Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio Prediction

Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto·C. Zito 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Desenzano Calvina Rest
6 days
Giana Erminio Rest
5 days

Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio: the result in context

Giana Erminio beat Desenzano Calvina 2-1 in the Serie C - Girone A on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.15
X
28%3.25
2
28%3.10
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
56%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.71
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 0.97 = 2.41
Over 1.5
71%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.90
Over 3.5
28%3.27
Under 1.5
29%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.80
Under 3.5
72%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'L. MagazzuAssist: L. Ruffini
47'C. Santini
56'T. Nucifero
60'A. Procaccio INM. Moscati out
60'L. Giorgi INL. Milani out
65'T. Nucifero INF. Manzoni out
69'M. Zanchetta INE. Muhameti out
69'L. Magazzu INA. Quaggio out
75'F. Liberati INV. Millico out
75'M. BallabioAssist: S. Comelli
80'M. Parlato IND. Andreis out
80'L. Lupano INL. Ubaldi out
83'A. De Francesco
87'F. Renda INA. Piazza out
90+5'

Team Comparison

Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
Giana ErminioGiana Erminio
1574Elo Rating 1450
1.12Attack 1.30
1.73Defense 1.97
42%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Giana ErminioGiana Erminio
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
4W3D3L
18/10/2026
AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
41
L
10/10/2026
Desenzano CalvinaDolomiti Bellunesi
20
W
03/10/2026
Folgore CarateseDesenzano Calvina
12
W
26/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaJuventus U23
00
D
21/09/2026
TrevisoDesenzano Calvina
00
D
17/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaLecco
13
L
13/09/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoDesenzano Calvina
12
W
06/09/2026
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
10
L
03/09/2026
TrentoDesenzano Calvina
01
W
31/08/2026
Desenzano CalvinaTrento
00
D
Giana ErminioGiana Erminio
1W5D4L
19/10/2026
Giana ErminioUnion Brescia
21
W
11/10/2026
RenateGiana Erminio
22
D
04/10/2026
TrevisoGiana Erminio
00
D
26/09/2026
Giana ErminioPRO Vercelli
11
D
20/09/2026
Folgore CarateseGiana Erminio
11
D
17/09/2026
Giana ErminioTrento
22
D
13/09/2026
LeccoGiana Erminio
10
L
06/09/2026
Giana ErminioDolomiti Bellunesi
12
L
02/09/2026
Union BresciaGiana Erminio
52
L
30/08/2026
LumezzaneGiana Erminio
10
L

League Table

Serie C - Girone A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CittadellaCittadella1190218:6+1227LWWLW
2TrentoTrento1165017:6+1123WWWDD
3Union BresciaUnion Brescia1164119:9+1022WLWDD
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1162316:11+520WLWDW
5TrevisoTreviso1154212:8+419WWLDW
6OspitalettoOspitaletto1153318:11+718LLWDW
7PergolettesePergolettese1145210:9+117WWWDD
8AlcioneAlcione1136218:17+115LWDDD
9LeccoLecco1135314:11+314DWDDL
10AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1135316:15+114DDLWD
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1134410:13-313LLWWD
12LumezzaneLumezzane1133512:16-412LLDWL
13Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1133516:21-512WWLLL
14PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1133510:19-912WLLWD
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1125412:14-211WWDDD
16NovaraNovara1124510:16-610LDLWL
17Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi112458:14-610LLLLD
18Juventus U23Juventus U231124511:18-710LWDLD
19Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1114611:17-67DLLLW
20RenateRenate110569:16-75DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1CittadellaCittadella1118:627
2TrentoTrento1117:623
3Union BresciaUnion Brescia1119:922
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1116:1120
5TrevisoTreviso1112:819
6OspitalettoOspitaletto1118:1118
7PergolettesePergolettese1110:917
8AlcioneAlcione1118:1715
9LeccoLecco1114:1114
10AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1116:1514
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1110:1313
12LumezzaneLumezzane1112:1612
13Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1116:2112
14PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1110:1912
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1112:1411
16NovaraNovara1110:1610
17Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi118:1410
18Juventus U23Juventus U231111:1810
19Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1111:177
20RenateRenate119:165
PromotionRelegation

About the Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio forecast

The forecasts for this Serie C - Girone A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Desenzano Calvina and Giana Erminio in the Serie C - Girone A table

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Desenzano Calvina are 11th and Giana Erminio 15th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Desenzano Calvina 10-13, Giana Erminio 12-14. The full standings are on the Serie C - Girone A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Desenzano Calvina and Giana Erminio have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.