FC Augsburg vs Bayern München Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München: the result in context
FC Augsburg and Bayern München drew 2-2 in the Bundesliga on 10 Oct 2026. Bayern München had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for FC Augsburg.
Bayern München have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.1 goals a game. Bayern München tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 5.7 for FC Augsburg.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
FC Augsburg
Avg ratingAvg rating
1F. Dahmen
35A. Bah
5C. Matsima
2C. Brackelmann
7S. Young-Woo
4H. Massengo
32F. Rieder
16H. Behrens
19R. Fellhauer
21A. Ibrahimović
9R. Ribeiro
1M. Neuer
44J. Stanišić
2D. Upamecano
4J. Tah
19A. Davies
6J. Kimmich
45A. Pavlović
17M. Olise
34I. Saibari
14L. Díaz
9H. KaneFC Augsburg Substitutes
Bayern München Substitutes
Match Stats
FC AugsburgBayern München Team Comparison
FC AugsburgBayern MünchenAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
FC Augsburg- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bayern München- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 1.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FC Augsburg2Wins · 20%8Wins · 80%Previous meetings
24/01/2026Bayern MünchenFC Augsburg30/08/2025FC AugsburgBayern München04/04/2025FC AugsburgBayern München22/11/2024Bayern MünchenFC Augsburg27/01/2024FC AugsburgBayern Munich27/08/2023Bayern MunichFC Augsburg11/03/2023Bayern MunichFC Augsburg
19/10/2022FC AugsburgBayern Munich17/09/2022FC AugsburgBayern Munich09/04/2022Bayern MunichFC AugsburgRecent Form
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
Hertha BSC
Werder BremenFC AugsburgFC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht FrankfurtFC AugsburgFC Augsburg
FC Schalke 04
Energie CottbusFC Augsburg
LeedsFC AugsburgFC Augsburg
Sassuolo
SchwazFC AugsburgFC Augsburg
BournemouthBayern MünchenBayern München
Union Berlin
SV ElversbergBayern MünchenBayern München
Bodo/GlimtFC Schalke 04Bayern München
VfL OsnabrückBayern MünchenBayern München
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia DortmundBayern München
1. FC HeidenheimBayern MünchenBayern München
RB LeipzigBayern München
Aston VillaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.80 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).
Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | +17 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 14 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDDWD |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | LWLDL |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 11 |  1. FC Köln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 | WLDWL |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 | WLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 20:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 7 | FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 16:13 | 10 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 6:16 | 9 |
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 6:18 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 11:22 | 3 |
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This match
About the FC Augsburg vs Bayern München forecast
As a derby, this Bundesliga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Augsburg and Bayern München in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, Bayern München are 1st and FC Augsburg 9th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Augsburg 17-13, Bayern München 22-5. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.