Farul Constanta vs Oţelul Prediction

Farul Constanta
4-3
Finished
HT 3-0
Oţelul
Stadionul Viitorul, Ovidiu·Viorel Nicusor Flueran 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-10.6%
Farul Constanta Rest
6 days
Oţelul Rest
8 days

Farul Constanta vs Oţelul: the result in context

Farul Constanta beat Oţelul 4-3 in the Liga I on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Farul Constanta had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Oţelul.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Viorel Nicusor Flueran averages 3.11 cards a game, 1.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.08
X
25%3.33
2
29%3.25
Double Chance
1X
71%1.29
X2
54%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.65
No
45%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.01 = 2.56
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
50%1.85
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.60
Under 2.5
50%1.92
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Matteo AhlinviAssist: Ionuț Vână
13'Alexandru Viorel BălănicăFoul
28'Matteo AhlinviAssist: Cristian Ganea
30'Victor DicanFoul
40'Răzvan Marincean
45'Teodor lungu INMatei Frunză out
45'Alexandru Viorel Bălănică INDenis Bordun out
55'Dominick ZatorAssist: Pedro Nuno
59'Narek Grigoryan INRazvan Tanasa out
59'Răzvan Marincean INAlexandru Goncear out
63'Cristian GaneaDissent
71'Alexandru GoncearAssist: Rafael Munteanu
74'Denis Bordun
77'Eduard Radaslavescu INYann Kitala out
78'Denis Bordun
79'Rafael Brito INDragos Andrei Aftene out
79'Pedro Nuno INZe Turbo out
83'Matteo Ahlinvi INNicolas Popescu out

Lineups

Farul Constanta
3-4-3Coach: Ovidiu Sabău
Oţelul
4-3-3Coach: Rui Duarte
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.42
R. Munteanu6.912R. Munteanu
S. Bouzamoucha6.324S. Bouzamoucha
I. Larie6.417I. Larie
V. Dican6.16V. Dican
I. Vînă6.48I. Vînă
T. Njiké6.323T. Njiké
M. Ahlinvi8.670M. Ahlinvi
C. Ganea6.811C. Ganea
N. Grigoryan6.630N. Grigoryan
Răzvan Marincean7.899R. Marincean
E. Rădăslăvescu6.120E. Rădăslăvescu
C. Dur-Bozoancă6.01C. Dur-Bozoancă
D. Zator6.644D. Zator
G. Christopoulos6.23G. Christopoulos
P. Iacob6.16P. Iacob
Miguel Silva5.828M. Silva
A. Ciobanu7.217A. Ciobanu
Rafael Brito6.58R. Brito
T. Lungu5.939T. Lungu
A. Balanica6.177A. Balanica
Patrick6.49Patrick
Pedro Nuno7.727P. Nuno

Farul Constanta Substitutes

2D. Maftei
1A. Buzbuchi
29A. Goncear59'for Răzvan Marincean71'7.4
33João Ferreira
4Gustavo Marins
21L. Pellegrini
80N. Popescu83'for Matteo Ahlinvi5.9
27Hassane Rachid Seyd Sabour Traoré
19Y. Kitala77'for Eduard Radaslavescu6.5
3V. Țicu
71R. Tănasă59'for Narek Grigoryan6.9

Oţelul Substitutes

14Cojoc Robert Adrian
18D. Aftene79'for Rafael Brito5.9
24D. Bordun45'for Alexandru Viorel Bălănică74'78'7.8
13M. Contra
11Zé Turbo79'for Pedro Nuno6.3
30M. Frunză45'for Teodor lungu5.9
16D. Neicu
15Mehmet Titiz

Match Stats

Farul ConstantaOţelul
35%Ball Possession65%
2Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots21
4Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal8
5Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots5
8Fouls12
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves0
321Total Passes594
228Passes Accurate505
71%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta
OţelulOţelul
1538Elo Rating 1471
1.35Attack 0.66
1.12Defense 1.28
39%Hit Rate 0%
12.1Shots per Game 17.7
5.6Shots on Target 5.7
3.7Corners per Game 5.7
1.1Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
OţelulOţelul
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta2Wins · 22%
Draws556%
OţelulOţelul2Wins · 22%
2.0Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs03/07/2026
Farul ConstantaOţelul
00
Liga I09/05/2026
OţelulFarul Constanta
32
Liga I23/11/2025
OţelulFarul Constanta
22
Liga I20/07/2025
Farul ConstantaOţelul
32
Liga I16/05/2025
OţelulFarul Constanta
00
Liga I22/11/2024
Farul ConstantaOţelul
01
Liga I22/07/2024
OţelulFarul Constanta
00
Liga I24/02/2024
Farul ConstantaOţelul
11
Liga I08/10/2023
OţelulFarul Constanta
01

Referee Profile

Viorel Nicusor Flueran94 matches

3.11Cards per match
2.95Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Viorel Nicusor Flueran3.11
Other referees4.67

3.11 cards a match, 1.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1393129:9+2030DWWWW
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1392232:9+2329WWWWW
3RapidRapid1383221:13+827LWWWW
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1372418:17+123WDLWD
5Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1371525:20+522WDLWW
6FCSBFCSB1363420:19+121WWWLD
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1355321:20+120WLWLW
8Uta AradUta Arad1353516:17-118WWLWL
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1352619:20-117DLWLW
10Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1344514:16-216LLWWL
11FC BotosaniFC Botosani1335517:17014LLWLD
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe133558:18-1014LDLLW
13Arges PitestiArges Pitesti133378:14-612LDLLD
14OţelulOţelul1325615:21-611LDLLL
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1322913:29-168LLLLL
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda1312109:26-175WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Dinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti1329:930
2Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova1332:929
3RapidRapid1321:1327
4Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul Ploiesti1318:1723
5Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj1325:2022
6FCSBFCSB1320:1921
7Farul ConstantaFarul Constanta1321:2020
8Uta AradUta Arad1316:1718
9CFR 1907 ClujCFR 1907 Cluj1319:2017
10Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara1314:1616
11FC BotosaniFC Botosani1317:1714
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe138:1814
13Arges PitestiArges Pitesti138:1412
14OţelulOţelul1315:2111
15FC VoluntariFC Voluntari1313:298
16CsikszeredaCsikszereda139:265
PromotionRelegation

About the Farul Constanta vs Oţelul forecast

The forecasts for this Liga I match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Farul Constanta and Oţelul in the Liga I table

In the Liga I table, Farul Constanta are 7th and Oţelul 14th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Farul Constanta 21-20, Oţelul 15-21. The full standings are on the Liga I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.