Erbil vs Al-Karma Prediction

Erbil
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Al-Karma
Franso Hariri Stadium, Arbil 14/09/2026
ErbilErbil
1-2
Finished
Al-KarmaAl-Karma

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel37%SurpriseHighGap-0.3%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Erbil Rest
6 days
Al-Karma Rest
4 days

Erbil vs Al-Karma: the result in context

Al-Karma beat Erbil 2-1 in the Iraqi League on 14 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.60
X
37%2.72
2
23%2.77
Double Chance
1X
77%1.33
X2
60%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%1.82
No
57%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 0.87 = 2.05
Over 1.5
58%1.35
Over 2.5
33%2.17
Over 3.5
16%3.76
Under 1.5
42%2.74
Under 2.5
67%1.60
Under 3.5
84%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'S. AmadiAssist: A. Faisal
38'A. Faisal
61'M. Walid

Team Comparison

ErbilErbil
Al-KarmaAl-Karma
1601Elo Rating 1632
2.60Attack 1.92
1.51Defense 2.06
27%Hit Rate 64%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ErbilErbil
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al-KarmaAl-Karma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ErbilErbil2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
Al-KarmaAl-Karma1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Iraqi League07/03/2026
Al-KarmaErbil
23
Iraqi League03/10/2025
ErbilAl-Karma
21
Iraqi League23/04/2025
Al-KarmaErbil
10
Iraqi League10/01/2025
ErbilAl-Karma
11

Recent Form

ErbilErbil
7W2D1L
08/09/2026
ErbilDiyala
20
W
04/09/2026
Al ShortaErbil
00
D
31/08/2026
ErbilAl Minaa Basra
20
W
25/08/2026
Al KarkhErbil
01
W
21/08/2026
ErbilAl Quwa Al Jawiya
11
D
16/08/2026
ErbilAl Kahrabaa
20
W
02/06/2026
ErbilBaghdad
31
W
28/05/2026
ZakhoErbil
12
W
20/05/2026
Al ShortaErbil
02
W
16/05/2026
ErbilNewroz
01
L
Al-KarmaAl-Karma
5W5D0L
09/09/2026
Al-KarmaNaft
30
W
03/09/2026
DiyalaAl-Karma
12
W
30/08/2026
Al-KarmaKarbala
20
W
26/08/2026
Al KahrabaaAl-Karma
11
D
21/08/2026
Al-KarmaAl Shorta
21
W
15/08/2026
Al-KarmaMosul
11
D
02/06/2026
Al KahrabaaAl-Karma
00
D
27/05/2026
Al-KarmaDiyala
10
W
19/05/2026
Al TalabaAl-Karma
11
D
14/05/2026
Naft MaysanAl-Karma
11
D

League Table

Iraqi League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1393123:10+1330WWLDW
2NewrozNewroz1375118:5+1326WDDWW
3NaftNaft1374215:7+825LWDWW
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1366115:7+824WDW
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1365219:12+723WWWWD
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1363417:12+521LWLLL
7ErbilErbil1355316:9+720DDLLD
8DuhokDuhok1346320:16+418WLWLW
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1345412:13-117DDWLW
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal133739:10-116DDWWL
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1337315:18-316DDWWD
12DiyalaDiyala1335515:18-314DLDWL
13GharrafGharraf133559:15-614DWDWD
14Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1327414:14013LDLDW
15ZakhoZakho1334610:17-713LDWLL
16Al KarkhAl Karkh1333716:21-512WLDDL
17MosulMosul1333713:21-812LLDWL
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa132569:15-611WLLLD
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan131668:19-119LDLLD
20KarbalaKarbala1314811:25-147LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-KarmaAl-Karma1323:1030
2NewrozNewroz1318:526
3NaftNaft1315:725
4Al ShortaAl Shorta1315:724
5Al-Jolan SCAl-Jolan SC1319:1223
6Al Zawra'aAl Zawra'a1317:1221
7ErbilErbil1316:920
8DuhokDuhok1320:1618
9Al Minaa BasraAl Minaa Basra1312:1317
10Ghaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal139:1016
11Al TalabaAl Talaba1315:1816
12DiyalaDiyala1315:1814
13GharrafGharraf139:1514
14Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1314:1413
15ZakhoZakho1310:1713
16Al KarkhAl Karkh1316:2112
17MosulMosul1313:2112
18Al KahrabaaAl Kahrabaa139:1511
19Naft MaysanNaft Maysan138:199
20KarbalaKarbala1311:257
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Erbil vs Al-Karma forecast

The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Erbil and Al-Karma in the Iraqi League table

In the Iraqi League table, Al-Karma are 1st and Erbil 7th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Erbil 16-9, Al-Karma 23-10. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.