FC Midtjylland vs Brondby Prediction

FC Midtjylland
4-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Brondby
MCH Arena, Herning 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
FC Midtjylland Rest
4 days
Brondby Rest
8 days

FC Midtjylland vs Brondby: the result in context

FC Midtjylland beat Brondby 4-1 in the Superliga on 14 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Brondby tend to win more corners, 8.1 a game to 3.0 for FC Midtjylland.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.80
X
23%3.74
2
14%4.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.22
X2
37%1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.52
No
46%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.19 + 0.94 = 3.13
Over 1.5
84%1.18
Over 2.5
64%1.57
Over 3.5
38%2.42
Under 1.5
16%4.70
Under 2.5
36%2.37
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 3.5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
67%1.47
Over 9.5
56%1.83
Over 10.5
44%2.34
Under 8.5
33%2.39
Under 9.5
44%1.86
Under 10.5
56%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%1.50
Over 4.5
26%2.00
Under 3.5
55%2.44
Under 4.5
74%1.75

Match Events

1'Rasmus Kristensen
22'Goal cancelledFriday Etim
23'Stanley IheanachoAssist: Cho Gue-sung
24'Goal confirmedStanley Iheanacho
37'David Martínez INBeni Junior out
45'Oskar Fenger INMarcus Younis out
45'Filip Bundgaard Kristensen INOlti Hyseni out
53'Kjell-Arik Wätjen INDenil Castillo out
64'Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsen INChristopher Olivier out
67'Stanley IheanachoFoul
69'Max Isaac EjdumAssist: Mads Frokjaer-Jensen
73'Max Isaac EjdumFoul
74'Jordi Vanlerberghe INRaphael Canut out
74'Stanley IheanachoAssist: Cho Gue-sung
76'Raphael CanutFoul
81'Sho Fukuda INCasper Winther out
83'Stanley Iheanacho INMileta Rajovic out
83'Friday Etim INJulius Emefile out
89'Magnus Jensen
89'Bartosz ŚliszDissent
89'Bartosz Ślisz
90+2'Olti HyseniAssist: Mads Frokjaer-Jensen

Lineups

FC Midtjylland
3-4-1-2Coach: M. Tullberg
Brondby
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Nörgaard
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.19
E. Ólafsson6.11E. Ólafsson
R. Kristensen7.35R. Kristensen
M. Jensen8.03M. Jensen
V. Bak Jensen6.455V. Bak Jensen
P. Billing7.28P. Billing
K. Wätjen6.229K. Wätjen
P. Bravo6.019P. Bravo
D. Martínez5.898D. Martínez
Cho Gue-Sung7.710C. Gue-Sung
S. Iheanacho8.718S. Iheanacho
F. Etim6.290F. Etim
P. Pentz5.51P. Pentz
O. Villadsen5.62O. Villadsen
J. Vanlerberghe6.330J. Vanlerberghe
F. Alves6.632F. Alves
M. Divković6.124M. Divković
B. Slisz5.499B. Slisz
M. Ejdum7.318M. Ejdum
F. Bundgaard6.011F. Bundgaard
M. Frøkjær-Jensen7.329M. Frøkjær-Jensen
S. Fukuda5.719S. Fukuda
O. Fenger6.351O. Fenger

FC Midtjylland Substitutes

25N. Bakker
21D. Castillo53'for Kjell-Arik Wätjen6.3
38J. Emefile83'for Friday Etim6.1
15B. Dje Bi Dje37'for David Martínez6.5
34N. A. Aziz
9M. Rajović83'for Stanley Iheanacho6.5
17M. Uhre
42Frederik Vestergaard
27S. Johannesen

Brondby Substitutes

10D. Wass
3Christopher Olivier64'for Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsen5.9
9P. Mortensen
50W. Sonne Schmid
27M. Köhlert
15C. Winther81'for Sho Fukuda5.8
7O. Hyseni45'for Filip Bundgaard Kristensen90+2'7.4
37R. Canut74'for Jordi Vanlerberghe76'5.4
21M. Younis45'for Oskar Fenger6.5

Match Stats

FC MidtjyllandBrondby
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots5
14Fouls13
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves0
308Total Passes408
226Passes Accurate322
13Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
BrondbyBrondby
1777Elo Rating 1651
1.84Attack 2.45
0.26Defense 1.96
59%Hit Rate 83%
14.3Shots per Game 14.3
4.6Shots on Target 5.6
3.0Corners per Game 8.1
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+127 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BrondbyBrondby
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
BrondbyBrondby5Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Superliga17/05/2026
FC MidtjyllandBrondby
23
Superliga12/04/2026
BrondbyFC Midtjylland
12
Superliga01/03/2026
FC MidtjyllandBrondby
00
Superliga31/08/2025
BrondbyFC Midtjylland
13
Superliga19/05/2025
BrondbyFC Midtjylland
12
Superliga30/03/2025
FC MidtjyllandBrondby
02
Superliga03/11/2024
FC MidtjyllandBrondby
15
DBU Pokalen31/10/2024
BrondbyFC Midtjylland
10
Superliga06/10/2024
BrondbyFC Midtjylland
20
Superliga05/05/2024
FC MidtjyllandBrondby
32

League Table

Superliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen14102229:12+1732WWDDL
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1495029:17+1232DWWWW
3ViborgViborg1482422:13+926WWLLW
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1465326:18+823WLDDD
5BrondbyBrondby1471623:21+222LWWLW
6OdenseOdense1445516:19-317LWDWD
7AC HorsensAC Horsens1444623:23016LLWDD
8AarhusAarhus1436519:21-215WLWDW
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1436518:24-615WLDLD
10LyngbyLyngby1425719:29-1011LWLDL
11Randers FCRanders FC1432914:27-1311LLLDL
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1423919:33-149DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1429:1232
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1429:1732
3ViborgViborg1422:1326
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1426:1823
5BrondbyBrondby1423:2122
6OdenseOdense1416:1917
7AC HorsensAC Horsens1423:2316
8AarhusAarhus1419:2115
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1418:2415
10LyngbyLyngby1419:2911
11Randers FCRanders FC1414:2711
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1419:339
Relegation

About the FC Midtjylland vs Brondby forecast

The forecasts for this Superliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Midtjylland and Brondby in the Superliga table

In the Superliga table, FC Midtjylland are 2nd and Brondby 5th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Midtjylland 29-17, Brondby 23-21. The full standings are on the Superliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.