Emelec vs Barcelona SC Prediction

Emelec
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Barcelona SC
Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil· O. Contreras 13/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel32%RiskMediumGap+6.6%
Emelec Rest
7 days
Barcelona SC Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.83
X
32%2.90
2
33%2.57
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
65%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.05
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.18 = 2.51
Over 1.5
68%1.47
Over 2.5
44%2.55
Over 3.5
23%5.00
Under 1.5
32%2.45
Under 2.5
56%1.47
Under 3.5
77%1.15
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'
41'C. A. Farias Acosta
45'J. Intriago
46'K. Caidedo IND. Benedetto out
46'L. Cano INH. Villalba out
58'J. Wila ING. Vallecilla out
58'J. Perlaza INE. Mideros out
72'F. Pizzini INJ. Cevallos out
72'L. Fragozo INJ. Ruiz out
80'J. Contreras
84'L. Klimowicz INJ. Neris out
84'J. R. Quinonez Ruiz INJ. Medina out
87'E. Mendoza
90+1'G. Napoli INB. Tobar out

Lineups

Emelec
Coach: Cristian Nasuti
Barcelona SC
Coach: Alejandro Farias Acosta Cesar

Emelec Starting XI

12P. Ortiz
14R. Caicedo
27F. Leon
51S. Valencia
3I. Guerrico
6V. Griffith
8G. Napoli
10F. Pizzini
5A. Mina
15L. Fragozo
7L. Klimowicz

Barcelona SC Starting XI

1J. Contreras
18B. Carabali
33J. Baez
14A. Rangel
15J. Perlaza
32M. Lugo
35J. Intriago
16L. Cano
28J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
51J. Wila
63K. Caidedo

Emelec Substitutes

1M. Valero
17J. Ayovi
9J. Neris
21J. Cevallos
19J. Ruiz
2A. Leguizamon
16S. Quintero
4E. Segura
30A. Mina
24A. Viteri
28B. Tobar
18M. Carabali

Barcelona SC Substitutes

22J. Cevallos
27W. Vargas
70M. Mejia
17D. Gaspar
9D. Benedetto
21H. Villalba
26B. Castillo
4G. Vallecilla
25R. Perlaza
50J. Garcia
29J. Medina
7E. Mideros

Team Comparison

EmelecEmelec
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
1503Elo Rating 1571
0.76Attack 1.31
2.09Defense 1.98
39%Hit Rate 34%
10.9Shots per Game 11.7
3.2Shots on Target 3.8
4.1Corners per Game 7.3
2.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EmelecEmelec
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Emelec 0%Draw 14%86% Barcelona SC
2.35Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
39%Over 2.5

Recent Form

EmelecEmelec
1W3D1L
06/07/2026
Delfin SCEmelec
11
D
01/06/2026
EmelecUniversidad Catolica
10
W
20/05/2026
Daquilema FCEmelec
10090
L
18/05/2026
Manta FCEmelec
00
D
10/05/2026
EmelecLibertad
11
D
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
2W0D3L
05/07/2026
Barcelona SCDeportivo Cuenca
20
W
02/06/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioBarcelona SC
10
L
29/05/2026
CruzeiroBarcelona SC
40
L
25/05/2026
Delfin SCBarcelona SC
12
W
22/05/2026
U. CatolicaBarcelona SC
20
L

Referee Profile

O. Contreras · 34 matches analysed

5.7Avg Yellows
6.0Avg Cards
25.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 99% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWLWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDDDW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Emelec vs Barcelona SC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

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Key Factors for This Match

Emelec and Barcelona SC have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.35 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.