Ulaanbaatar vs Deren Prediction

Ulaanbaatar
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Deren
29/10/2026
UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
1-0
Finished
DerenDeren

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseHighGap-3.2%
Ulaanbaatar Rest
4 days
Deren Rest
4 days

Ulaanbaatar vs Deren: the result in context

Ulaanbaatar beat Deren 1-0 in the Premier League on 29 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ulaanbaatar had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Deren.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.76
X
21%4.60
2
27%3.03
Double Chance
1X
73%1.29
X2
48%1.85
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

90'
90+4'

Team Comparison

UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
DerenDeren
1776Elo Rating 1651
3.51Attack 1.99
2.23Defense 1.58
100%Hit Rate 31%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.4 in second half)
DerenDeren
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
DerenDeren2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League17/09/2026
DerenUlaanbaatar
00
Premier League06/07/2026
UlaanbaatarDeren
23
Premier League27/06/2026
DerenUlaanbaatar
02
Premier League23/05/2026
UlaanbaatarDeren
20
Premier League26/10/2025
DerenUlaanbaatar
11
Premier League20/07/2025
DerenUlaanbaatar
01
Premier League11/06/2025
UlaanbaatarDeren
41
Premier League09/03/2025
DerenUlaanbaatar
20
Premier League22/06/2024
DerenUlaanbaatar
11
Premier League21/04/2024
UlaanbaatarDeren
51

Recent Form

UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar
8W1D1L
25/10/2026
Central StallionsUlaanbaatar
01
W
18/10/2026
UlaanbaatarCentral Stallions
20
W
14/10/2026
UlaanbaatarKhovd Western
80
W
11/10/2026
ErchimUlaanbaatar
13
W
05/10/2026
UlaanbaatarUlaangom City
80
W
30/09/2026
KhovdUlaanbaatar
04
W
27/09/2026
UlaanbaatarHunters
53
W
20/09/2026
Amtat FCUlaanbaatar
09
W
17/09/2026
DerenUlaanbaatar
00
D
11/08/2026
UlaanbaatarHang Yuen
12
L
DerenDeren
7W2D1L
25/10/2026
DerenHunters
20
W
14/10/2026
DerenErchim
50
W
11/10/2026
Central StallionsDeren
21
L
04/10/2026
DerenKhovd
33
D
01/10/2026
Khovd WesternDeren
15
W
27/09/2026
DerenAmtat FC
52
W
20/09/2026
Ulaangom CityDeren
05
W
17/09/2026
DerenUlaanbaatar
00
D
06/07/2026
UlaanbaatarDeren
23
W
03/07/2026
Central StallionsDeren
03
W

League Table

Premier League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar12111053:7+4634WWWWW
2Central StallionsCentral Stallions1391344:19+2528WLDWL
3DerenDeren1263332:15+1721LDLWW
4HuntersHunters1360737:39-218LWLLL
5Amtat FCAmtat FC1251622:41-1916WDWWL
6Khovd WesternKhovd Western1250726:40-1415WWWLW
7ErchimErchim1240819:38-1912LLWWL
8KhovdKhovd1131733:39-610LLLLL
9Ulaangom CityUlaangom City1111914:42-284WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1UlaanbaatarUlaanbaatar1253:734
2Central StallionsCentral Stallions1344:1928
3DerenDeren1232:1521
4HuntersHunters1337:3918
5Amtat FCAmtat FC1222:4116
6Khovd WesternKhovd Western1226:4015
7ErchimErchim1219:3812
8KhovdKhovd1133:3910
9Ulaangom CityUlaangom City1114:424

About the Ulaanbaatar vs Deren forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ulaanbaatar and Deren in the Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Ulaanbaatar are 1st in the Premier League, 13 points ahead of Deren in 3rd. League goal record so far: Ulaanbaatar 53-7, Deren 32-15. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ulaanbaatar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.