FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg Prediction

3. LigaGermany Germany · Regular Season - 9
FC Saarbrücken
2-4
Finished
HT 0-3
MSV Duisburg
Ludwigspark-Stadion, Saarbrücken·Felix Weller 13/10/2026
FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
2-4
Finished
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseHighGap-5.9%
FC Saarbrücken Rest
3 days
MSV Duisburg Rest
3 days

FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg: the result in context

MSV Duisburg beat FC Saarbrücken 4-2 in the 3. Liga on 13 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: MSV Duisburg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for FC Saarbrücken.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. FC Saarbrücken tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 3.9 for MSV Duisburg.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.45
X
25%3.50
2
38%2.45
Double Chance
1X
62%1.44
X2
63%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.52
No
38%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.64 = 3.12
Over 1.5
80%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.60
Over 3.5
36%2.52
Under 1.5
20%4.25
Under 2.5
41%2.20
Under 3.5
64%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'Lex-Tyger LobingerAssist: Aljaž Casar
34'Tobias Fleckstein
42'Rasim BulicAssist: Lex-Tyger Lobinger
45'Kaan Caliskaner INKai Brünker out
45'Daniel Gleiber INSebastian Vasiliadis out
47'Philip FahrnerFoul
50'Kai BrünkerAssist: Philip Fahrner
54'Philip Fahrner INCalogero Rizzuto out
60'Alexander Staff INGokdeniz Gurpuz out
67'Lex-Tyger Lobinger INPeter Remmert out
67'Conor Noss INRamien Safi out
69'Florian PickFoul
75'niklas jessen INMax Besuschkow out
75'Frederik Christensen INCan Coskun out
78'Zac Shuaib INChristian Kühlwetter out
79'Dominik Kother INFlorian Krüger out
81'Florian KrügerAssist: Joshua Bitter
90'Gokdeniz Gurpuz

Lineups

FC Saarbrücken
4-2-2-2Coach: Argirios Giannikis
MSV Duisburg
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Hirsch
M. Bignetti1M. Bignetti
P. Fahrner42P. Fahrner
M. Cvjetinović21M. Cvjetinović
S. Voet4S. Voet
N. Bretschneider28N. Bretschneider
Daniel Gleiber5D. Gleiber
Z. Shuaib14Z. Shuaib
K. Meisel31K. Meisel
F. Pick20F. Pick
K. Caliskaner22K. Caliskaner
A. Staff29A. Staff
M. Braune1M. Braune
J. Bitter29J. Bitter
T. Fleckstein5T. Fleckstein
B. Schlicke40B. Schlicke
N. Jessen20N. Jessen
A. Casar8A. Casar
R. Bulić6R. Bulić
F. Christensen3F. Christensen
C. Noß14C. Noß
D. Kother11D. Kother
L. Lobinger9L. Lobinger

FC Saarbrücken Substitutes

8Gökdeniz Gürpüz60'for Alexander Staff90'
15A. Kamara
10C. Kühlwetter78'for Zac Shuaib
16Lee Seung-Joon
7C. Rizzuto54'for Philip Fahrner
19S. Vasiliadis45'for Daniel Gleiber
3Anton Bäuerle
9K. Brünker45'for Kaan Caliskaner50'
33K. Broll

MSV Duisburg Substitutes

37P. Sussek
17M. Besuschkow75'for niklas jessen
27C. Coşkun75'for Frederik Christensen
43R. Haddou
26F. Krüger79'for Dominik Kother81'
39P. Remmert67'for Lex-Tyger Lobinger
19Ramien Safi67'for Conor Noss
33T. Stahl

Match Stats

FC SaarbrückenMSV Duisburg
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots20
7Shots on Goal8
7Shots off Goal12
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
1616Elo Rating 1709
2.02Attack 2.34
1.23Defense 1.37
44%Hit Rate 50%
13.4Shots per Game 11.0
6.0Shots on Target 5.1
6.2Corners per Game 3.9
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.13 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg3Wins · 30%
3.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

3. Liga08/03/2026
MSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
42
3. Liga30/09/2025
FC SaarbrückenMSV Duisburg
00
3. Liga16/03/2024
MSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
20
3. Liga29/11/2023
FC SaarbrückenMSV Duisburg
00
3. Liga21/05/2023
MSV DuisburgFC Saarbrucken
22
3. Liga14/01/2023
FC SaarbruckenMSV Duisburg
23
3. Liga23/01/2022
MSV DuisburgFC Saarbrucken
34
3. Liga14/08/2021
FC SaarbruckenMSV Duisburg
20
3. Liga03/03/2021
FC SaarbruckenMSV Duisburg
41
3. Liga04/11/2020
MSV DuisburgFC Saarbrucken
23

Recent Form

FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
5W2D3L
10/10/2026
Fortuna KölnFC Saarbrücken
00
D
02/10/2026
FC SaarbrückenNancy
21
W
19/09/2026
FC SaarbrückenSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
21
W
16/09/2026
Preußen MünsterFC Saarbrücken
33
D
12/09/2026
FC SaarbrückenFC Ingolstadt 04
01
L
05/09/2026
SV MeppenFC Saarbrücken
16
W
30/08/2026
FC SaarbrückenHansa Rostock
24
L
22/08/2026
FC SaarbrückenHertha BSC
2141
L16/08/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgFC Saarbrücken
01
W09/08/2026
FC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
52
W
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
7W1D2L
10/10/2026
MSV DuisburgHoffenheim II
32
W
20/09/2026
SV WehenMSV Duisburg
14
W
15/09/2026
MSV DuisburgHavelse
21
W
12/09/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfMSV Duisburg
21
L
05/09/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
12
W
29/08/2026
MSV DuisburgWürzburger Kickers
30
W
22/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
13
L
15/08/2026
VerlMSV Duisburg
24
W08/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
30
W
01/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
00
D

Referee Profile

Felix Weller81 matches

4.57Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felix Weller4.57
Other referees4.85

4.57 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.85).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1181228:14+1425LDWWW
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1172230:15+1523WDDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1163219:13+621WLWDD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1152426:20+617LWLDW
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1152417:17017WWLLW
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041152415:16-117WWWLL
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1151520:17+316WLLWW
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1151521:19+216LWLLW
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1144318:20-216DLLWD
10SV WehenSV Wehen1143419:16+315WDWWL
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1143419:21-215WLLDL
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1143412:14-215DLWDL
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1142516:17-114WDWDL
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1142518:20-214LWWDD
15VerlVerl1133516:22-612LLDDW
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1133513:25-1212LWDLL
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1132615:23-811LWDLL
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1124520:20010LDDWD
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln112458:12-410LLLDW
20HavelseHavelse1123616:25-99WDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1128:1425
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1130:1523
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1119:1321
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1126:2017
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1117:1717
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041115:1617
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1120:1716
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1121:1916
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1118:2016
10SV WehenSV Wehen1119:1615
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1119:2115
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1112:1415
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1116:1714
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1118:2014
15VerlVerl1116:2212
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1113:2512
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1115:2311
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1120:2010
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln118:1210
20HavelseHavelse1116:259
PromotionRelegation

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About the FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg forecast

The forecasts for this 3. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Saarbrücken and MSV Duisburg in the 3. Liga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: MSV Duisburg are 1st in the 3. Liga, 8 points ahead of FC Saarbrücken in 4th. League goal record so far: FC Saarbrücken 26-20, MSV Duisburg 28-14. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

MSV Duisburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.