Rotherham vs Chesterfield Prediction

Rotherham
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Chesterfield
Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham·S. Stockbridge 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel29%SurpriseHighGap+10.0%
Rotherham Rest
6 days
Chesterfield Rest
7 days

Rotherham vs Chesterfield: result, form and history

Rotherham beat Chesterfield 2-1 in the League Two on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.91
X
30%3.35
2
37%2.32
Double Chance
1X
64%1.57
X2
67%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.72
No
51%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.91 + 1.11 = 2.02
Over 1.5
66%1.29
Over 2.5
39%1.93
Over 3.5
10%3.30
Under 1.5
34%3.38
Under 2.5
61%1.83
Under 3.5
90%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.50
Over 9.5
57%1.86
Over 10.5
42%2.35
Under 8.5
34%2.37
Under 9.5
43%1.86
Under 10.5
58%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

12'Fabio TavaresAssist: Ewan Otoo
17'brandon coverFoul
18'Lee Bonis
41'Tom Bradshaw(Penalty missed)
43'Jili BuyabuFoul
58'Emmanuel Adegboyega INJoe Rafferty out
60'Lee Bonis INF. Bryden out
64'Tom Bradshaw INPaul Mullin out
64'Jili Buyabu INJosh Austerfield out
70'Josh Koroma INTom Naylor out
81'Fabio Tavares INAr'jany Martha out
81'Lewis Gordon INA. Owolabi-Belewu out
81'Dilan Markanday INDanny Anijsko out
82'George McEachran INRafiq Lamptey out
88'Liam Mandeville(Penalty)
90'Paul Mullin

Lineups

Rotherham
3-4-2-1Coach: Alex Bruce
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1Coach: Paul Cook
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.30
T. Cann6.21T. Cann
E. Adegboyega6.816E. Adegboyega
Sonny Aljofree6.914S. Aljofree
K. Ngwenya6.25K. Ngwenya
D. Hall6.412D. Hall
Brandon Ashley Cover6.128B. Ashley Cover
J. Buyabu6.324J. Buyabu
K. Spence6.18K. Spence
Fábio Tavares7.37F. Tavares
T. Bradshaw6.59T. Bradshaw
R. Boot6.823R. Boot
R. Hutton6.433R. Hutton
K. McFadzean6.65K. McFadzean
J. Simpson6.96J. Simpson
L. Gordon6.419L. Gordon
R. Stirk6.28R. Stirk
G. McEachran6.120G. McEachran
D. Markanday5.924D. Markanday
L. Mandeville6.47L. Mandeville
J. Koroma6.037J. Koroma
L. Bonis6.210L. Bonis

Rotherham Substitutes

4J. Austerfield64'for Jili Buyabu6.8
6O. Ashley
11A. Martha81'for Fabio Tavares6.5
13J. Eyestone
10P. Mullin64'for Tom Bradshaw90'8.2
23A. Nemane
2J. Rafferty58'for Emmanuel Adegboyega6.6

Chesterfield Substitutes

30R. Lamptey82'for George McEachran6.1
4T. Naylor70'for Josh Koroma6.1
2A. Owolabi-Belewu81'for Lewis Gordon5.9
15A. Pond
9F. Bryden60'for Lee Bonis6.6

Match Stats

RotherhamChesterfield
32%Ball Possession68%
2Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
14Fouls11
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
295Total Passes640
180Passes Accurate508
61%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

RotherhamRotherham
ChesterfieldChesterfield
1431Elo Rating 1569
1.43Attack 1.89
0.12Defense 1.05
0%Hit Rate 23%
10.7Shots per Game 14.6
3.7Shots on Target 4.1
3.9Corners per Game 5.5
2.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RotherhamRotherham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ChesterfieldChesterfield
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

RotherhamRotherham
3W4D3L
22/08/2026
RotherhamYork
11
D
15/08/2026
CheltenhamRotherham
21
L
08/08/2026
RotherhamWest Brom
14
L
04/08/2026
RotherhamDerby
11
D
28/07/2026
Darlington 1883Rotherham
02
W
25/07/2026
RotherhamSheffield Utd
02
L
21/07/2026
Alfreton TownRotherham
01
W
18/07/2026
Matlock TownRotherham
11
D
14/07/2026
AFC EmleyRotherham
11
D
10/07/2026
ParkgateRotherham
01
W
ChesterfieldChesterfield
3W3D4L
22/08/2026
Salford CityChesterfield
01
W
15/08/2026
ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
01
L
08/08/2026
Fleetwood TownChesterfield
10
L
31/07/2026
ScunthorpeChesterfield
11
D
14/07/2026
FC Halifax TownChesterfield
32
L
11/07/2026
ChesterfieldSheffield Utd
00
D
15/05/2026
Notts CountyChesterfield
00
D
10/05/2026
ChesterfieldNotts County
01
L
02/05/2026
Swindon TownChesterfield
12
W
25/04/2026
ChesterfieldCrewe
20
W

Referee Profile

S. Stockbridge198 matches

4.03Cards per match
3.91Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Stockbridge4.03
Other referees3.76

4.03 cards a match, 0.27 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.76).

Cards come from 185 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

About the Rotherham vs Chesterfield forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rotherham and Chesterfield in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Chesterfield are 10th and Rotherham 22nd, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Rotherham 18-25, Chesterfield 24-21. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chesterfield have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Rotherham and Chesterfield have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.