FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo Prediction

FC Volendam
3-2
Finished
HT 3-1
VVV Venlo
Kras Stadion, Volendam 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
FC Volendam Rest
8 days
VVV Venlo Rest
8 days

FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo: the result in context

FC Volendam beat VVV Venlo 3-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 26 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: VVV Venlo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for FC Volendam.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. VVV Venlo tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 3.5 for FC Volendam.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.85
X
26%4.10
2
30%3.40
Double Chance
1X
70%1.29
X2
56%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.34
No
30%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.49 = 3.33
Over 1.5
85%1.06
Over 2.5
68%1.33
Over 3.5
47%1.85
Under 1.5
15%6.63
Under 2.5
32%3.20
Under 3.5
53%1.89
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.32
Over 9.5
51%1.59
Over 10.5
40%1.98
Under 8.5
37%2.88
Under 9.5
49%2.17
Under 10.5
60%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
58%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

5'Henk Veerman
7'Y. Jaber el MaftahiAssist: Reuven Niemeijer
16'Eanna ClancyAssist: Lars de Blok
29'Mike KleijnFoul
38'Reuven NiemeijerAssist: Y. Jaber el Maftahi
45'Mattheos Tsigkas INL. Schmidt out
54'Henk Veerman INFrederik Ihler out
60'Ismail Oulad M'Hand INAndreas Verstraeten out
68'Nordin Bukala INPrecious ugwu out
68'Y. Jaber el Maftahi INKayden Wolff out
71'Mohammed Odriss INAmir rais out
78'Edhy Zuliani INDevy Hendrix out
78'Tristan Schenkhuizen INPhilip Heise out
81'L. SchmidtAssist: Lars de Blok
87'Nick Doodeman INSerigne Abdou Lahat Deme out
87'Mike Kleijn INJair·Haakmat out

Lineups

FC Volendam
4-3-3Coach: E. van de Looi
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.69
H. Jurjus7.11H. Jurjus
N. Bukala6.418N. Bukala
Luca Blondeau6.525L. Blondeau
M. Amevor6.73M. Amevor
M. Kleijn6.015M. Kleijn
D. Huisman6.68D. Huisman
R. Niemeijer7.510R. Niemeijer
A. Plat6.36A. Plat
N. Doodeman6.17N. Doodeman
H. Veerman8.09H. Veerman
Y. el Maftahi8.921Y. el Maftahi
Y. Schoonderwaldt5.613Y. Schoonderwaldt
Raf Vullers6.414R. Vullers
É. Clancy8.34É. Clancy
G. Blancquart6.433G. Blancquart
Lars de Blok8.55L. de Blok
Ismail Oulad M'Hand7.08I. Oulad M'Hand
Tristan Schenkhuizen6.638T. Schenkhuizen
E. Zuliani6.07E. Zuliani
M. Odriss6.124M. Odriss
N. Ait Mouhou7.211N. Ait Mouhou
M. Tsigkas6.39M. Tsigkas

FC Volendam Substitutes

28Nash Bijnoe
63J. Haakmat87'for Mike Kleijn6.0
67F. Ihler54'for Henk Veerman6.7
16R. Steur
29Jesper Tielemans
2P. Ugwu68'for Nordin Bukala6.2
22D. Vlak
11Kayden Wolff68'for Y. Jaber el Maftahi6.4
14S. Deme87'for Nick Doodeman6.8
5Dean Bisschops

VVV Venlo Substitutes

43D. Hendrix78'for Edhy Zuliani6.3
16P. Heise78'for Tristan Schenkhuizen6.0
15Tijn Joosten
34A. Rais71'for Mohammed Odriss6.9
22Zidane Taylan
6A. Verstraeten60'for Ismail Oulad M'Hand5.9
31M. Davis
21L. Görlich
1T. Doornbusch
35Yousri El Anbri
17L. Schmidt45'for Mattheos Tsigkas81'7.5
19Thomas Janssen

Match Stats

FC VolendamVVV Venlo
41%Ball Possession59%
4Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots30
6Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal15
8Shots Inside Box17
3Shots Outside Box13
1Blocked Shots6
11Fouls7
0Offsides2
7Goalkeeper Saves3
344Total Passes504
282Passes Accurate447
7Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

FC VolendamFC Volendam
VVV VenloVVV Venlo
1590Elo Rating 1588
2.66Attack 3.19
1.78Defense 1.12
61%Hit Rate 63%
11.6Shots per Game 18.3
4.7Shots on Target 6.1
3.5Corners per Game 6.1
1.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC VolendamFC Volendam
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1 in second half)
VVV VenloVVV Venlo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

FC VolendamFC Volendam2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
VVV VenloVVV Venlo1Wins · 25%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie22/02/2025
VVV VenloFC Volendam
13
Eerste Divisie27/09/2024
FC VolendamVVV Venlo
24
Eerste Divisie04/03/2022
VVV VenloFC Volendam
00
Eerste Divisie17/09/2021
FC VolendamVVV Venlo
21

Recent Form

FC VolendamFC Volendam
4W0D6L
18/09/2026
Jong AZFC Volendam
41
L
13/09/2026
FC VolendamDen Bosch
20
W
04/09/2026
EmmenFC Volendam
53
L
28/08/2026
FC VolendamDordrecht
61
W
21/08/2026
MVVFC Volendam
10
L
15/08/2026
FC VolendamFC OSS
30
W
10/08/2026
Jong PSV U21FC Volendam
32
L
02/08/2026
FC VolendamAjax
13
L
24/07/2026
GroningenFC Volendam
04
W
15/07/2026
Almere City FCFC Volendam
21
L
VVV VenloVVV Venlo
5W0D5L
18/09/2026
Jong UtrechtVVV Venlo
13
W
11/09/2026
VVV VenloFC OSS
31
W
04/09/2026
Helmond SportVVV Venlo
42
L
30/08/2026
VVV VenloEmmen
40
W
23/08/2026
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
21
W
14/08/2026
NAC BredaVVV Venlo
02
W
07/08/2026
VVV VenloHeracles
34
L
01/08/2026
VVV VenloAS Eupen
23
L
25/07/2026
VVV VenloFortuna Köln
01
L
21/07/2026
FC Viktoria KölnVVV Venlo
53
L

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Volendam and VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, VVV Venlo are 2nd and FC Volendam 7th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Volendam 29-20, VVV Venlo 34-20. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Volendam have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.