Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.7 / 10
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.37
SignalSTRONGModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+14.3%
Gamba Osaka Rest
22 days
Urawa Rest
6 days
Gamba Osaka vs Urawa: result, form and history
Gamba Osaka beat Urawa 4-3 in the J1 League on 7 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gamba Osaka had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Urawa.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%2.36
X25%3.25
226%3.00
Double Chance
1X74%1.36
X251%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.75
No47%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 0.92 = 2.82
Over 1.577%1.30
Over 2.551%2.00
Over 3.528%3.50
Under 1.523%3.25
Under 2.549%1.78
Under 3.572%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 3.6 = 8.5
Over 8.545%1.53
Over 9.546%1.84
Over 10.521%2.33
Under 8.555%2.34
Under 9.554%1.85
Under 10.579%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.548%-
Over 4.531%-
Under 3.552%-
Under 4.569%-
Match Events
11'Matheus SavioFoul
17'H. KomoriAssist: T. Kaneko
22'K. HayashiFoul
22'Matheus SavioUnsportsmanlike conduct
22'Matheus SavioUnsportsmanlike conduct
28'K. ChoUnsportsmanlike conduct
36'I. JebaliAssist: S. Abe
45+7'D. HummetAssist: T. Kishimoto
49'K. KudoFoul
59'D. Hummet INA. Uenaka out
60'S. Sasa INH. Minamino out
61'H. Komori INA. Onaiwu out
66'K. Hayashi INY. Naganuma out
77'S. Abe INT. Suzuki out
77'R. Meshino INWelton out
78'T. KanekoAssist: R. Watanabe
80'H. MinaminoAssist: R. Watanabe
83'A. OnaiwuFoul
84'WeltonAssist: I. Jebali
86'A. UenakaAssist: R. Yamashita
87'T. Kaneko INK. Mizunuma out
87'K. Yasui INH. Ueki out
90'R. Yamashita INS. Nakano out
90'R. Hatsuse INS. Sasaki out
Lineups
Gamba OsakaUrawa
4-3-3Coach: Maciej SkorzaAvg ratingAvg rating
18R. Araki
15T. Kishimoto
19G. Ikegaya
C4S. Nakatani
21R. Hatsuse
13S. Abe
27R. Mito
17R. Yamashita
11I. Jebali
8R. Meshino
23D. Hümmet
1S. Nishikawa
3D. Boza
C2Y. Miyamoto
15K. Kudo
18K. Hayashi
33S. Sasa
25K. Yasui
13R. Watanabe
7T. Kaneko
17H. Komori
10M. SávioGamba Osaka Substitutes
22Jun Ichimori
67Shogo Sasaki90'for R. Hatsuse
2Shota Fukuoka
47Shinya Nakano90'for R. Yamashita
16Tokuma Suzuki77'for S. Abe
38Gaku Nawata
14Asahi Uenaka59'for D. Hummet86'
97Welton77'for R. Meshino84'
7Takashi Usami
Urawa Substitutes
23Koki Fukui
5Kenta Nemoto
88Yoichi Naganuma66'for K. Hayashi
39Jumpei Hayakawa
37Ueki Hayate87'for K. Yasui
8Kota Mizunuma87'for T. Kaneko
36Renji Hidano
45Ado Onaiwu61'for H. Komori83'
42Harumi Minamino60'for S. Sasa80'
Match Stats
Gamba OsakaUrawa 61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
12Total Shots19
9Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots6
11Fouls12
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
460Total Passes287
383Passes Accurate214
83%Pass Accuracy75%
Team Comparison
Gamba OsakaUrawa1615Elo Rating 1610
1.62Attack 1.06
1.52Defense 1.36
14%Hit Rate 50%
16.5Shots per Game 19.4
6.6Shots on Target 3.6
5.8Corners per Game 7.5
1.2Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
🔥Derby Match
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Gamba Osaka- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Urawa- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Gamba Osaka4Wins · 40%Draws110%
Urawa5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%1.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
13/09/2025Gamba OsakaUrawa10
06/05/2025UrawaGamba Osaka01
14/09/2024Gamba OsakaUrawa01
20/04/2024UrawaGamba Osaka01
24/09/2023Gamba OsakaUrawa13
10/09/2023UrawaGamba Osaka30
06/09/2023Gamba OsakaUrawa01
14/05/2023UrawaGamba Osaka31
02/07/2022Gamba OsakaUrawa11
26/02/2022UrawaGamba Osaka01
Recent Form
Gamba Osaka5W1D4L
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgGamba Osaka
Red Bull SalzburgGamba Osaka03
W11/07/2026
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka30
L06/06/2026
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka24
W30/05/2026Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy
Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy11
D24/05/2026
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka12
W16/05/2026
Al-NassrGamba Osaka
Al-NassrGamba Osaka01
W10/05/2026Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima01
L06/05/2026
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka21
L02/05/2026Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
Gamba OsakaVissel Kobe50
W29/04/2026
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka5141
LUrawa4W2D4L
01/08/2026Urawa
Omiya Ardija
UrawaOmiya Ardija22
D17/07/2026
FC RyukyuUrawa
FC RyukyuUrawa54
L06/06/2026Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
UrawaFagiano Okayama02
L31/05/2026Fagiano OkayamaUrawa
Fagiano OkayamaUrawa11
D22/05/2026
Machida ZelviaUrawa
Machida ZelviaUrawa10
L16/05/2026Urawa
FC Tokyo
UrawaFC Tokyo90100
L09/05/2026
Mito HollyhockUrawa
Mito HollyhockUrawa14
W06/05/2026
Kashiwa ReysolUrawa
Kashiwa ReysolUrawa01
W02/05/2026Urawa
JEF United Chiba
UrawaJEF United Chiba20
W29/04/2026Urawa
Kawasaki Frontale
UrawaKawasaki Frontale20
WReferee Profile
2.81Cards per match
2.68Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
2.81 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.50).
Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | +25 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31:20 | +11 | 31 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 30 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 29 | DDDWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 | DWDLW |
| 6 |  Kashima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:24 | +5 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | +4 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 | DLLWL |
| 11 |  Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 16 | WWDDL |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 14 | LLLLD |
| 16 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 33:8 | 33 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 31:20 | 31 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 32:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 16:25 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 10:23 | 14 |
| 16 | V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 12:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 14:25 | 8 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima 07/08/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel Kobe 08/08/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama 08/08/26
- FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia 08/08/26
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock 08/08/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse 08/08/26
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs JEF United Chiba 08/08/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale 09/08/26
About the Gamba Osaka vs Urawa forecast
As a derby, this J1 League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Gamba Osaka and Urawa in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Urawa are 9th and Gamba Osaka 18th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Gamba Osaka 16-24, Urawa 23-29. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.