Lexington vs New Mexico United Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Lexington vs New Mexico United: result, form and history
New Mexico United beat Lexington 4-1 in the USL Championship on 16 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Lexington
New Mexico UnitedAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Lexington- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
New Mexico United- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Lexington1Wins · 50%1Wins · 50%Previous meetings
29/09/2025New Mexico UnitedLexington15/06/2025LexingtonNew Mexico UnitedRecent Form
Lexington
Louisville CityLexington
Tampa Bay RowdiesLexingtonLexington
Indy ElevenLexington
San Antonio
Detroit CityLexington
El Paso LocomotiveLexingtonIndy ElevenLexingtonLexington
Monterey Bay
Las Vegas LightsLexington
Orange County SCLexingtonNew Mexico UnitedEl Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
Oakland RootsNew Mexico United
Atlante FC
Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SCNew Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
Hartford AthleticNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
Charleston BatteryNew Mexico UnitedTampa Bay Rowdies
Colorado SpringsNew Mexico UnitedLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 |  FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Lexington vs New Mexico United forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Lexington and New Mexico United in the USL Championship table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: New Mexico United are 1st in the USL Championship, 4 points ahead of Lexington in 4th. League goal record so far: Lexington 57-39, New Mexico United 45-34. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
New Mexico United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lexington and New Mexico United have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.