FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia Prediction

FC Tokyo
1-5
Finished
HT 1-2
Machida Zelvia
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo· Hayato Shimizu, Japan 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.41
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+8.6%
FC Tokyo Rest
7 days
Machida Zelvia Rest
21 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%2.40
X
33%3.10
2
34%3.10
Double Chance
1X
66%1.35
X2
68%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.90
No
47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.44 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.41
Over 2.5
48%2.27
Over 3.5
26%4.15
Under 1.5
25%2.77
Under 2.5
52%1.61
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.7 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.80
Over 9.5
48%2.30
Over 10.5
37%3.00
Under 8.5
42%1.93
Under 9.5
52%1.55
Under 10.5
63%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
48%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
52%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

5'Marcelo RyanAssist: K. Sato
27'M. DukeAssist: Y. Nakayama
38'K. HashimotoSerious foul
42'D. OkamuraFoul
42'M. Nagakura INH. Ishihara out
45+2'T. Akimoto
46'K. Tawaratsumida INR. Omori out
51'Y. Soma
65'T. YengiAssist: Y. Nakayama
66'M. Duke INT. Nishimura out
66'Marcelo Ryan INF. Yamada out
66'K. Hashimoto INS. Homma out
79'N. Lavi INR. Shirasaki out
79'T. Yengi INS. Fujio out
79'H. Nakamura INH. Mochizuki out
80'D. Okamura
85'Y. Soma INK. Sento out
85'H. Inamura INT. Nakagawa out
89'K. SatoFoul

Lineups

FC Tokyo
4-4-2Coach: Rikizo Matsuhashi
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1Coach: Go Kuroda
Kim Seung-gyu81K. Seung-gyuKim Seung-gyu
Sei Muroya2S. MuroyaSei Muroya
Alexander Scholz24A. ScholzAlexander Scholz
Hayato Inamura4H. InamuraHayato Inamura
Kento Hashimoto42K. HashimotoKento Hashimoto
Kein Sato10K. SatoKein Sato
Kento Hashimoto18K. HashimotoKento Hashimoto
Takahiro Ko8T. KoTakahiro Ko
Kota Tawaratsumida33K. TawaratsumidaKota Tawaratsumida
Motoki Nagakura26M. NagakuraMotoki Nagakura
Marcelo Ryan9M. RyanMarcelo Ryan
Kosei Tani1K. TaniKosei Tani
Gen Shoji3G. ShojiGen Shoji
Daihachi Okamura50D. OkamuraDaihachi Okamura
Yuta Nakayama19Y. NakayamaYuta Nakayama
Hotaka Nakamura88H. NakamuraHotaka Nakamura
Hiroyuki Mae16H. MaeHiroyuki Mae
Neta Lavi31N. LaviNeta Lavi
Takahiro Akimoto33T. AkimotoTakahiro Akimoto
Mitchell Duke15M. DukeMitchell Duke
Yuki Soma7Y. SomaYuki Soma
Tete Yengi99T. YengiTete Yengi

FC Tokyo Substitutes

22Hirokazu IshiharaD
15Rio OmoriD
71Fuki YamadaM
19Shion HommaM
39Teruhito NakagawaF
1Hayate TanakaG
20Shuto NaganoD
3Masato MorishigeD
27Kyota TokiwaM

Machida Zelvia Substitutes

20Takuma NishimuraF
6Henry Heroki MochizukiD
23Ryohei ShirasakiM
9Shota FujioF
8Keiya SentoM
13Tatsuya MoritaG
5Ibrahim DreševićD
18Hokuto ShimodaM
34Futa TokumuraF

Match Stats

FC TokyoMachida Zelvia
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
9Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box11
1Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots1
11Fouls10
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
415Total Passes509
337Passes Accurate441
81%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
1647Elo Rating 1708
2.53Attack 1.93
2.81Defense 2.14
81%Hit Rate 56%
16.4Shots per Game 13.0
5.8Shots on Target 4.8
7.2Corners per Game 3.8
1.1Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1 in first half)
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

FC Tokyo 39%Draw 46%14% Machida Zelvia
0.99Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
23%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
1W1D3L
01/08/2026
FC TokyoBorussia Dortmund
01
L
21/07/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
21
W
06/06/2026
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka
13
L
30/05/2026
Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo
22
D
23/05/2026
KashimaFC Tokyo
10
L
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
3W1D1L
18/07/2026
Machida ZelviaFujieda MYFC
21
W
06/06/2026
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
2010
W
30/05/2026
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
22
D
22/05/2026
Machida ZelviaUrawa
10
W
17/05/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
5141
L

Referee Profile

Hayato Shimizu, Japan · 27 matches analysed

3.3Avg Yellows
3.4Avg Cards
20.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 3% of referees analysed

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia752019:6+1317DWWDW
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe751111:5+616WWWWL
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol750213:10+315WLLWW
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima742119:6+1314WLWDD
5FC TokyoFC Tokyo742113:8+514WWDWW
6Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama741210:8+213WWWLD
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale733113:9+412WWLWD
8KashimaKashima740314:13+112LLLWW
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos732211:9+211DWDLW
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka73136:11-510LDWLW
11Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock723211:9+29LDWDW
12UrawaUrawa730413:17-49LWWWL
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse72144:7-37WLDLL
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki72149:14-57WLDLL
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka71338:13-56LLDDL
16Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus72057:13-66LLLWW
17Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga71249:14-55LLDWL
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka71159:11-24LDLLL
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy70433:9-64DDLLD
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba71156:16-104DWLLL
Champions LeagueRelegation

FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this J1 League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About J1 League

ScorePredicts covers Japan football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Tokyo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Tokyo and Machida Zelvia have met 5 times recently, averaging 0.99 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.