Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Prediction

Cardinale Stadium· B. Jensen 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.28
SignalSOLIDModel47%RiskMediumGap+3.3%
Monterey Bay Rest
6 days
Orange County SC Rest
14 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.15
X
24%3.30
2
47%3.02
Double Chance
1X
53%1.30
X2
71%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.72
No
56%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.28
Over 2.5
38%1.90
Over 3.5
19%3.20
Under 1.5
36%3.28
Under 2.5
62%1.81
Under 3.5
81%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'T. BrewittFoul
39'I. PaulFoul
48'T. Brewitt
51'N. GordonOG
56'A. Saidi INW. Leggett out
56'R. Nakamura INJ. Belmar out
59'G. TubbsFoul
74'Q. Elliot INJ. Garcia out
74'F. Barajas INS. Ritchie out
79'L. MacKinnon INE. Zubak out
79'E. Solis INJ. Martinez out
86'O. Sylla INR. Doghman out
88'I. PaulAssist: N. Gordon
90+3'N. Ross INK. Egwu out
90+3'C. Hegardt INM. War out

Team Comparison

Monterey BayMonterey Bay
Orange County SCOrange County SC
1323Elo Rating 1438
1.14Attack 0.87
1.05Defense 0.79
0%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Monterey BayMonterey Bay
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Orange County SCOrange County SC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Monterey Bay 50%Draw 19%31% Orange County SC
1.97Avg Goals
27%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive24134741:30+1143WWWWW
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United23126537:27+1042DDWLW
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs24114940:37+337WWWLL
4FC TulsaFC Tulsa23106727:21+636LDWWL
5Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2399530:20+1036WDDDW
6Orange County SCOrange County SC2499634:34036LDDLL
7San AntonioSan Antonio2499629:28+136LDWLL
8LexingtonLexington241041037:30+734WLLLW
9Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2489734:32+233WDWDW
10Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights24951031:34-332WLLLW
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2469929:35-627LDWDL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay24461425:42-1718DDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2441:3043
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2337:2742
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2440:3737
4FC TulsaFC Tulsa2327:2136
5Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2330:2036
6Orange County SCOrange County SC2434:3436
7San AntonioSan Antonio2429:2836
8LexingtonLexington2437:3034
9Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2434:3233
10Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights2431:3432
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2429:3527
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay2425:4218

Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this USL Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Monterey Bay and Orange County SC have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.97 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.