VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 5
Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
1.89
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
VfL Bochum Rest
6 days
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Rest
5 days
VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: the result in context
VfL Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth drew 1-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 12 Sep 2026. VfL Bochum had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
VfL Bochum have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. SpVgg Greuther Fürth tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 4.7 for VfL Bochum.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
159%1.91
X24%3.72
217%3.60
Double Chance
1X83%1.27
X241%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.53
No44%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.03 = 2.82
Over 1.581%1.17
Over 2.559%1.59
Over 3.533%2.50
Under 1.519%4.60
Under 2.541%2.31
Under 3.567%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4.2 = 10.5
Over 8.567%1.36
Over 9.556%1.68
Over 10.546%2.10
Under 8.533%2.70
Under 9.544%2.04
Under 10.554%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.8
Over 3.553%-
Over 4.533%-
Under 3.547%-
Under 4.567%-
Match Events
16'Philipp HofmannAssist: Maximilian Wittek
28'Mats Henry PannewigFoul
30'Gerrit Holtmann INJarne Steuckers out
57'Krisztián Keresztes INHendry. Blank out
58'Sacha Banse INDennis Srbeny out
63'Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen INalessandro crimaldi out
63'Sean Klaiber INYigit Karademir out
65'Jordan Siebatcheu INOmar Sillah out
71'Omar SillahAssist: Dennis Srbeny
78'Tom Meyer INDaniel Hanslik out
78'Maximilian Wittek INLasse Isbruch out
81'Faton Ademi INDoni Arifi out
81'Lukas Reich INJannik Dehm out
82'Mats Henry Pannewig
Lineups
VfL BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth
4-4-2Coach: H. VogelAvg ratingAvg rating
1T. Horn
2S. Klaiber
15M. Steinwender
5K. Mets
32M. Wittek
34T. Meyer
24M. Pannewig
7C. Rasmussen
23K. Miyoshi
17G. Holtmann
33P. Hofmann
1F. Hellstern
2L. Reich
22J. Heuer
29K. Keresztes
27G. Itter
37F. Ademi
13P. Will
6S. Bansé
10O. Pohlmann
30F. Klaus
9J. SiebatcheuVfL Bochum Substitutes
37Alessandro Crimaldi63'for Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen
19D. Hanslik78'for Tom Meyer
39L. Isbruch78'for Maximilian Wittek
4Y. Karademir63'for Sean Klaiber
28C. Patino
10B. Taz
14J. Steuckers30'for Gerrit Holtmann
31L. Sawas
38Hugo Johannes Walter Rölleke
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Substitutes
28D. Arifi81'for Faton Ademi
4Elias Benkara
34Hendry Aron Blank57'for Krisztián Keresztes
23J. Dehm81'for Lukas Reich
11A. Keller
43Silas Joel Prüfrock
42O. Sillah65'for Jordan Siebatcheu71'
7D. Srbeny58'for Sacha Banse
45Olgherto Balliu
Match Stats
VfL BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth 46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks7
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots18
5Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls7
5Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
443Total Passes454
379Passes Accurate388
7Free Kicks7
Team Comparison
VfL BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth1668Elo Rating 1570
1.19Attack 0.96
2.06Defense 1.50
50%Hit Rate 23%
11.4Shots per Game 13.7
3.2Shots on Target 3.4
4.7Corners per Game 7.1
2.5Cards per Game 0.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
Game State Tendencies
VfL Bochum- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SpVgg Greuther Fürth- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
VfL Bochum6Wins · 86%Draws00%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1Wins · 14%
1Wins · 14%2.6Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7
Previous meetings
23/08/2026SpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum12
26/04/2026VfL BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth21
29/11/2025SpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum03
05/03/2022Vfl BochumSpVgg Greuther Furth21
16/10/2021SpVgg Greuther FurthVfl Bochum01
06/03/2021SpVgg Greuther FurthVfl Bochum12
07/11/2020Vfl BochumSpVgg Greuther Furth02
Recent Form
VfL Bochum5W2D3L
05/09/2026
Dynamo DresdenVfL Bochum
Dynamo DresdenVfL Bochum12
W28/08/2026VfL Bochum
VfL Osnabrück
23/08/2026VfL BochumVfL Osnabrück01
LSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum12
W14/08/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigVfL Bochum
Eintracht BraunschweigVfL Bochum01
W07/08/2026VfL Bochum
Hertha BSC
VfL BochumHertha BSC01
L01/08/2026VfL Bochum
Sheffield Utd
VfL BochumSheffield Utd00
D25/07/2026
Werder BremenVfL Bochum
Werder BremenVfL Bochum20
L21/07/2026
SwanseaVfL Bochum
SwanseaVfL Bochum02
W15/07/2026
AjaxVfL Bochum
AjaxVfL Bochum11
D11/07/2026VfL Bochum
Antwerp
VfL BochumAntwerp10
WSpVgg Greuther Fürth5W1D4L
06/09/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Heidenheim
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Heidenheim01
L29/08/2026
Energie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth
23/08/2026Energie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth34
WSpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum12
L15/08/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg24
L09/08/2026
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth11
D18/07/2026
FC ZurichSpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC ZurichSpVgg Greuther Fürth23
W11/07/2026
Eintracht BambergSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Eintracht BambergSpVgg Greuther Fürth13
W08/07/2026
EltersdorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth
EltersdorfSpVgg Greuther Fürth03
W05/07/2026
BayreuthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
BayreuthSpVgg Greuther Fürth10
L26/05/2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rot-Weiß Essen
SpVgg Greuther FürthRot-Weiß Essen20
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | +11 | 21 | WLDDW |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | +11 | 19 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 17 | DWLWD |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 | LDLDD |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | WLWLD |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 11 | LWLDD |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 | WDLLL |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 | WLDLW |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 | WLWLL |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 10 | LDDLD |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 | LWDLD |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 | LLWDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 10 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 10 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 12:20 | 8 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More 2. Bundesliga matches
- Dynamo Dresden vs SV Darmstadt 98 16/08/26
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs SV Darmstadt 98 05/09/26
- VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig 06/09/26
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 11/09/26
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden 12/09/26
- FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg 12/09/26
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel 13/09/26
- Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus 13/09/26
About the VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth forecast
The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
VfL Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga table
SpVgg Greuther Fürth and VfL Bochum are close in the 2. Bundesliga table, 9th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: VfL Bochum 8-11, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 13-16. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.