FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction

FC Sochi
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Spartak Kostroma
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel28%SurpriseHighGap+7.1%
FC Sochi Rest
7 days
Spartak Kostroma Rest
6 days

FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma: result, form and history

Spartak Kostroma beat FC Sochi 2-0 in the First League on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.04
X
30%3.25
2
33%3.60
Double Chance
1X
67%1.25
X2
63%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.85
No
56%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.32
Over 2.5
38%2.11
Over 3.5
18%3.58
Under 1.5
36%2.92
Under 2.5
62%1.72
Under 3.5
82%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'A. Kalmykov
24'A. Kalmykov
38'V. Litvinov
46'I. Meshcheryakov INN. Demchenko out
47'A. Kalmykov
58'M. Kuzmin(Penalty missed)
60'K. Chursin INA. Nemchenko out
69'A. Kalmykov INI. Rubtsov out
73'Marcelo Alves INP. Meleshin out
73'Z. Fedorov INR. Magal out
73'R. Ezhov INR. Bart out
81'M. Kuzmin INM. Kaynov out
83'D. Kaptilovich IND. Khubaev out
83'V. Kamilov IND. Ghurtskaia out
83'M. Ignatov INR. Pasevich out

Lineups

FC Sochi
3-4-3Coach: Igor Osinkin
Spartak Kostroma
4-3-1-2Coach: Roman Berezovsky
Aleksandr Degtev35A. Degtev
Vyacheslav Litvinov4V. Litvinov
Marcelo Alves33M. Alves
Aleksandr Soldatenkov3A. Soldatenkov
Kirill Zaika27K. Zaika
Aleksandr Osipov5A. Osipov
Maksim Kuzmin6M. Kuzmin
Artem Makarchuk17A. Makarchuk
Roman Ezhov29R. Ezhov
Zakhar Fedorov9Z. Fedorov
Mikhail Ignatov8M. Ignatov
Egor Shamov50E. Shamov
Denis Zhilmostnykh5D. Zhilmostnykh
Sergey Bugriev3S. Bugriev
Nikolay Tarasov2N. Tarasov
Aleksandr Tarasov47A. Tarasov
Vladislav Kamilov18V. Kamilov
Dmitriy Kaptilovich17D. Kaptilovich
Kirill Chursin69K. Chursin
Ilya Meshcheryakov77I. Meshcheryakov
David Karaev10D. Karaev
Amur Kalmykov90A. Kalmykov

FC Sochi Substitutes

85Daniil Silev
39Matvey Lantrat
44Nemanja Stojić
37Makar Chirkov
60Mark Nosatiy
66Aleksandr Metsiev
18Maksim Kaynov81'for M. Kuzmin
28Ruslan Magal73'for Z. Fedorov
97Roman Pasevich83'for M. Ignatov
59Ruslan Bart73'for R. Ezhov
11Pavel Meleshin73'for Marcelo Alves

Spartak Kostroma Substitutes

18Nikita Demchenko46'for I. Meshcheryakov
22Anatoliy Nemchenko60'for K. Chursin
68Mikhail Gaydash
82Oleg Nikiforenko
9David Khubaev83'for D. Kaptilovich
50Maksim Nikiforov
73David Kirakosyan
10Dimitri Gurtskaia
13Ilya Rubtsov69'replaced by A. Kalmykov

Team Comparison

FC SochiFC Sochi
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
1522Elo Rating 1539
1.68Attack 1.46
2.42Defense 2.08
83%Hit Rate 64%
7.8Shots per Game 7.3
3.0Shots on Target 3.4
4.5Corners per Game 5.2
2.1Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC SochiFC Sochi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

FC SochiFC Sochi0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Cup30/10/2024
FC SochiSpartak Kostroma
22

Recent Form

FC SochiFC Sochi
4W3D3L
12/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlFC Sochi
22
D
03/07/2026
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
03
L
30/06/2026
FC SochiSka-khabarovsk
42
W
26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
D
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
10/05/2026
ZenitFC Sochi
21
L
03/05/2026
FC SochiFC Orenburg
31
W
26/04/2026
DynamoFC Sochi
20
L
21/04/2026
FC SochiKrylia Sovetov
21
W
17/04/2026
FC RostovFC Sochi
01
W
Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma
2W4D4L
12/07/2026
Spartak KostromaKAMAZ
31
W
03/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Kostroma
20
L
02/07/2026
Spartak MoscowSpartak Kostroma
10
L
28/06/2026
Spartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk
11
D
21/06/2026
Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
11
D
16/05/2026
Spartak KostromaFC UFA
01
L
10/05/2026
FK Sokol SaratovSpartak Kostroma
11
D
01/05/2026
KAMAZSpartak Kostroma
20
L
25/04/2026
Spartak KostromaArsenal Tula
11
D
22/04/2026
Spartak KostromaSka-khabarovsk
30
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod15131144:15+2940WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi15102326:15+1132WWWDW
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4UralUral1584325:11+1428WLLWW
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1483320:13+727WLLWW
6VelesVeles1683520:19+127LDWLD
7FC UFAFC UFA1556418:15+321LWLDL
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1663721:22-121WWDWL
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420DWDLD
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1554619:29-1019WLWLD
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1543819:26-715LLWDW
13EniseyEnisey1535716:30-1414LLLDW
14LeningradetsLeningradets1535712:26-1414DLLWL
15KAMAZKAMAZ1534819:27-813LWDWD
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik15411011:22-1113DLLLL
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1524918:28-1010WLDDD
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1524911:25-1410LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1544:1540
2FC SochiFC Sochi1526:1532
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4UralUral1525:1128
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1420:1327
6VelesVeles1620:1927
7FC UFAFC UFA1518:1521
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1621:2221
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1418:1420
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1519:2919
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1519:2615
13EniseyEnisey1516:3014
14LeningradetsLeningradets1512:2614
15KAMAZKAMAZ1519:2713
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1511:2213
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1518:2810
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1511:2510

About the FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Sochi and Spartak Kostroma in the First League table

In the First League table, FC Sochi are 2nd and Spartak Kostroma 5th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Sochi 26-15, Spartak Kostroma 20-13. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Sochi and Spartak Kostroma have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.