DerenDeren
5W2D3L
06/11/2026
HuntersDeren
21
L
02/11/2026
Central StallionsDeren
33
D
29/10/2026
UlaanbaatarDeren
10
L
25/10/2026
DerenHunters
20
W
14/10/2026
DerenErchim
50
W
11/10/2026
Central StallionsDeren
21
L
04/10/2026
DerenKhovd
33
D
01/10/2026
Khovd WesternDeren
15
W
27/09/2026
DerenAmtat FC
52
W
20/09/2026
Ulaangom CityDeren
05
W
UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
10W0D0L
06/11/2026
UlaanbaatarCentral Stallions
32
W
02/11/2026
HuntersUlaanbaatar
19
W
29/10/2026
UlaanbaatarDeren
10
W
25/10/2026
Central StallionsUlaanbaatar
01
W
18/10/2026
UlaanbaatarCentral Stallions
20
W
14/10/2026
UlaanbaatarKhovd Western
80
W
11/10/2026
ErchimUlaanbaatar
13
W
05/10/2026
UlaanbaatarUlaangom City
80
W
30/09/2026
KhovdUlaanbaatar
04
W
27/09/2026
UlaanbaatarHunters
53
W

League Table

Premier League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar12111053:7+4634WWWWW
2Central StallionsCentral Stallions1391344:19+2528WLDWL
3DerenDeren1263332:15+1721LDLWW
4HuntersHunters1360737:39-218LWLLL
5Amtat FCAmtat FC1251622:41-1916WDWWL
6Khovd WesternKhovd Western1250726:40-1415WWWLW
7ErchimErchim1240819:38-1912LLWWL
8KhovdKhovd1131733:39-610LLLLL
9Ulaangom CityUlaangom City1111914:42-284WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar1253:734
2Central StallionsCentral Stallions1344:1928
3DerenDeren1232:1521
4HuntersHunters1337:3918
5Amtat FCAmtat FC1222:4116
6Khovd WesternKhovd Western1226:4015
7ErchimErchim1219:3812
8KhovdKhovd1133:3910
9Ulaangom CityUlaangom City1114:424

About the Deren vs Ulaanbaatar forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deren and Ulaanbaatar in the Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ulaanbaatar are 1st in the Premier League, 13 points ahead of Deren in 3rd. League goal record so far: Deren 32-15, Ulaanbaatar 53-7. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ulaanbaatar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.