Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Macara
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Mushuc Runa SC
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato 14/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel52%RiskMediumGap+2.9%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+10.5%
Macara Rest
3 days
Mushuc Runa SC Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.02
X
25%3.20
2
24%3.50
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
49%1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%1.84
No
63%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 0.64 = 2.13
Over 1.5
61%1.34
Over 2.5
35%2.09
Over 3.5
17%3.73
Under 1.5
39%3.05
Under 2.5
65%1.68
Under 3.5
83%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'T. MindaAssist: R. Carrillo
16'M. TelloAssist: M. Miranda
40'M. Ayala
45+1'Goal Disallowed - FoulM. Perea
46'J. Klinger INA. I. Campana out
53'S. Etchebarne
56'E. Davila
66'T. Minda INJ. Caicedo out
66'E. Davila INB. Corozo out
67'M. Miranda INJ. Estacio out
67'M. Ayala INJ. Mohor out
68'F. PosseAssist: M. Viera
72'R. Ibarra
77'R. Carrillo INE. Caicedo out
77'R. Ibarra INC. Angulo out
79'M. Tello INC. Caicedo out
85'F. Posse INL. Ferro out
85'J. Hernandez INR. Biojo out
87'J. Cazares
90+4'E. Caicedo(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

MacaraMacara
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
1661Elo Rating 1500
1.91Attack 0.66
1.51Defense 1.96
81%Hit Rate 17%
15.2Shots per Game 11.3
5.5Shots on Target 2.9
4.0Corners per Game 5.4
2.1Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+161 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MacaraMacara
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Macara 23%Draw 41%36% Mushuc Runa SC
2.55Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
59%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MacaraMacara
3W2D0L
11/07/2026
Tecnico UniversitarioMacara
02
W
05/07/2026
MacaraLDU de Quito
10
W
05/06/2026
Deportivo Cuenca JuniorsMacara
01
W
02/06/2026
Leones del NorteMacara
11
D
29/05/2026
America de CaliMacara
00
D
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
1W2D2L
11/07/2026
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
14
L
06/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaMushuc Runa SC
23
W
03/06/2026
Gualaceo SCMushuc Runa SC
10
L
31/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCAucas
00
D
23/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCGuayaquil City FC
22
D

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451LWWDD
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWLWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDDDW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746WDWDL
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141WLWDL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DLDWL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DWLLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LLWDW
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338DLDDW
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DDLWL
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432DWLLW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DDLWL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2MacaraMacara31166943:34+954WWLWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica31149852:29+2351LWWDD
4AucasAucas31148934:30+450LDDDW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito311471033:25+849WDWDL
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2MacaraMacara3143:3454
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3152:2951
4AucasAucas3134:3050
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3133:2549
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544

Liga Pro: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC319121036:39-339DLDDW
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca311071426:38-1237DDLWL
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario311031829:43-1433DWLLW
15Delfin SCDelfin SC31781620:32-1229DDLWL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3136:3939
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3126:3837
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3129:4333
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3120:3229
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
PromotionRelegation

Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

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Key Factors for This Match

Macara and Mushuc Runa SC have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.55 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.