Eldense vs Eibar Prediction

Eldense
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Eibar
Nuevo Pepico Amat, Alicante·Eder Mallo Fernandez 19/09/2026
EldenseEldense
1-2
Finished
EibarEibar

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Eldense Rest
6 days
Eibar Rest
4 days

Eldense vs Eibar: the result in context

Eibar beat Eldense 2-1 in the Segunda División on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Eibar had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Eldense.

Eibar have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.92
X
31%3.08
2
33%2.45
Double Chance
1X
67%1.51
X2
64%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.83
No
51%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.26 = 2.35
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
43%2.15
Over 3.5
22%3.95
Under 1.5
31%2.97
Under 2.5
57%1.70
Under 3.5
78%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.53
Over 9.5
45%1.90
Over 10.5
39%2.44
Under 8.5
43%2.29
Under 9.5
55%1.81
Under 10.5
61%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.35
Over 4.5
35%1.69
Under 3.5
46%3.02
Under 4.5
65%2.13

Match Events

29'Jon MagunazelaiaAssist: Aleix Garrido
30'Manuel NietoDissent
45'Juan Bernat INMarkel Arana Mateo out
52'Jon BautistaFoul
54'Malcom AresDissent
59'Jon Bautista INJavier Martón Ansó out
59'Malcom Ares INjon guruzeta out
63'Iván GilAssist: Ander Madariaga Susaeta
64'Goal confirmedAlvaro Rodriguez
66'David Ruiz INJuan Larios López out
66'Roberto López INGuillermo Macho Muñoz out
72'Iván Gil INLucas Nuñez Ramirez out
73'Manuel Nieto INJorge Rastrojo out
73'Carlos Guirao Mora INJavi Martínez out
75'Fidel INWaldo Rubio out
76'Justin Smith
77'Justin SmithArgument
86'Jon Magunazelaia INJair Amador out
90'jon guruzetaTime wasting
90+3'Lucas Nuñez RamirezFoul

Lineups

Eldense
4-2-3-1Coach: Javi Calleja
Eibar
4-2-3-1Coach: Jokin Arambarri
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating6.90
Ramón Vila6.21R. Vila
A. Ibarrondo6.719A. Ibarrondo
Alex Serradell6.75A. Serradell
F. Smand6.44F. Smand
D. Ruiz6.821D. Ruiz
J. Smith8.214J. Smith
Carlos Guirao6.415C. Guirao
Fidel6.510Fidel
Roberto López6.612R. López
Aingeru Olabarrieta6.433A. Olabarrieta
Manu Nieto6.011M. Nieto
Jon Mikel7.113J. Mikel
Álvaro Rodríguez6.122Á. Rodríguez
Unai Elgezabal7.04U. Elgezabal
Anaitz Arbilla6.823A. Arbilla
Juan Bernat7.024J. Bernat
Aleix Garrido7.630A. Garrido
Ander Madariaga7.38A. Madariaga
Jon Magunazelaia7.811J. Magunazelaia
Iván Gil8.221I. Gil
Malcom Adu6.97M. Adu
Jon Bautista6.19J. Bautista

Eldense Substitutes

22J. Yanda
36D. Bernabeu
17Jesús Clemente
13Juanpa
3Juan Larios66'for David Ruiz6.3
18Guillermo Macho66'for Roberto López6.2
24Javi Martínez73'for Carlos Guirao Mora5.9
7Jorge Rastrojo73'for Manuel Nieto6.1
2Iker Recio
20Waldo Rubio75'for Fidel6.4
29Dinis Rodrigues

Eibar Substitutes

27Elijah Gift Izobodo John
10Jon Guruzeta59'for Malcom Ares90'6.4
20Javi Martón59'for Jon Bautista6.5
17Pejiño
3Imanol García de Albéniz
2Sergio Cubero
18M. Arana45'for Juan Bernat6.8
15Jair Amador86'for Jon Magunazelaia6.6
28Lucas Nuñez72'for Iván Gil90+3'6.3
1Luis López

Match Stats

EldenseEibar
64%Ball Possession36%
9Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
24Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal4
14Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box3
15Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots1
8Fouls14
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
620Total Passes348
541Passes Accurate266
12Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

EldenseEldense
EibarEibar
1616Elo Rating 1687
2.19Attack 1.34
1.59Defense 1.20
69%Hit Rate 31%
15.2Shots per Game 14.3
5.5Shots on Target 5.5
5.2Corners per Game 3.8
2.8Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EldenseEldense
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
EibarEibar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

EldenseEldense1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
EibarEibar3Wins · 75%
3.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División13/01/2025
EldenseEibar
13
Segunda División12/10/2024
EibarEldense
10
Segunda División30/03/2024
EibarEldense
51
Segunda División28/08/2023
EldenseEibar
21

Recent Form

EldenseEldense
2W2D6L
13/09/2026
Sporting GijonEldense
01
W
05/09/2026
EldenseMallorca
00
D
29/08/2026
LeganesEldense
10
L
22/08/2026
EldenseCadiz
22
D
17/08/2026
AlmeriaEldense
30
L
07/08/2026
AlbaceteEldense
10
L
04/08/2026
EldenseVillarreal II
13
L
01/08/2026
Real MurciaEldense
21
L
25/07/2026
EldenseAl-Ettifaq
31
W
22/07/2026
ValenciaEldense
30
L
EibarEibar
6W3D1L
14/09/2026
Celta de Vigo IIEibar
04
W
06/09/2026
EibarGranada CF
30
W
30/08/2026
FC AndorraEibar
01
W
23/08/2026
EibarValladolid
10
W
16/08/2026
EibarTenerife
13
L
08/08/2026
Real UniónEibar
11
D
01/08/2026
EibarArenas Getxo
50
W
29/07/2026
Real Sociedad IIEibar
01
W
25/07/2026
Athletic ClubEibar
22
D
18/07/2026
AlavesEibar
11
D

Referee Profile

Eder Mallo Fernandez104 matches

5.47Cards per match
5.33Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Eder Mallo Fernandez5.47
Other referees5.25

5.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1263322:11+1121LWWDD
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1232715:22-711WLLLL
19CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
20FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1222:1121
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1215:2211
19CadizCadiz1114:1410
20FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Eldense vs Eibar forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Eldense and Eibar in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Eibar are 3rd and Eldense 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Eldense 13-15, Eibar 20-13. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.