Exeter City vs Rotherham Prediction
England · Regular Season - 9
St James Park, Exeter 03/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Exeter City Rest
7 days
Rotherham Rest
7 days
Exeter City vs Rotherham: the result in context
Exeter City beat Rotherham 1-0 in the League Two on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.42
X29%3.30
232%2.75
Double Chance
1X68%1.40
X261%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.67
No43%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.15 = 2.55
Over 1.574%1.25
Over 2.550%1.89
Over 3.529%3.20
Under 1.526%3.60
Under 2.550%1.87
Under 3.571%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.3 = 9.5
Over 8.558%1.49
Over 9.547%1.84
Over 10.537%2.35
Under 8.542%2.38
Under 9.553%1.85
Under 10.563%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.557%-
Over 4.537%-
Under 3.543%-
Under 4.563%-
Match Events
43'L. WoodhouseFoul
51'Anthony ScullyAssist: George Birch
58'Dominic IorfaFoul
58'Jayce Fitzgerald INTom Bradshaw out
65'Anthony Scully INGwion Edwards out
69'Marvin Kaleta INAaron Nemane out
69'Kieran Ngwenya INkian spence out
79'George Birch INEthan Sutherland out
80'Taylor Perry INLiam Oakes out
85'Josh Gordon INSonny Cox out
90+2'Charlie CumminsFoul
Lineups
Exeter CityRotherham
4-2-3-1Coach: A. BruceAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Bycroft
2L. Samuel
6J. Taylor
5J. Fitzwater
3L. Woodhouse
31J. Doyle-Hayes
16C. Cummins
25A. Scully
8T. Perry
20G. Birch
10J. Gordon
13J. Eyestone
12D. Hall
14S. Aljofree
27D. Iorfa
5K. Ngwenya
6O. Ashley
15J. Fitzgerald
17M. Marvellous Kaleta
4J. Austerfield
24J. Buyabu
10P. MullinExeter City Substitutes
19S. Cox85'for Josh Gordon
7G. Edwards65'for Anthony Scully
14H. Kite
18Liam Oakes80'for Taylor Perry
22Frankie Phillips
23Ethan Sutherland79'for George Birch
46L. Cayless
Rotherham Substitutes
8K. Spence69'for Kieran Ngwenya
2J. Rafferty
23A. Nemane69'for Marvin Kaleta
26H. Douglas
1T. Cann
9T. Bradshaw58'for Jayce Fitzgerald
16E. Adegboyega
Match Stats
Exeter CityRotherham 47%Ball Possession53%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots2
8Fouls13
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves5
353Total Passes397
242Passes Accurate267
12Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
Exeter CityRotherham1550Elo Rating 1432
1.21Attack 0.73
2.67Defense 0.42
61%Hit Rate 0%
10.1Shots per Game 10.4
3.3Shots on Target 2.8
3.3Corners per Game 3.6
1.9Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+118 Elo
Game State Tendencies
Exeter City- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Rotherham- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Exeter City1Wins · 25%Draws125%
Rotherham2Wins · 50%
2Wins · 50%2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
31/01/2026Exeter CityRotherham04
06/09/2025RotherhamExeter City10
15/03/2025RotherhamExeter City11
10/08/2024Exeter CityRotherham10
Recent Form
Exeter City2W3D5L
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter CityExeter City
Tranmere
Bristol RoversExeter City10
L22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
19/09/2026CheltenhamExeter City4232
LExeter CityTranmere00
D12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
Port ValeExeter City10
L08/09/2026Exeter City
Tottenham Hotspur U21
Exeter CityTottenham Hotspur U2120
W05/09/2026Exeter City
Walsall
Exeter CityWalsall00
D01/09/2026Exeter City
Barnet
Exeter CityBarnet11
D29/08/2026
YorkExeter City
YorkExeter City21
L22/08/2026Exeter City
Accrington ST
Exeter CityAccrington ST20
W15/08/2026
GrimsbyExeter City
GrimsbyExeter City10
LRotherham3W4D3L
26/09/2026Rotherham
CreweRotherham
Salford CityRotherham
ChesterfieldRotherhamYorkCheltenhamRotherhamRotherham
West Brom
RotherhamCrewe11
D22/09/2026YorkRotherham
YorkRotherham4151
W19/09/2026
NorthamptonRotherham
12/09/2026NorthamptonRotherham01
WRotherhamSalford City33
D05/09/2026Bristol RoversRotherham
Bristol RoversRotherham10
L01/09/2026TranmereRotherham
29/08/2026TranmereRotherham22
DRotherhamChesterfield21
W22/08/2026RotherhamYork11
D15/08/2026CheltenhamRotherham21
L08/08/2026RotherhamWest Brom14
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | +7 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | +8 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | +4 | 21 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 19 | WDDDW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 6 | York | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | +6 | 17 | DDDWL |
| 7 |  Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 8 |  Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | WWLWD |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Exeter City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | +2 | 16 | WDWWL |
| 11 | Accrington ST | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 15 | DWDWD |
| 12 |  Newport County | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 15 |  Swindon Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 | LLLLW |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 19 |  Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 | DDLDD |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 21 |  Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | LWDLL |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 | LWDLL |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York | 11 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter City | 12 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington ST | 12 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport County | 12 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 12 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 11:20 | 5 |
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This match
About the Exeter City vs Rotherham forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Exeter City and Rotherham in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Exeter City are 10th and Rotherham 22nd, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Exeter City 8-6, Rotherham 14-20. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.