FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: the result in context
FSV Mainz 05 beat FC Schalke 04 1-0 in the Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
FC Schalke 04
Avg ratingAvg rating
1L. Karius
5T. Becker
25N. Katić
4H. Kuruçay
17A. Gantenbein
23S. El-Faouzi
13S. Tanaka
8R. Gosens
19K. Karaman
24A. Aouchiche
10E. Džeko
1A. Schwolow
21D. da Costa
4S. Posch
48K. Potulski
19A. Caci
10N. Amiri
6K. Sano
7L. Jae-Sung
2P. Mwene
23S. Becker
9P. TietzFC Schalke 04 Substitutes
FSV Mainz 05 Substitutes
Match Stats
FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05 Team Comparison
FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
FC Schalke 04- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
FSV Mainz 05- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
FC Schalke 042Wins · 50%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
05/05/2023FSV Mainz 05FC Schalke 0409/11/2022FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 0505/03/2021FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 0507/11/2020FSV Mainz 05FC Schalke 04Recent Form
FC Schalke 04
SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04
Austria LustenauFC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
Union BerlinFC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
Bayern München
FC AugsburgFC Schalke 04
Hallescher FCFC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
Real MadridFC Schalke 04
Atalanta
Hessen KasselFC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Waldhof MannheimFSV Mainz 05
Borussia MönchengladbachFSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
KrieschowFSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Bournemouth
UdineseFSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).
Cards come from 68 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | +17 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 14 | DDWWW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 10 | WLWLW |
| 6 | SV Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 7 |  RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 | DDWDW |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 | WWWLL |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 8 | LDLDW |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 | WLDWL |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 13 |  VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 15 | FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 | DWLLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | SV Elversberg | 6 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 6 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
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This match
About the FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 forecast
The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, FSV Mainz 05 are 5th and FC Schalke 04 15th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Schalke 04 4-7, FSV Mainz 05 14-10. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FSV Mainz 05 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.