FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen: result, form and history
Bayer Leverkusen beat FSV Mainz 05 4-3 in the Bundesliga on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Bayer Leverkusen have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
FSV Mainz 05
Avg ratingAvg rating
1A. Schwolow
4S. Posch
3F. Gruber
48K. Potulski
19A. Caci
5E. Martel
6K. Sano
10N. Amiri
2P. Mwene
9P. Tietz
23S. Becker
1M. Flekken
4J. Quansah
12E. Tapsoba
2F. Medina
3M. Gutiérrez
8R. Andrich
24A. García
19M. Diaby
30I. Maza
9A. Moreira
14P. SchickFSV Mainz 05 Substitutes
Bayer Leverkusen Substitutes
Match Stats
FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen Team Comparison
FSV Mainz 05Bayer LeverkusenAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
FSV Mainz 05- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Bayer Leverkusen- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FSV Mainz 052Wins · 20%6Wins · 60%Previous meetings
28/02/2026Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 0518/10/2025FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen17/05/2025FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen14/01/2025Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 0523/02/2024Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 0530/09/2023FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen19/02/2023Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 0527/08/2022FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen18/02/2022FSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen25/09/2021Bayer LeverkusenFSV Mainz 05Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05
Waldhof MannheimFSV Mainz 05
Borussia MönchengladbachFSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
KrieschowFSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Bournemouth
UdineseFSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFSV Mainz 05
Holstein KielBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen
Celje
FC AugsburgBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen
SV WehenBayer Leverkusen
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
Nottingham ForestBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
SevillaBayer Leverkusen
Rot-Weiß EssenReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.73 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.63).
Cards come from 103 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | +17 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 14 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 10 | WLWLW |
| 6 | SV Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 | DDWDW |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 | WWWLL |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 8 | LDLDW |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 | WLDWL |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 13 |  VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 15 |  FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 | DWLLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | SV Elversberg | 6 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 6 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
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This match
About the FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga table
Bayer Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05 are close in the Bundesliga table, 4th and 5th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: FSV Mainz 05 14-10, Bayer Leverkusen 16-9. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FSV Mainz 05 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Bayer Leverkusen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.