FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 5
Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
FC St. Pauli Rest
8 days
VfL Wolfsburg Rest
7 days
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg: result, form and history
FC St. Pauli beat VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 in the 2. Bundesliga on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: VfL Wolfsburg had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for FC St. Pauli.
Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%2.40
X25%3.64
240%2.62
Double Chance
1X60%1.44
X265%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.44
No35%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.4 = 2.81
Over 1.581%1.14
Over 2.558%1.53
Over 3.533%2.33
Under 1.519%5.00
Under 2.542%2.35
Under 3.567%1.58
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.1 = 9.8
Over 8.563%1.30
Over 9.554%1.55
Over 10.541%1.93
Under 8.537%2.97
Under 9.546%2.20
Under 10.559%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.556%-
Over 4.537%-
Under 3.544%-
Under 4.563%-
Match Events
4'Lars RitzkaFoul
12'Cleiton Santana dos SantosFoul
32'Abdoulie CeesayFoul
65'Muhammed Damar INBence Dárdai out
65'Cleiton Santana dos Santos INJonas Adjetey out
67'Lars Ritzka INAdam Dźwigała out
70'Youssoupha Niang INMartijn Kaars out
74'Kento Shiogai INYannick Gerhardt out
74'Mattias Svanberg INMaximilian Arnold out
78'Tobias StroblDissent
82'Alexander Bernhardsson INAlessio Besio out
85'Joakim MaehleFoul
88'Joel Chima Fujita
90+1'Abdoulie Ceesay INTaichi Hara out
90+1'Connor Metcalfe INSamuel Klein out
Lineups
FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
4-3-3Coach: Tobias StroblAvg ratingAvg rating
1B. Voll
11A. Pyrka
4D. Nemeth
21L. Ritzka
23L. Oppie
8E. Smith
7Y. Niang
20M. Rasmussen
16J. Fujita
24C. Metcalfe
9A. Ceesay
30J. Zieliński
2K. Fischer
6H. Wahl
33Cleiton
21J. Mæhle
20M. Damar
5V. Souza
32M. Svanberg
17A. Bernhardsson
7K. Shiogai
11F. ReeseFC St. Pauli Substitutes
22Samuel Klein90+1'for Connor Metcalfe
19M. Kaars70'for Youssoupha Niang
26R. Jones
18T. Hara90+1'for Abdoulie Ceesay
25A. Dźwigała67'for Lars Ritzka
17S. Banks
14E. Ahlstrand
33D. Mitov
46J. Westphal
VfL Wolfsburg Substitutes
25A. Zehnter
18J. Adjetey65'for Cleiton Santana dos Santos
27M. Arnold74'for Mattias Svanberg
23A. Besio82'for Alexander Bernhardsson
8Bence Dárdai65'for Muhammed Damar
31Y. Gerhardt74'for Kento Shiogai
14P. Hensel
42B. Katz
12P. Pervan
Match Stats
FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg 40%Ball Possession60%
10Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls8
6Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
327Total Passes509
262Passes Accurate446
8Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg1583Elo Rating 1721
0.94Attack 2.25
1.86Defense 1.39
17%Hit Rate 44%
16.7Shots per Game 18.7
4.8Shots on Target 6.2
4.5Corners per Game 6.4
2.2Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC St. Pauli- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VfL Wolfsburg- Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
FC St. Pauli0Wins · 0%Draws250%
VfL Wolfsburg2Wins · 50%
2Wins · 50%2.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4
Previous meetings
16/05/2026FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg13
14/01/2026VfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli21
08/03/2025VfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli11
26/10/2024FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg00
Recent Form
FC St. Pauli3W4D3L
04/09/2026
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli22
D30/08/2026FC St. Pauli
1. FC Kaiserslautern
FC St. Pauli1. FC Kaiserslautern12
L23/08/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenFC St. Pauli
Rot-Weiß EssenFC St. Pauli20
L14/08/2026
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli22
D09/08/2026FC St. Pauli
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth11
D01/08/2026FC St. Pauli
Deportivo La Coruna
FC St. PauliDeportivo La Coruna22
D24/07/2026
BournemouthFC St. Pauli
BournemouthFC St. Pauli41
L19/07/2026FC St. Pauli
HNK Gorica
FC St. PauliHNK Gorica21
W11/07/2026
SV Babelsberg 03FC St. Pauli
SV Babelsberg 03FC St. Pauli14
W04/07/2026
Kickers EmdenFC St. Pauli
Kickers EmdenFC St. Pauli13
WVfL Wolfsburg6W2D2L
05/09/2026VfL Wolfsburg
Energie Cottbus
VfL WolfsburgEnergie Cottbus44
D29/08/2026
Karlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg
Karlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg25
W24/08/2026
AltglienickeVfL Wolfsburg
16/08/2026AltglienickeVfL Wolfsburg5262
W
Hannover 96VfL Wolfsburg01
W08/08/2026VfL Wolfsburg1. FC Kaiserslautern00
D31/07/2026VfL Wolfsburg
Telstar
VfL WolfsburgTelstar31
W24/07/2026VfL Wolfsburg
Lyon
VfL WolfsburgLyon02
L18/07/2026VfL Wolfsburg
Verl
VfL WolfsburgVerl30
W11/07/2026
SchöningenVfL Wolfsburg
SchöningenVfL Wolfsburg28
W25/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg
SC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg2111
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25:9 | +16 | 31 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:13 | +13 | 24 | WWLDD |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 4 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | +11 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | +10 | 19 | LWDWD |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 17 | WWLWW |
| 7 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:20 | -1 | 16 | DLDLD |
| 8 |  VfL Bochum | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 | WWDLL |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | LLDDW |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 12 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 | DWLDL |
| 12 | Energie Cottbus | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 | DLDDL |
| 13 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 11 | DLWLW |
| 14 |  VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 | LLWLD |
| 15 |  Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 | LWLWL |
| 17 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 | LDDLW |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 | LLWDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 25:9 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 26:13 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 10:7 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 25:14 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 26:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 18:16 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 11 | 19:20 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum | 11 | 11:13 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli | 11 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 11 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 12 | Energie Cottbus | 11 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 15:24 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 11:14 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More 2. Bundesliga matches
- VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig 06/09/26
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 11/09/26
- VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 12/09/26
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden 12/09/26
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel 13/09/26
- Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus 13/09/26
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg 18/09/26
- Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück 19/09/26
About the FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg in the 2. Bundesliga table
In the 2. Bundesliga table, VfL Wolfsburg are 5th and FC St. Pauli 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: FC St. Pauli 13-16, VfL Wolfsburg 26-16. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
VfL Wolfsburg have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.