Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction

City Light Stadium, Okayama· Jumpei Iida, Japan 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+8.8%
Fagiano Okayama Rest
6 days
Tokyo Verdy Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.17
X
30%3.00
2
23%3.63
Double Chance
1X
77%1.25
X2
53%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.10
No
51%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 0.87 = 2.65
Over 1.5
71%1.50
Over 2.5
46%2.54
Over 3.5
25%5.00
Under 1.5
29%2.52
Under 2.5
54%1.49
Under 3.5
75%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.5
60%1.55
Over 9.5
49%1.91
Over 10.5
36%2.37
Under 8.5
40%2.35
Under 9.5
51%1.81
Under 10.5
64%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.8 = 3.2
Over 3.5
34%-
Over 4.5
26%-
Under 3.5
66%-
Under 4.5
74%-

Match Events

42'R. InoueFoul
56'J. Yamamoto INY. Matsuhashi out
56'S. MizoguchiFoul
60'T. Yamane INN. Browne out
61'Lucao INLeo Gaucho out
64'H. OmoriFoul
65'H. Hirao ING. Yamada out
65'Y. Fukuda INI. Kumatoriya out
67'Na Sang-Ho INK. Ichimi out
77'K. Shirai INS. Mori out
77'A. Esaka INKamiya Yuta out
86'K. Miyahara INK. Suzuki out
86'I. Someno INR. Shirai out

Lineups

Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1Coach: Takashi Kiyama
Tokyo Verdy
3-4-2-1Coach: Jofuku Hiroshi
Lennart Moser1L. MoserLennart Moser
Hiroshi Omori6H. OmoriHiroshi Omori
Yugo Tatsuta48Y. TatsutaYugo Tatsuta
Yoshitake Suzuki43Y. SuzukiYoshitake Suzuki
Kosuke Shirai51K. ShiraiKosuke Shirai
Oberdan Alionço80O. AlionçoOberdan Alionço
Eiji Miyamoto41E. MiyamotoEiji Miyamoto
Towa Yamane88T. YamaneTowa Yamane
Sang-Ho Na10S. NaSang-Ho Na
Ataru Esaka8A. EsakaAtaru Esaka
Lucão99LucãoLucão
Matheus Vidotto1M. VidottoMatheus Vidotto
Kazuya Miyahara6K. MiyaharaKazuya Miyahara
Naoki Hayashi4N. HayashiNaoki Hayashi
Inoue Ryota5I. RyotaInoue Ryota
Yosuke Uchida22Y. UchidaYosuke Uchida
Joi Yamamoto28J. YamamotoJoi Yamamoto
Rei Hirakawa16R. HirakawaRei Hirakawa
Shuhei Mizoguchi18S. MizoguchiShuhei Mizoguchi
Hayato Hirao71H. HiraoHayato Hirao
Yuya Fukuda14Y. FukudaYuya Fukuda
Itsuki Someno9I. SomenoItsuki Someno

Fagiano Okayama Substitutes

79Noah Kenshin BrowneM
9Léo GaúchoF
22Kazunari IchimiF
44Soichiro MoriD
33Yuta KamiyaM
13Shun MatsudaG
18Daichi TagamiD
26Haruka MotoyamaD
66Jun NishikawaM

Tokyo Verdy Substitutes

7Yuan MatsuhashiM
13Goki YamadaF
25Issei KumatoriyaF
15Kaito SuzukiD
27Ryosuke ShiraiF
21Yuya NagasawaG
40Yuta AraiM
20Soma MeshinoM
38Soma KandaF

Match Stats

Fagiano OkayamaTokyo Verdy
57%Ball Possession43%
6Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box1
8Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots3
12Fouls14
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
447Total Passes348
351Passes Accurate247
79%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
1598Elo Rating 1470
2.20Attack 0.50
1.75Defense 2.12
83%Hit Rate 23%
13.4Shots per Game 11.4
3.6Shots on Target 2.4
5.9Corners per Game 5.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+128 Elo
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Fagiano Okayama 19%Draw 0%81% Tokyo Verdy
3.6Avg Goals
63%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
2W0D3L
15/08/2026
Fagiano OkayamaV-varen Nagasaki
10
W
08/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
21
L
25/07/2026
FC Schalke 04Fagiano Okayama
31
L
22/07/2026
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama
20
L
21/07/2026
Metalist 1925 KharkivFagiano Okayama
12
W
Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
0W2D3L
14/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
13
L
09/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
11
D
06/06/2026
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka
24
L
30/05/2026
Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy
11
D
24/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyYokohama F. Marinos
06
L

Referee Profile

Jumpei Iida, Japan · 22 matches analysed

3.1Avg Yellows
3.2Avg Cards
23.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 2% of referees analysed

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia752019:6+1317DWWDW
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe751111:5+616WWWWL
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol750213:10+315WLLWW
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima742119:6+1314WLWDD
5FC TokyoFC Tokyo742113:8+514WWDWW
6Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama741210:8+213WWWLD
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale733113:9+412WWLWD
8KashimaKashima740314:13+112LLLWW
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos732211:9+211DWDLW
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka73136:11-510LDWLW
11Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock723211:9+29LDWDW
12UrawaUrawa730413:17-49LWWWL
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse72144:7-37WLDLL
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki72149:14-57WLDLL
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka71338:13-56LLDDL
16Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus72057:13-66LLLWW
17Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga71249:14-55LLDWL
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka71159:11-24LDLLL
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy70433:9-64DDLLD
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba71156:16-104DWLLL
Champions LeagueRelegation

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this J1 League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About J1 League

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Key Factors for This Match

Fagiano Okayama and Tokyo Verdy have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.6 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.