FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United Prediction

FC Tulsa
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
ONEOK Field 01/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseHighGap-9.2%
FC Tulsa Rest
4 days
New Mexico United Rest
3 days

FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United: result, form and history

FC Tulsa beat New Mexico United 1-0 in the USL Championship on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 8 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.95
X
26%3.50
2
29%3.38
Double Chance
1X
71%1.25
X2
55%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.63
No
44%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.21 = 2.65
Over 1.5
74%1.23
Over 2.5
52%1.75
Over 3.5
32%2.86
Under 1.5
26%3.80
Under 2.5
48%2.02
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'W. Wilson
45+2'N. HamalainenFoul
46'M. Howell INJ. LaCava out
50'W. EisnerFoul
54'N. HamalainenFoul
54'N. HamalainenFoul
57'J. WebberUnsportsmanlike conduct
59'C. Wilkerson INV. Noel out
59'C. Nava INT. Blackett out
63'W. Wilson INO. Damm out
68'C. Dennis INL. Archimede out
69'J. Melto Quiah INJ. Rennicks out
74'IanFoul
78'A. Ordonez INR. Cabral out
78'Ian INJ. Sangwa out
86'L. Dorsey INS. Lukic out
86'J. Webber INB. Diallo out
90+1'L. ArchimedeFoul

Team Comparison

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
1513Elo Rating 1538
1.04Attack 1.36
1.59Defense 1.72
17%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

FC TulsaFC Tulsa3Wins · 38%
Draws225%
New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3Wins · 37%
3.3Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

USL Championship16/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
10
USL Championship16/11/2025
FC TulsaNew Mexico United
30
USL Championship14/09/2025
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
01
USL Championship10/08/2025
FC TulsaNew Mexico United
52
USL Championship13/10/2024
FC TulsaNew Mexico United
11
USL Championship15/08/2024
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
33
USL Championship27/08/2023
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
21
USL Championship14/07/2022
Tulsa RoughnecksNew Mexico United
12

Recent Form

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
4W3D3L
26/09/2026
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
11
D
20/09/2026
BrooklynFC Tulsa
22
D
13/09/2026
Phoenix RisingFC Tulsa
21
L
06/09/2026
San AntonioFC Tulsa
00
D
30/08/2026
FC TulsaRhode Island
10
W
23/08/2026
Orange County SCFC Tulsa
15
W
16/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
10
L
09/08/2026
FC TulsaDetroit City
01
L
06/08/2026
FC TulsaSacramento Republic
10
W
30/07/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsFC Tulsa
01
W
New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
4W4D2L
27/09/2026
New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
23
L
20/09/2026
Colorado SpringsNew Mexico United
00
D
17/09/2026
Birmingham LegionNew Mexico United
44
D
12/09/2026
New Mexico UnitedIndy Eleven
22
D
06/09/2026
Las Vegas LightsNew Mexico United
12
W
30/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedSan Antonio
12
L
27/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedLexington
21
W
23/08/2026
Loudoun UnitedNew Mexico United
00
D
16/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
10
W
09/08/2026
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive29155948:37+1150LWLDW
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United29147844:34+1049LWWLL
3Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic291212539:26+1348WDDWW
4LexingtonLexington291451054:36+1847WDWWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs29128942:38+444WDDDD
6FC TulsaFC Tulsa291110834:29+543LDDWD
7San AntonioSan Antonio291012730:29+142WDLDD
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising291091042:43-139WWLLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC291091038:47-939LLLWL
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots29911937:37038WDDWW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights291061340:46-636LLWLD
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay29561830:51-2121LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2948:3750
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2944:3449
3Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2939:2648
4LexingtonLexington2954:3647
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2942:3844
6FC TulsaFC Tulsa2934:2943
7San AntonioSan Antonio2930:2942
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2942:4339
9Orange County SCOrange County SC2938:4739
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots2937:3738
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights2940:4636
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay2930:5121

About the FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Tulsa and New Mexico United in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, New Mexico United are 2nd and FC Tulsa 6th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Tulsa 34-29, New Mexico United 44-34. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.