Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland Prediction

Aarhus
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
FC Midtjylland
New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus· J. Sundberg 02/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel48%RiskHighGap-2.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel41%RiskHighGap+7.5%
Aarhus Rest
3 days
FC Midtjylland Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.20
X
26%3.60
2
49%2.10
Double Chance
1X
51%1.70
X2
75%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.51
No
44%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.65 = 2.92
Over 1.5
83%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.61
Over 3.5
33%2.55
Under 1.5
17%4.50
Under 2.5
41%2.27
Under 3.5
67%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.35
Over 9.5
49%1.59
Over 10.5
41%1.95
Under 8.5
39%2.95
Under 9.5
51%2.17
Under 10.5
59%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.61
Over 4.5
38%2.23
Under 3.5
42%2.10
Under 4.5
62%1.56

Match Events

11'Friday EtimAssist: Philip Billing
45'Pedro Bravo INSofus Johannesen out
56'Denil CastilloAssist: Friday Etim
59'Mikael Anderson INJames Bogere out
59'Mouhammade Camara INLuka Callø out
60'Stefen Tchamche INJanni Serra out
67'Martin Erlic INVictor Bak Jensen out
67'Cho Gue-sung INStanley Iheanacho out
68'Colin RoslerFoul
72'Colin Rosler INRasmus Carstensen out
81'Kjell-Arik WätjenTime wasting
81'Friday Etim INEdward Chilufya out
81'Tobias Bech Kristensen INSebastian Jorgensen out
85'Beni Junior INAbdou Aziz Ndiaye out
87'Magnus KnudsenFoul
89'Philip BillingFoul
90+2'Rasmus KristensenDissent

Lineups

Aarhus
3-4-3Coach: J. Poulsen
FC Midtjylland
4-5-1Coach: M. Tullberg
M. Hedenstad Christiansen21M. Hedenstad ChristiansenM. Hedenstad Christiansen
C. Rösler25C. RöslerC. Rösler
Mouhammade Camara44M. CamaraMouhammade Camara
E. Kahl19E. KahlE. Kahl
J. Andersen26J. AndersenJ. Andersen
M. Knudsen4M. KnudsenM. Knudsen
K. Arnstad10K. ArnstadK. Arnstad
Frederik Emmery39F. EmmeryFrederik Emmery
T. Bech31T. BechT. Bech
S. Tchamche27S. TchamcheS. Tchamche
M. Anderson23M. AndersonM. Anderson
E. Ólafsson1E. ÓlafssonE. Ólafsson
R. Kristensen5R. KristensenR. Kristensen
M. Erlić6M. ErlićM. Erlić
M. Jensen3M. JensenM. Jensen
B. Dje Bi Dje15B. Dje Bi DjeB. Dje Bi Dje
Cho Gue-Sung10C. Gue-SungCho Gue-Sung
D. Castillo21D. CastilloD. Castillo
P. Billing8P. BillingP. Billing
P. Bravo19P. BravoP. Bravo
K. Wätjen29K. WätjenK. Wätjen
F. Etim90F. EtimF. Etim

Aarhus Substitutes

29R. CarstensenD
28J. BogereF
33Luka CalløD
1J. HansenG
16J. JønssonM
14T. MølgaardD
13J. SerraF
7M. SolbakkenM
8S. JørgensenM

FC Midtjylland Substitutes

33Alamara DjabiM
17M. UhreF
34N. A. AzizD
18S. IheanachoF
7Franculino DjúF
14E. ChilufyaF
25N. BakkerG
55V. Bak JensenD
27S. JohannesenM

Match Stats

AarhusFC Midtjylland
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal7
10Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box10
9Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
19Fouls19
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves3
422Total Passes303
359Passes Accurate239
18Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

AarhusAarhus
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
1578Elo Rating 1794
0.76Attack 3.54
0.86Defense 2.20
0%Hit Rate 66%
15.7Shots per Game 15.9
3.9Shots on Target 5.5
5.7Corners per Game 5.7
1.8Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

AarhusAarhus
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Aarhus 0%Draw 61%39% FC Midtjylland
1.52Avg Goals
56%BTTS Rate
23%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

J. Sundberg · 46 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 54% of referees analysed

League Table

Superliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen870122:8+1421WWWWL
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland853016:8+818WDWDW
3FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland852113:6+717WDLWW
4ViborgViborg842211:7+414DLWWW
5BrondbyBrondby841312:14-213LLLWW
6AC HorsensAC Horsens831413:14-110LWLWW
7Randers FCRanders FC83149:10-110LWWLL
8OdenseOdense82247:13-68WLDDL
9LyngbyLyngby814310:12-27DWDLD
10SilkeborgSilkeborg81438:12-47DDDLL
11AarhusAarhus80449:15-64LDLLD
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske80268:19-112DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen822:821
2FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland816:818
3FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland813:617
4ViborgViborg811:714
5BrondbyBrondby812:1413
6AC HorsensAC Horsens813:1410
7Randers FCRanders FC89:1010
8OdenseOdense87:138
9LyngbyLyngby810:127
10SilkeborgSilkeborg88:127
11AarhusAarhus89:154
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske88:192
Relegation

Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Superliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Superliga

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Key Factors for This Match

FC Midtjylland have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Aarhus and FC Midtjylland have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.52 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.