FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction

Stadionul Municipal, Sfântu Gheorghe·Marcel Birsan 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-8.3%
FC Botosani Rest
6 days
Petrolul Ploiesti Rest
6 days

FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti: the result in context

Petrolul Ploiesti beat FC Botosani 3-1 in the Liga I on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Marcel Birsan averages 5.23 cards a game, 0.62 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.00
X
27%3.50
2
28%3.31
Double Chance
1X
72%1.29
X2
55%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.58
No
44%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.09 = 2.39
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.69
Over 3.5
31%2.70
Under 1.5
24%4.10
Under 2.5
48%2.08
Under 3.5
69%1.41
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'Rodrigo MartinsAssist: Teixeira leo
30'mamadou diarraHandball
37'Marius Marian CroitoruDissent
39'Mario Ioniță
40'Hervin Ongenda INCharles Petro out
45'Andrei Miron INRijad·Sadiku out
45'Enriko Papa INMykola Kovtalyuk out
45'Ştefan Bodişteanu INGabriel Gama out
45+5'Andres DumitrescuFoul
50'Rodrigo MartinsTime wasting
54'Rodrigo MartinsAssist: Sergiu Hanca
57'Sergiu Hanca INAdam Zaian out
59'Rijad·SadikuFoul
59'Zoran Mitrov INJovan Marković out
64'Andrei Dumiter
66'Breston MalulaDissent
72'Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz INCalal Hüseynov out
72'Dan N'Lundulu INisrael ola out
72'Mario Ioniță INRareș Leescu out
83'Narcis IlasViolent conduct
84'Teixeira leoFoul
90+5'Charles PetroFoul
90+6'Rodrigo Martins INKilian Ludewig out
90+7'Rodrigo Martins

Lineups

FC Botosani
4-3-3Coach: M. Croitoru
Petrolul Ploiesti
4-2-3-1Coach: Ricardo Sousa
Avg rating6.01
Avg rating6.92
G. Anestis5.699G. Anestis
B. Bayeye6.32B. Bayeye
A. Miron6.04A. Miron
M. Diarra5.994M. Diarra
N. Ilaș4.673N. Ilaș
Lucas de Vega6.221L. de Vega
E. Papa5.667E. Papa
H. Ongenda5.726H. Ongenda
Ș. Bodișteanu6.510Ș. Bodișteanu
A. Dumiter7.641A. Dumiter
Z. Mitrov5.811Z. Mitrov
L. Zima7.138L. Zima
T. Căpușă7.966T. Căpușă
P. Papp7.14P. Papp
B. Malula6.771B. Malula
A. Dumitrescu6.32A. Dumitrescu
Léo Teixeira6.919L. Teixeira
S. Hanca7.020S. Hanca
L. Vega6.38L. Vega
Rodrigo Martins8.17R. Martins
D. Nlundulu6.49D. Nlundulu
M. Ioniță8.080M. Ioniță

FC Botosani Substitutes

27Ionuț Cristian Gurău
77Gama Gabriel45'for Ştefan Bodişteanu6.3
8R. Idowu
22M. Kovtalyuk45'for Enriko Papa6.4
7S. Mailat
9J. Marković59'for Zoran Mitrov6.2
3C. Petro40'for Hervin Ongenda90+5'5.5
90Mario Preda
5R. Creţ
44R. Sadiku45'for Andrei Miron59'6.0
14George Sorodoc
37M. Bordeianu

Petrolul Ploiesti Substitutes

18C. Hüseynov72'for Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz6.7
26Liviu Argeșanu
10A. Bran
12Ș. Georgescu
99O. Dele72'for Dan N'Lundulu6.5
30R. Leescu72'for Mario Ioniță6.5
29K. Ludewig90+6'for Rodrigo Martins
40R. Manolache
21David Ionut
1Ștefan Alexandru Rădulescu
24Adam Zaian57'for Sergiu Hanca6.6

Match Stats

FC BotosaniPetrolul Ploiesti
56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks0
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards1
12Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots0
19Fouls12
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
441Total Passes340
333Passes Accurate236
12Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

FC BotosaniFC Botosani
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
1496Elo Rating 1545
0.97Attack 1.85
1.10Defense 1.64
19%Hit Rate 44%
11.4Shots per Game 13.3
4.6Shots on Target 4.9
3.5Corners per Game 3.5
2.9Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC BotosaniFC Botosani
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC BotosaniFC Botosani2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti5Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga I10/05/2026
FC BotosaniPetrolul Ploiesti
11
Liga I07/03/2026
FC BotosaniPetrolul Ploiesti
01
Liga I03/11/2025
Petrolul PloiestiFC Botosani
00
Liga I14/03/2025
Petrolul PloiestiFC Botosani
02
Liga I27/01/2025
Petrolul PloiestiFC Botosani
31
Liga I01/09/2024
FC BotosaniPetrolul Ploiesti
02
Liga I29/04/2024
Petrolul PloiestiFC Botosani
12
Liga I24/11/2023
Petrolul PloiestiFC Botosani
21
Liga I24/07/2023
FC BotosaniPetrolul Ploiesti
11
Liga I29/04/2023
Petrolul PloiestiFC Botosani
10

Recent Form

FC BotosaniFC Botosani
4W2D4L
16/10/2026
Dinamo BucurestiFC Botosani
20
L
10/10/2026
FC BotosaniUta Arad
20
W
19/09/2026
CFR 1907 ClujFC Botosani
31
L
13/09/2026
Arges PitestiFC Botosani
11
D
05/09/2026
FC BotosaniSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
50
W
02/09/2026
FC BotosaniCorvinul Hunedoara
01
L
30/08/2026
Farul ConstantaFC Botosani
00
D
24/08/2026
FC BotosaniCsikszereda
10
W
20/08/2026
Viitorul ŞelimbărFC Botosani
13
W
17/08/2026
FCSBFC Botosani
32
L
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti
4W2D4L
17/10/2026
Petrolul PloiestiSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
11
D
11/10/2026
Farul ConstantaPetrolul Ploiesti
31
L
03/10/2026
Chindia TargovistePetrolul Ploiesti
10
L
02/10/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCS Afumati
32
W
21/09/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCsikszereda
20
W
14/09/2026
FCSBPetrolul Ploiesti
22
D
06/09/2026
Petrolul PloiestiCorvinul Hunedoara
20
W
01/09/2026
Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
10
L
28/08/2026
Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
23
W
21/08/2026
Petrolul PloiestiRapid
02
L

Referee Profile

Marcel Birsan154 matches

5.23Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marcel Birsan5.23
Other referees4.61

5.23 cards a match, 0.62 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.61).

Cards come from 109 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1393129:9+2030DWWWW
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1392232:9+2329WWWWW
3RapidRapid1383221:13+827LWWWW
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1372418:17+123WDLWD
5Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1371525:20+522WDLWW
6FCSBFCSB1363420:19+121WWWLD
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1355321:20+120WLWLW
8Uta AradUta Arad1353516:17-118WWLWL
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1352619:20-117DLWLW
10Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1344514:16-216LLWWL
11FC BotosaniFC Botosani1335517:17014LLWLD
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe133558:18-1014LDLLW
13Arges PitestiArges Pitesti133378:14-612LDLLD
14OţelulOţelul1325615:21-611LDLLL
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1322913:29-168LLLLL
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda1312109:26-175WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1329:930
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1332:929
3RapidRapid1321:1327
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1318:1723
5Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1325:2022
6FCSBFCSB1320:1921
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1321:2020
8Uta AradUta Arad1316:1718
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1319:2017
10Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1314:1616
11FC BotosaniFC Botosani1317:1714
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe138:1814
13Arges PitestiArges Pitesti138:1412
14OţelulOţelul1315:2111
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1313:298
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda139:265
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti forecast

The forecasts for this Liga I match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Botosani and Petrolul Ploiesti in the Liga I table

In the Liga I table, Petrolul Ploiesti are 4th and FC Botosani 11th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Botosani 17-17, Petrolul Ploiesti 18-17. The full standings are on the Liga I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.