Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse Prediction

Jong Utrecht
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Vitesse
Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht·Thomas Hardeman, Netherlands 17/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Jong Utrecht Rest
8 days
Vitesse Rest
10 days

Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse: the result in context

Vitesse beat Jong Utrecht 3-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 17 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Vitesse have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.30
X
29%3.60
2
45%2.05
Double Chance
1X
55%1.73
X2
74%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.53
No
37%2.33
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.41 = 2.88
Over 1.5
80%1.19
Over 2.5
54%1.62
Over 3.5
30%2.60
Under 1.5
20%4.33
Under 2.5
46%2.19
Under 3.5
70%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.43
Over 9.5
51%1.73
Over 10.5
41%2.18
Under 8.5
39%2.58
Under 9.5
49%2.00
Under 10.5
59%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.5
48%-
Over 4.5
29%-
Under 3.5
52%-
Under 4.5
71%-

Match Events

26'R. SchwarzFoul
30'N. BannisAssist: F. de Carvalho
45'E. C. OwenAssist: T. den Boggende
52'A. SelloufAssist: N. Markelo
58'C. Olde KeizerFoul
63'E. Probst INP. Dahbo out
63'F. de Carvalho INN. Zonneveld out
63'L. Rietveld INN. Gyamfi-Amoah out
73'N. BannisAssist: M. Schikora
74'N. DundasUnsportsmanlike conduct
79'C. Olde Keizer INX. Thenu out
79'A. Sellouf INA. Buttner out
87'N. Bannis INJ. Pinto out
89'A. Buttner(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Jong Utrecht
4-2-3-1Coach: Mark Otten
Vitesse
4-2-3-1Coach: Rudiger Rehm
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.97
Kevin Gadellaa7.31K. Gadellaa
Bjorn Menzo6.27B. Menzo
Jamie Schuldes6.03J. Schuldes
Per Kloosterboer6.514P. Kloosterboer
Viggo PlantingaC5.95V. Plantinga
Massien Ghaddari6.62M. Ghaddari
Driss Laaouina6.68D. Laaouina
Emmanuel Owen7.29E. Owen
Tijn den Boggende6.210T. den Boggende
Levi Rietveld6.311L. Rietveld
Noa Dundas6.36N. Dundas
Maximilian Brüll7.031M. Brüll
Nathan Markelo7.624N. Markelo
Valon Zumberi7.217V. Zumberi
Omar Achouitar7.314O. Achouitar
Chiel Olde Keizer6.543C. Olde Keizer
Marco SchikoraC7.56M. Schikora
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz6.68R. Schwarz
Filipe de Ferreira6.320F. de Ferreira
Eduard Probst6.727E. Probst
Ayman Sellouf7.721A. Sellouf
Naoufal Bannis7.99N. Bannis

Jong Utrecht Substitutes

17Nana Gyamfi-Amoah63'for L. Rietveld6.2
31Justin Eversen
32Martin Tsankov
12Matyas Havelka
15Nick de Vos
18Jessey Sneijder
13Abdulla Aslani
16Tom Wellerdieck
21Jespen Eujen
19Jerayno Hunte

Vitesse Substitutes

7Nino Zonneveld63'for F. de Carvalho6.9
16Pontus Dahbo63'for E. Probst6.3
28Alexander Büttner79'for A. Sellouf6.7
22Xiamaro Thenu79'for C. Olde Keizer6.3
13João Pinto87'for N. Bannis
23Jayden Siecker
25Tyrick Bodak
55Marcus Steffen
2Solomon Bonnah
33Mathijs Marschalk
38Koen te Veluwe
34Youssef Ouallil

Match Stats

Jong UtrechtVitesse
37%Ball Possession63%
3Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots19
3Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots3
15Fouls7
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
300Total Passes521
232Passes Accurate456
77%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
VitesseVitesse
1426Elo Rating 1565
1.97Attack 0.56
0.00Defense 1.46
14%Hit Rate 23%
18.4Shots per Game 11.1
5.9Shots on Target 2.4
7.0Corners per Game 7.0
0.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VitesseVitesse
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
VitesseVitesse4Wins · 100%
2.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie13/04/2026
Jong UtrechtVitesse
03
Eerste Divisie03/10/2025
VitesseJong Utrecht
20
Eerste Divisie10/03/2025
Jong UtrechtVitesse
02
Eerste Divisie13/12/2024
VitesseJong Utrecht
21

Recent Form

Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
3W1D6L
09/08/2026
MVVJong Utrecht
21
L
26/07/2026
Borussia Dortmund IIJong Utrecht
51
L
03/07/2026
Jong UtrechtWerder Bremen II
12
L
24/04/2026
Jong AjaxJong Utrecht
02
W
20/04/2026
Den BoschJong Utrecht
11
D
17/04/2026
Jong UtrechtFC Eindhoven
30
W
13/04/2026
Jong UtrechtVitesse
03
L
06/04/2026
FC OSSJong Utrecht
31
L
20/03/2026
Jong UtrechtDordrecht
31
W
17/03/2026
ADO Den HaagJong Utrecht
10
L
VitesseVitesse
3W5D2L
07/08/2026
VitesseWaalwijk
11
D
18/07/2026
VitesseAl-Jazira
12
L
15/07/2026
VitesseAEK Athens FC
00
D
11/07/2026
VitesseBorussia Dortmund II
10
W
03/07/2026
VitesseRoda
11
D
24/04/2026
CambuurVitesse
21
L
17/04/2026
VitesseMVV
00
D
13/04/2026
Jong UtrechtVitesse
03
W
06/04/2026
VitesseJong Ajax
61
W
03/04/2026
VitesseEmmen
33
D

Referee Profile

Thomas Hardeman98 matches

3.52Cards per match
3.35Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Thomas Hardeman3.52
Other referees3.49

3.52 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
Promotion

About the Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Jong Utrecht and Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Vitesse are 9th and Jong Utrecht 20th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Jong Utrecht 19-31, Vitesse 16-17. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Jong Utrecht have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.