Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets Prediction

Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap+5.3%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Rest
7 days
Leningradets Rest
8 days

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets: the result in context

Shinnik Yaroslavl beat Leningradets 2-0 in the First League on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Shinnik Yaroslavl tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 3.0 for Leningradets.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.95
X
22%3.23
2
19%3.95
Double Chance
1X
81%1.21
X2
41%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.94
No
56%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.34
Over 2.5
38%2.21
Over 3.5
18%3.88
Under 1.5
36%2.83
Under 2.5
62%1.66
Under 3.5
82%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'A. Antonov IND. Martovoy out
46'D. Samoylov INA. Gongapshev out
49'A. Golubev
58'D. Mironov INI. Azyavin out
58'I. Porokhov IND. Pushkarev out
61'D. Yakovlev INO. Kenfak out
61'A. Ukomskiy INI. Stefanovich out
72'O. Lanin INI. Shmakov out
72'D. Emelyanov INE. Zarypbekov out
72'N. Kalugin
80'I. Azyavin
83'D. Martovoy

Lineups

Shinnik Yaroslavl
3-5-2Coach: Denis Boyarintsev
Leningradets
4-4-2Coach: Aleksandr Shmarko
Timofey Mitrov51T. Mitrov
Nikita Kotin53N. Kotin
Vadim Karpov62V. Karpov
Maksim Karaev49M. Karaev
Eduard Valiakhmetov17E. Valiakhmetov
Anton Antonov77A. Antonov
Artem Golubev50A. Golubev
Oleg Lanin64O. Lanin
Dmitriy Samoilov15D. Samoilov
Ilya Porokhov11I. Porokhov
Denis Mironov88D. Mironov
Aleksey Kuznetsov96A. Kuznetsov
Roman Kudryavtsev4R. Kudryavtsev
Erwing Jo Botaka-Ioboma3E. Jo Botaka-Ioboma
Nikita Kalugin44N. Kalugin
Sergey Nikolaev2S. Nikolaev
Danila Emeljanov99D. Emeljanov
Kirill Morozov5K. Morozov
Daniil Rodin6D. Rodin
Artem Kulishev32A. Kulishev
Dmitriy Yakovlev11D. Yakovlev
Artemiy Ukomskiy7A. Ukomskiy

Shinnik Yaroslavl Substitutes

20Daniil Martovoy46'for A. Antonov83'
77Albek Gongapshev46'for D. Samoylov
24Ilya Azyavin58'for D. Mironov80'
15Denis Pushkarev58'for I. Porokhov
95Denis Vambolt
33Artem Lavrenkov
27Artur Chernyi
4Nikita Chistyakov
32Artemiy Kosogorov
54Ivan Shmakov72'for O. Lanin

Leningradets Substitutes

14Olivier Kenfack61'replaced by D. Yakovlev
23Ilya Stefanovich61'for A. Ukomskiy
1Egor Smirnov
19Artur Maksetsov
37Kirill Isaev
10Eldiyar Zarypbekov72'for D. Emelyanov
52Ilya Petukhov
83Ivan Petrov

Match Stats

Shinnik YaroslavlLeningradets
64%Ball Possession36%
17Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
4Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal3

Team Comparison

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
LeningradetsLeningradets
1499Elo Rating 1385
0.66Attack 0.82
1.67Defense 1.03
19%Hit Rate 39%
5.2Shots per Game 4.8
2.6Shots on Target 2.6
6.7Corners per Game 3.0
1.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+113 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LeningradetsLeningradets
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
LeningradetsLeningradets0Wins · 0%
0.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

First League30/03/2024
Shinnik YaroslavlLeningradets
00
First League12/08/2023
LeningradetsShinnik Yaroslavl
01

Recent Form

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
4W6D0L
12/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlFC Sochi
22
D
30/06/2026
CSKA MoscowShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
16/05/2026
ChelyabinskShinnik Yaroslavl
22
D
11/05/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
11
D
04/05/2026
UralShinnik Yaroslavl
01
W
26/04/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
30
W
22/04/2026
FakelShinnik Yaroslavl
22
D
18/04/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal Tula
20
W
12/04/2026
Volga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
01
W
04/04/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlKAMAZ
00
D
LeningradetsLeningradets
3W1D6L
11/07/2026
FC UFALeningradets
30
L
04/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaLeningradets
30
L
13/06/2026
VelesLeningradets
11
D
07/06/2026
LeningradetsTorpedo Miass
31
W
31/05/2026
TekstilshchikLeningradets
02
W
27/05/2026
LeningradetsVolgar Astrakhan
01
L
23/05/2026
KalugaLeningradets
01
W
17/05/2026
LeningradetsMashuk-KMV
05
L
20/08/2025
Luki-EnergiyaLeningradets
20
L
06/08/2025
LeningradetsCherepovets
03
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod15131144:15+2940WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi15102326:15+1132WWWDW
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4UralUral1584325:11+1428WLLWW
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1483320:13+727WLLWW
6VelesVeles1683520:19+127LDWLD
7FC UFAFC UFA1556418:15+321LWLDL
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1663721:22-121WWDWL
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420DWDLD
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1554619:29-1019WLWLD
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1543819:26-715LLWDW
13EniseyEnisey1535716:30-1414LLLDW
14LeningradetsLeningradets1535712:26-1414DLLWL
15KAMAZKAMAZ1534819:27-813LWDWD
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik15411011:22-1113DLLLL
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1524918:28-1010WLDDD
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1524911:25-1410LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1544:1540
2FC SochiFC Sochi1526:1532
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4UralUral1525:1128
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1420:1327
6VelesVeles1620:1927
7FC UFAFC UFA1518:1521
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1621:2221
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1418:1420
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1519:2919
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1519:2615
13EniseyEnisey1516:3014
14LeningradetsLeningradets1512:2614
15KAMAZKAMAZ1519:2713
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1511:2213
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1518:2810
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1511:2510

About the Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shinnik Yaroslavl and Leningradets in the First League table

In the First League table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 9th and Leningradets 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Shinnik Yaroslavl 18-14, Leningradets 12-26. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shinnik Yaroslavl and Leningradets have met only 2 times recently, averaging 0.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.