Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction

Tokyo Verdy
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Kashiwa Reysol
National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
Tokyo Verdy Rest
5 days
Kashiwa Reysol Rest
6 days

Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol: result, form and history

Kashiwa Reysol beat Tokyo Verdy 3-1 in the J1 League on 14 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kashiwa Reysol had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Tokyo Verdy.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Kashiwa Reysol tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 3.5 for Tokyo Verdy.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%4.04
X
32%3.27
2
37%1.95
Double Chance
1X
63%1.82
X2
69%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.02
No
50%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.39 = 2.65
Over 1.5
71%1.40
Over 2.5
46%2.30
Over 3.5
25%4.33
Under 1.5
29%2.70
Under 2.5
54%1.60
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.58
Over 9.5
49%1.99
Over 10.5
36%2.51
Under 8.5
40%2.19
Under 9.5
51%1.73
Under 10.5
64%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

2'N. HayashiAssist: S. Meshino
11'K. EndoAssist: N. Nakagawa
54'R. Hirakawa INI. Kumatoriya out
55'Y. Matsuhashi INY. Arai out
56'H. Yamauchi INM. Watai out
57'Y. Kakita INY. Segawa out
59'N. NakagawaFoul
65'Y. SegawaAssist: M. Watai
73'Y. Fukuda INS. Kanda out
73'S. Meshino INS. Nakayama out
79'Y. Koizumi INH. Nakama out
80'K. Endo INK. Yuba out
80'Y. Uchida INR. Shirai out
82'T. KuboAssist: K. Yuba
84'T. Kubo INS. Baba out
88'K. SuzukiFoul
90+6'M. WataiDelay of game

Team Comparison

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
1484Elo Rating 1701
1.62Attack 1.95
1.17Defense 2.67
50%Hit Rate 66%
10.3Shots per Game 13.9
3.2Shots on Target 6.0
3.5Corners per Game 6.7
1.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy3Wins · 38%
Draws225%
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol3Wins · 37%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

J1 League03/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
10
J1 League15/02/2026
Kashiwa ReysolTokyo Verdy
12
J1 League15/06/2025
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
03
J-League Cup08/06/2025
Kashiwa ReysolTokyo Verdy
21
J-League Cup04/06/2025
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
03
J1 League29/03/2025
Kashiwa ReysolTokyo Verdy
00
J1 League31/08/2024
Kashiwa ReysolTokyo Verdy
23
J1 League07/04/2024
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
11

Recent Form

Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy
3W2D5L
09/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
11
D
06/06/2026
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka
24
L
30/05/2026
Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy
11
D
24/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyYokohama F. Marinos
06
L
16/05/2026
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy
01
W
13/05/2026
Machida ZelviaTokyo Verdy
4020
L
10/05/2026
FC TokyoTokyo Verdy
21
L
06/05/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
10
L
03/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
10
W
29/04/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashima
21
W
Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol
5W1D4L
08/08/2026
Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
21
W
01/08/2026
JEF United ChibaKashiwa Reysol
0000
D
06/06/2026
Kashiwa ReysolKyoto Sanga
01
L
30/05/2026
Kyoto SangaKashiwa Reysol
26
W
23/05/2026
Kashiwa ReysolJEF United Chiba
42
W
16/05/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKashiwa Reysol
01
W
10/05/2026
Kashiwa ReysolKawasaki Frontale
10
W
06/05/2026
Kashiwa ReysolUrawa
01
L
03/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashiwa Reysol
10
L
29/04/2026
Kashiwa ReysolFC Tokyo
13
L

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo14103133:8+2533WWWDW
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol14101331:20+1131WWWDL
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1493232:10+2230DWWLW
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1485130:10+2029DDDWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1483323:14+927DWDLW
6KashimaKashima1472529:24+523LWLDW
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1457221:15+622DWDDD
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1464428:24+422LLWWW
9UrawaUrawa1471623:29-622DLWWW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1452716:22-617DLLWL
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1445516:25-917WLDDL
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1444619:23-416WWDDL
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1442815:23-814LLDDW
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1435612:22-1014WWWDL
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1442810:23-1314LLLLD
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1434717:22-513DLLWL
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1434716:24-813WWDLD
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1426616:24-812LDDWD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1423912:26-149LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka14221014:25-118DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1433:833
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1431:2031
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1432:1030
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1430:1029
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1423:1427
6KashimaKashima1429:2423
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1421:1522
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1428:2422
9UrawaUrawa1423:2922
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1416:2217
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1416:2517
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1419:2316
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1415:2314
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1412:2214
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1410:2314
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1417:2213
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1416:2413
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1416:2412
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1412:269
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1414:258
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Tokyo Verdy and Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kashiwa Reysol are 2nd and Tokyo Verdy 14th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Tokyo Verdy 12-22, Kashiwa Reysol 31-20. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.