New Mexico United vs Lexington Prediction

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park· A. Hadzic 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.45
SignalGOODModel54%RiskHighGap+5.1%
New Mexico United Rest
4 days
Lexington Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%2.55
X
24%3.33
2
21%2.48
Double Chance
1X
79%1.45
X2
45%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.72
Over 3.5
19%2.72
Under 1.5
36%3.75
Under 2.5
61%2.00
Under 3.5
81%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'O. SemmleDelay of game
29'G. HurstFoul
46'M. Fry INB. Ferri out
51'M. Muir
56'T. Scott INJ. Brown out
63'Z. BaileyFoul
67'O. Jabang ING. Zelalem out
67'J. LaCava INC. Wilkerson out
67'C. Gloster INT. Blackett out
68'T. BlackettFoul
73'K. KellerAssist: G. Hurst
74'Nick Firmino INP. Seagrist out
78'N. Reid-StephenAssist: D. Harris
82'P. SeagristFoul
84'X. Zengue INM. Yosef out
85'D. Harris INC. Nava out
85'G. Hurst INL. Archimede out
90+4'C. WilkersonDelay of game

Team Comparison

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
LexingtonLexington
1562Elo Rating 1484
2.37Attack 1.98
0.80Defense 1.52
34%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LexingtonLexington
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

New Mexico United 72%Draw 0%28% Lexington
3.78Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
4W1D0L
23/08/2026
Loudoun UnitedNew Mexico United
00
D
16/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
10
W
09/08/2026
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25
W
02/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedColorado Springs
10
W
16/07/2026
LexingtonNew Mexico United
14
W
LexingtonLexington
3W1D1L
23/08/2026
LexingtonLas Vegas Lights
20
W
16/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicLexington
10
L
09/08/2026
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
10
W
02/08/2026
LexingtonMonterey Bay
32
W
26/07/2026
FC TulsaLexington
00
D

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive25144744:31+1346WWWWW
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United24127537:27+1043DDDWL
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs25115940:37+338DWWWL
4LexingtonLexington251141043:30+1337WWLLL
5FC TulsaFC Tulsa24107729:23+637DLDWW
6Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2399530:20+1036WDDDW
7Orange County SCOrange County SC2599734:40-636LLDDL
8San AntonioSan Antonio2499629:28+136LDWLL
9Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights25961032:35-333DWLLL
10Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2589835:35033LWDWD
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2469929:35-627LDWDL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay25461525:43-1818LDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive2544:3146
2New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2437:2743
3Colorado SpringsColorado Springs2540:3738
4LexingtonLexington2543:3037
5FC TulsaFC Tulsa2429:2337
6Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic2330:2036
7Orange County SCOrange County SC2534:4036
8San AntonioSan Antonio2429:2836
9Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights2532:3533
10Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising2535:3533
11Oakland RootsOakland Roots2429:3527
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay2525:4318

New Mexico United vs Lexington Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this USL Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

New Mexico United and Lexington have met 3 times recently, averaging 3.78 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.