LDU de Quito vs Libertad Prediction

LDU de Quito
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Libertad
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito·G. Guerrero 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.51
SignalHIGHModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
LDU de Quito Rest
3 days
Libertad Rest
7 days

LDU de Quito vs Libertad: result, form and history

LDU de Quito and Libertad drew 0-0 in the Liga Pro on 12 Jul 2026. LDU de Quito had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Libertad.

LDU de Quito have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game. Referee G. Guerrero averages 4.42 cards a game, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.21
X
17%5.50
2
11%11.00
Double Chance
1X
89%1.04
X2
27%3.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.14
No
62%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 0.61 = 2.43
Over 1.5
66%1.18
Over 2.5
42%1.60
Over 3.5
24%2.42
Under 1.5
34%4.42
Under 2.5
58%2.28
Under 3.5
76%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'J. Estacio
30'L. Segovia
39'Goal Disallowed - offsideDeyverson
45+3'R. Redes
46'Goal Disallowed - offsideDeyverson
46'L. Segovia INR. Ade out
46'J. Estacio INC. Valencia out
63'A. Chere IND. Coronel out
68'V. Branda INC. Orejuela out
69'J. Guisamano INY. Quinonez out
72'I. Zambrano INA. Alvarado out
72'J. Carabali INR. Mina out
77'Y. Quinonez
82'J. Bravo INX. E. Pineda Arana out
85'R. Redes INC. Luna Tobar out
85'J. Pretell INA. Gomez out
90+7'G. F. Allala Menendez
90+8'Tiago Nunes

Lineups

LDU de Quito
Coach: Nunes Tiago
Libertad

LDU de Quito Starting XI

1G. Valle
23Y. Quinonez
30G. F. Allala Menendez90+7'
44L. Segovia30'46'replaced by R. Ade
33L. Quinonez
67J. Carabali72'replaced by R. Mina
26I. Zambrano72'replaced by A. Alvarado
8J. Pretell85'replaced by A. Gomez
7R. Redes45+3'85'replaced by C. Luna Tobar
13J. Corozo
16Deyverson

Libertad Starting XI

12D. Cabezas
17E. Patta
6B. Caicedo
2R. Morinigo
25M. Lucas
23J. Guisamano69'replaced by Y. Quinonez
11H. Batalla
66J. Estacio26'46'replaced by C. Valencia
30J. Bravo82'replaced by X. E. Pineda Arana
70V. Branda68'replaced by C. Orejuela
33A. Chere63'replaced by D. Coronel

LDU de Quito Substitutes

12A. Villa
22A. Dominguez
4R. Ade46'for L. Segovia
10A. Alvarado72'for I. Zambrano
28J. W. Cuero Mercado
21E. Castillo
27R. Mina72'for J. Carabali
11M. Estrada
99C. Luna Tobar85'for R. Redes
3R. Mina72'for J. Carabali
24J. Calle
32A. Gomez85'for J. Pretell

Libertad Substitutes

52A. Bao
10G. J. Cortez Casierra
8S. Castro
63C. Valencia46'for J. Estacio
18Y. Quinonez69'for J. Guisamano77'
7C. Orejuela68'for V. Branda
80X. E. Pineda Arana82'for J. Bravo
49D. Coronel63'for A. Chere
9E. Caicedo

Team Comparison

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
LibertadLibertad
1640Elo Rating 1567
0.97Attack 1.79
1.14Defense 1.94
0%Hit Rate 50%
13.6Shots per Game 15.6
3.1Shots on Target 5.3
4.5Corners per Game 4.0
0.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
LibertadLibertad
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito6Wins · 67%
Draws111%
LibertadLibertad2Wins · 22%
3.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga Pro08/03/2026
LibertadLDU de Quito
21
Liga Pro14/12/2025
LibertadLDU de Quito
21
Liga Pro09/11/2025
LDU de QuitoLibertad
31
Liga Pro13/09/2025
LibertadLDU de Quito
01
Liga Pro20/05/2025
LDU de QuitoLibertad
11
Liga Pro25/08/2024
LDU de QuitoLibertad
30
Liga Pro01/05/2024
LibertadLDU de Quito
23
Liga Pro12/11/2023
LibertadLDU de Quito
02
Liga Pro03/06/2023
LDU de QuitoLibertad
42

Recent Form

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
6W2D2L
09/07/2026
Ind. JuniorsLDU de Quito
3141
W
05/07/2026
MacaraLDU de Quito
10
L
02/07/2026
LDU de QuitoOrense SC
30
W
18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
00
D
27/05/2026
LDU de QuitoAlways Ready
32
W
24/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaLDU de Quito
11
D
21/05/2026
LDU de QuitoLanus
20
W
15/05/2026
LDU de QuitoTecnico Universitario
21
W
12/05/2026
Mushuc Runa SCLDU de Quito
13
W
08/05/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
20
L
LibertadLibertad
2W1D7L
04/07/2026
LibertadLeones del Norte
13
L
30/05/2026
Manta FCLibertad
21
L
23/05/2026
Independiente del ValleLibertad
23
W
20/05/2026
LDU PortoviejoLibertad
4121
L
16/05/2026
LibertadDeportivo Cuenca
01
L
10/05/2026
EmelecLibertad
11
D
02/05/2026
LibertadAucas
32
W
26/04/2026
MacaraLibertad
30
L
22/04/2026
LibertadGuayaquil City FC
01
L
18/04/2026
Universidad CatolicaLibertad
20
L

Referee Profile

G. Guerrero175 matches

4.42Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

G. Guerrero4.42
Other referees5.32

4.42 cards a match, 0.90 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.32).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWDLW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DLDWL
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851DWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LWLDL
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DLLDW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DLWLL
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LDLWW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139DWWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339DDWLW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939WLLWL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338WLLDL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WLWWD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LDWDD
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LDWLL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWLWW
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521WWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle35273581:37+4484WWDLW
2MacaraMacara36207952:37+1567DWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3614121056:35+2154DLDWL
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito361591238:32+654DLLDW
5AucasAucas361591240:42-254LWLDL
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3512131039:32+749DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3581:3784
2MacaraMacara3652:3767
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3656:3554
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3638:3254
5AucasAucas3640:4254
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3539:3249

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7LibertadLibertad361491343:40+351LDLWW
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3612121239:44-548DDWLW
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3612111340:41-147DWWLL
10EmelecEmelec361291532:43-1145WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
7LibertadLibertad3643:4051
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3639:4448
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3640:4147
10EmelecEmelec3632:4345
PromotionRelegation

About the LDU de Quito vs Libertad forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

LDU de Quito and Libertad in the Liga Pro table

LDU de Quito and Libertad are close in the Liga Pro table, 5th and 7th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: LDU de Quito 31-24, Libertad 33-34. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.